Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Friendsville, PA
July 3, 2024 1:30 AM EDT (05:30 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 5:31 AM Sunset 8:44 PM Moonrise 1:59 AM Moonset 6:09 PM |
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 030520 AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 120 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will settle east of the area tonight, allowing breezy south to southwesterly flow to develop on Wednesday. A weakening front moving through the area Wednesday night into Thursday morning will bring scattered showers and a few thunderstorms with it. These will mostly settle south of the area for Independence Day, but another system will bring additional showers and thunderstorms Friday into Saturday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
1225 AM Update...
Temperatures were the main focus for this update. Most areas are in the 60s and a few remain in the 70s. While there are a few cooler areas as well, most of the changes were increases through the rest of the overnight hours. As clouds move in, that will slow down any additional cooling. Winds and sky cover were also touched up based on the the latest observations, though those changes were more minor.
935 PM Update...
With the steady stream of high clouds over the area, removed the patchy valley fog overnight and early tomorrow morning. No other notable changes at this time.
630 PM Update...
Not much to update at this time with the current forecast remaining on track on this quiet evening. Blended in the latest obs over the next several hours, and did take out some patchy valley fog that was in this evening, as if any develops it would be later on tonight. Confidence on the valley fog overnight and early tomorrow is low due to the higher dewpoint depressions expected combined with mid and high level clouds that will continue to stream in from the west-northwest.
320 PM Update...
Some high clouds will continue to spill over an upper level ridge over the area tonight, as surface high pressure drifts east of the area. Temperatures will cool down into the middle-50s for most of the area tonight, and some valley fog is possible, though likely not as widespread as this past morning, as dewpoint depressions will be a little higher.
High pressure will settle east of New England on Wednesday, with return south to southwest flow becoming a little breezy in the afternoon. A weak cold front will approach western NY/PA late in the afternoon, with some increasing mid-level clouds across our area. Any showers or thunderstorms look to hold off until the evening hours, and even then will be confined to the western Finger Lakes.
Showers and a few thunderstorms will pass through the area Wednesday night. They'll be weakening as upper level support looks limited, with just weak disturbances embedded in quasi- zonal flow aloft.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
250 PM Update...
A weak cold front will move through Central NY and NE PA Thursday, bringing chances for rain showers and storms mainly in the morning through the afternoon, but chances look to improve heading towards the evening hours. For those looking to the skies for nighttime light shows on Thursday, skies will remain mostly cloudy from the Twin Tiers/Catskills southward, and partly to mostly cloudy for Central NY. Temperatures are expected in the mid to upper 80s on Thursday as well.
For Friday, slight chances for showers and storms linger with the unsettled pattern, but chances begin to increase as a warm front pushes northward into the region Friday evening.
Temperatures expected to be in the mid to high 80s.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
250 PM Update...
A cold front will be close behind the aforementioned warm front, moving in Saturday morning, continuing the chances for showers and storms through the day. 0-6 km shear increases to up to 40 to 50 knots, and the positioning of this front could bring training showers and storms. Any training showers or storms could cause localized flash flooding. Additionally, CAPE values also increase to 1000-1500 J/kg heading into Saturday afternoon, leading to increased confidence of the potential development of strong to severe storms Saturday afternoon. It's a few days out still, so we'll keep monitoring storm potential for Saturday.
Heading into early next week, Sunday and Monday look drier, while the next, and very much disorganized, system approaches Tuesday.
AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
High pressure will keep conditions at VFR throughout this TAF period. Winds will become stronger during the daytime hours today with peak gusts of 20 to 25 kts at the NY terminals but then become calmer at most terminals after 00z tonight. A front approaches the region with rain tonight. This was left out of the TAFs for now as it moves in just prior to 06z.
Outlook...
Wednesday night through Saturday Night...More unsettled pattern with chances of showers and thunderstorms with associated restrictions.
Sunday...Mainly VFR.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 120 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure will settle east of the area tonight, allowing breezy south to southwesterly flow to develop on Wednesday. A weakening front moving through the area Wednesday night into Thursday morning will bring scattered showers and a few thunderstorms with it. These will mostly settle south of the area for Independence Day, but another system will bring additional showers and thunderstorms Friday into Saturday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
1225 AM Update...
Temperatures were the main focus for this update. Most areas are in the 60s and a few remain in the 70s. While there are a few cooler areas as well, most of the changes were increases through the rest of the overnight hours. As clouds move in, that will slow down any additional cooling. Winds and sky cover were also touched up based on the the latest observations, though those changes were more minor.
935 PM Update...
With the steady stream of high clouds over the area, removed the patchy valley fog overnight and early tomorrow morning. No other notable changes at this time.
630 PM Update...
Not much to update at this time with the current forecast remaining on track on this quiet evening. Blended in the latest obs over the next several hours, and did take out some patchy valley fog that was in this evening, as if any develops it would be later on tonight. Confidence on the valley fog overnight and early tomorrow is low due to the higher dewpoint depressions expected combined with mid and high level clouds that will continue to stream in from the west-northwest.
320 PM Update...
Some high clouds will continue to spill over an upper level ridge over the area tonight, as surface high pressure drifts east of the area. Temperatures will cool down into the middle-50s for most of the area tonight, and some valley fog is possible, though likely not as widespread as this past morning, as dewpoint depressions will be a little higher.
High pressure will settle east of New England on Wednesday, with return south to southwest flow becoming a little breezy in the afternoon. A weak cold front will approach western NY/PA late in the afternoon, with some increasing mid-level clouds across our area. Any showers or thunderstorms look to hold off until the evening hours, and even then will be confined to the western Finger Lakes.
Showers and a few thunderstorms will pass through the area Wednesday night. They'll be weakening as upper level support looks limited, with just weak disturbances embedded in quasi- zonal flow aloft.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
250 PM Update...
A weak cold front will move through Central NY and NE PA Thursday, bringing chances for rain showers and storms mainly in the morning through the afternoon, but chances look to improve heading towards the evening hours. For those looking to the skies for nighttime light shows on Thursday, skies will remain mostly cloudy from the Twin Tiers/Catskills southward, and partly to mostly cloudy for Central NY. Temperatures are expected in the mid to upper 80s on Thursday as well.
For Friday, slight chances for showers and storms linger with the unsettled pattern, but chances begin to increase as a warm front pushes northward into the region Friday evening.
Temperatures expected to be in the mid to high 80s.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
250 PM Update...
A cold front will be close behind the aforementioned warm front, moving in Saturday morning, continuing the chances for showers and storms through the day. 0-6 km shear increases to up to 40 to 50 knots, and the positioning of this front could bring training showers and storms. Any training showers or storms could cause localized flash flooding. Additionally, CAPE values also increase to 1000-1500 J/kg heading into Saturday afternoon, leading to increased confidence of the potential development of strong to severe storms Saturday afternoon. It's a few days out still, so we'll keep monitoring storm potential for Saturday.
Heading into early next week, Sunday and Monday look drier, while the next, and very much disorganized, system approaches Tuesday.
AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
High pressure will keep conditions at VFR throughout this TAF period. Winds will become stronger during the daytime hours today with peak gusts of 20 to 25 kts at the NY terminals but then become calmer at most terminals after 00z tonight. A front approaches the region with rain tonight. This was left out of the TAFs for now as it moves in just prior to 06z.
Outlook...
Wednesday night through Saturday Night...More unsettled pattern with chances of showers and thunderstorms with associated restrictions.
Sunday...Mainly VFR.
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Airport Reports
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KBGM
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(wind in knots)Binghamton, NY,
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