Shorewood-Tower Hills-Harbert, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Shorewood-Tower Hills-Harbert, MI

April 12, 2024 4:46 PM CDT (21:46 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:09 AM   Sunset 7:26 PM
Moonrise 8:22 AM   Moonset 12:00 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LMZ043 NEw Buffalo Mi To St Joseph Mi- 257 Pm Edt Fri Apr 12 2024

.gale warning in effect until 6 pm edt this evening - .

Tonight - Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet.

Saturday - Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet.

Saturday night - South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Sunday - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
the water temperature at st. Joseph is 47 degrees and at michigan city is 45 degrees.

LMZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Shorewood-Tower Hills-Harbert, MI
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Area Discussion for - Northern Indiana, IN
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FXUS63 KIWX 121854 AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 254 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Wind gusts and showers diminish near sunset.

- Very warm Sunday through Wednesday with highs well into the 70s.

- There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms Sunday afternoon toward the Indiana and Ohio state line.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 248 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Wind gusts have just begun topping 40mph this afternoon, with Knox recording a 43mph gust. RAP forecast guidance suggests the surface low and low-level wind field may strengthen yet this evening.
Decreasing cloud cover can improve our mixing, but even so, upstream observations are closer to 40mph than 45-50 mph. So, will somewhat hesitantly let the wind advisory ride as-is. Rain showers have sprouted nicely off the lake and in the vicinity of vort max as seen on water vapor imagery. This diurnal activity will end around sunset; same for the showers noted across Wisconsin as of this writing.

Aside from a chance of thunderstorms Sunday, a beautiful weekend is on deck. A swirling upper-level low is replaced by high pressure centered over the Southeast US and a ridge aloft slowly builds.
Highs near 60 on Saturday (approaching 70 toward Monticello) give way to widespread 70s Sunday. However, a low streaking through the Great Lakes will send a weak cold front through in the afternoon.
This will result in plummeting temperatures lakeside as northwesterly wind sets in. This cold front could be the focus for isolated thunderstorms toward the IN-OH state line. Here, instability is marginal (near 500-1,000 j/kg), but dew points in the upper 50s and shear near 40-50 knots are appropriate for the highlighted marginal risk. Forecast soundings show a cap near 5,000 ft; something the cold front might overcome. I'll hold steady with only a 20% chance or so due to very limited coverage on forecast guidance.

This is a weak cold front indeed as high temperatures quickly rebound Monday back into the 70s. This, as 500mb heights rise in response to a deepening trough over the west. By midweek, a surface low moves through the Midwest bringing more rainfall and a risk of severe weather to Illinois and western Indiana. Forecast rainfall ranges notably at this time.

In the wake of this low, a second is quickly on its heels to end the week. This brings notably colder air to the region; a real bummer following a week in the 70s.

AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 115 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Ceilings are lifting and will continue to improve going into tonight, eventually giving way to clear skies by Saturday morning as the upper low lifts away to the northeast. There could still be a few lingering showers in the area, but confidence is low that they will impact the terminals so have not included in the forecast. The tight surface pressure gradients are of bigger concern with northwest winds gusting to around 35 kts this afternoon. They will diminish some overnight, but then pick back up during the day Saturday to 20-25 kts.

IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IN...Wind Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for INZ005>009-014- 017-018-104-116-204-216.
OH...Wind Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for OHZ001-002-004- 005-015-016-024-025.
MI...Wind Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for MIZ078>081-177- 277.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 6 PM EDT this evening for LMZ043-046.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
MCYI3 - Michigan City, IN 18 mi27 min WNW 11G12 49°F 29.8241°F
BHRI3 - Burns Harbor, IN 31 mi67 min NNW 5.1G6 49°F 29.83
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI 41 mi37 min WNW 15G17 47°F
CMTI2 - 9087044 - Calumet, IL 49 mi47 min W 9.9G19 61°F 29.7835°F


Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KMGC MICHIGAN CITY MUNIPHILLIPS FIELD,IN 15 sm11 minno data10 smMostly Cloudy54°F37°F54%29.85
KSBN SOUTH BEND INTL,IN 20 sm52 minNNW 16G2610 smMostly Cloudy59°F39°F48%29.79
KBEH SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN RGNL,MI 21 sm53 minvar 0610 smOvercast55°F39°F54%29.79
KPPO LA PORTE MUNI,IN 21 sm11 minNNW 14G2210 smPartly Cloudy59°F36°F41%29.82
Link to 5 minute data for KMGC


Wind History from MGC
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of great lakes   
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Northern Indiana, IN,



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