Wednesday, January22, 2020
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L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fairport Harbor, OH

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:44AMSunset 5:28PM Wednesday January 22, 2020 8:21 PM EST (01:21 UTC) Moonrise 6:04AMMoonset 3:24PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ147 Expires:202001230315;;356940 Fzus51 Kcle 222103 Aaa Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast...updated National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 403 Pm Est Wed Jan 22 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez145>147-230315- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh- 403 Pm Est Wed Jan 22 2020
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy this evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..East winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain in the morning, then rain in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Saturday through Monday. The water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees, off cleveland 36 degrees, and off erie 35 degrees.
LEZ147


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairport Harbor, OH
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location: 41.83, -81.28     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 222348 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 648 PM EST Wed Jan 22 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure over the mid Atlantic states will remain nearly stationary into Thursday as low pressure over the Central Plains moves into the mid Mississippi Valley. The low pressure area will move into the Ohio Valley Friday and eastern Great Lakes on Saturday as a secondary low develops along the mid Atlantic coast.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. Only change made for this update was adding a trace of ice early Friday morning before 12 UTC for areas southwest. A marginal warm nose may introduce a small area of freezing rain and sleet before transitioning to all rain.

Original discussion . Fair weather can be expected through Thursday afternoon as high pressure remains nearly stationary just to the east of the region. Some high clouds and a southerly surface wind will keep temperatures warmer than last night. Overnight lows will range from the mid 20s out west and along the lakeshore to the upper teens over inland nw PA. On Thursday cloudiness will thicken and lower some in the afternoon as temperatures warm into the upper 30s to lower 40s.

The forecast becomes a little tricky Thursday night. As low pressure approaches Thursday night . moisture will increase especially after midnight and some light mixed precipitation can be expected mainly west of I-71. Low temperatures will be near freezing west of I-71 and may rise toward morning. Thicknesses aloft support mainly liquid precipitation except in the far north and east where some snow could be mixed in. There could be a few hours of light freezing rain west of I-71. POPs will increase overnight especially in the west to the likely category.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Low pressure will approach the Ohio Valley Friday with precipitation overspreading the area by late Friday morning into early Friday afternoon. Precipitation will likely begin as a rain/snow mix early Friday morning before a quick transition to rain takes place as warm air advection and surface temperatures increase throughout the day. Southeast winds will gradually increase to around 10 knots in most areas with up to 15 knots found along the northeast lakeshore late Friday night. Precipitation will quickly move east across the area on Friday with the heaviest rain expected early Friday afternoon and evening before tapering by Friday night. Most areas should expect to see a quarter up to a half inch of rain through Saturday morning. As the low center tracks across northern Ohio Saturday morning, cooler temperatures aloft will begin to trickle in behind the system. Surface temperatures look to remain above average through the short term period with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s on Friday and Saturday.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As the low pressure system begins to move into New England Saturday night into Sunday morning, flow will become northwest off Lake Erie, with -6C 850 mb temps sufficient enough to support marginal lake- effect snow ad/or rain showers along the primary and secondary snowbelt areas. The most recent runs of the ECMWF and CMC models have suggested that there could be a period of heavier snow and/or rain late Sunday afternoon into Monday morning, but more details will be hashed out in upcoming forecasts on amounts and timing since surface temperatures will be at or just above freezing. Towards the end of the long term period, a low pressure system is expected to develop across the southern Plains to the Missouri Valley Tuesday night and approach the Ohio Valley by Wednesday night. Above average temperatures will continue to be found across the area through the end of the long term period with highs in the low 30s to upper 40s.

AVIATION /00Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/. VFR conditions will persist through the TAF period as high pressure over the mid-Atlantic states slowly shifts east. The air mass will remain relatively dry with just high cirrus clouds expected through tonight. Toward midday Thursday, some mid-level clouds may spread in from the southwest. Light southerly winds of 10 knots or less are expected through the TAF period. Non-VFR conditions begin to approach TAF sites after 00 UTC Friday from the southwest with possibly mixed precipitation.

OUTLOOK. Non-VFR possible with mixed precipitation late Thursday night and then with all rain on Friday. This transitions to a rain/snow mix on Saturday that lingers across the area on Sunday. Light lake effect snow possible Sunday night into Monday across northeast Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

MARINE. Generally light winds are expected across the lake throughout the first half of the forecast period with winds remaining 10 knots or less. Southeast winds will increase to about 10-15 knots by Friday night into Saturday morning, then shift to northwest flow by Sunday morning which will result in waves 3 feet or less.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . LaPlante NEAR TERM . LaPlante/Saunders SHORT TERM . Kahn LONG TERM . Kahn AVIATION . LaPlante MARINE . Kahn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 5 mi51 min 30°F 33°F1026.6 hPa19°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 16 mi51 min SW 1.9 G 5.1 39°F
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 27 mi57 min 33°F 38°F1026.1 hPa14°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH20 mi36 minSSE 720.00 miOvercast28°F17°F64%1026.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGF

Wind History from CGF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5SW5SW7S6S8S7S9S7S7S6SE6S6--S7S7S9S8S5S7S8S8S9S10S7
1 day agoN6N5N5NW6NW3NW3W7NW5W6W5W8NW6W5W6W6SW7W7SW8W9SW10SW7SW5SW4S4
2 days agoW7W7N7NW7NW5N5N6N4N5N5NW3N6N6NE5NE5N7N7NE7NE7CalmN4N6NW7NW5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.