Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for White Pigeon, MI

DISCUSSION
Issued at 130 PM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

More widespread rainfall over northeast portions of the forecast area will shift out of the area by 21-22z. Still could see widely scattered showers through the remainder of the afternoon elsewhere as the primary upper level vort max and steeper mid level lapse rates swing through over a moist air mass. Deep layer drying and subsidence in wake of the wave will provide dry conditions tonight. Fog, potentially dense, will once again be a concern tonight into Friday morning however given light flow and an abundance of moisture still trapped beneath a strong inversion.

A surface warm front, stuck over the Ohio River Valley all week, will finally get a push northeast through the area late Friday morning into Friday afternoon, with most of the forecast area in the warm sector mid afternoon Friday through much of Friday night. This will occur in response to an upper trough and developing sfc reflection lifting northeast from the Rockies/High Plains Friday to the Upper Midwest and northern Great Lakes Friday night into Saturday. There could be showers and even a few storms along the warm front as it lifts through on Friday given the moisture advection and potential for a small scale, convectively augmented, impulse to lift over it in deepening southwest flow. This activity will likely be elevated with small hail and brief downpours possible. A lull is then expected in its wake with breezy, mainly dry and an unseasonably warm/moist air mass settling Friday PM-night (highs nearing the daily record, sfc dewpoints into the upper 50s to near 60F).

The system pre-frontal trough and cold front remain on target to move slowly through later Friday night into Saturday with a period of showers and storms expected. There remains a low-end (Marginal Svr Risk) threat for a few strong to severe storms (wind) given the strong background flow/shear and near 60F dewpoints along and in advance of these features. Also of low confidence is whether there could be enough heating by Saturday afternoon for renewed convection over eastern portions of the area. Drier air then settles in post-frontal Saturday night through Monday with temperatures remaining mild for early March.

AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 630 PM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

A warm front is bisecting northern Indiana this evening and will be the focus for continued soupy, foggy conditions during the TAF period. An area of showers have developed within the warm sector and are enroute to KFWA, perhaps bringing an end to their VFR conditions. While the onset time is uncertain, high confidence in a period of LIFR conditions during the overnight and early morning hours.

Another round of rain, and possibly a thunderstorm, arrives after daybreak as an upper-level shortwave and another surge of warm air lift through. In the wake of this, a period of VFR conditions are favored at KFWA while KSBN remains trapped in stratus.

IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for LMZ043-046.