Sunday, March7, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Oswayo, PA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 6:05PM Sunday March 7, 2021 6:24 PM EST (23:24 UTC) Moonrise 3:05AMMoonset 12:06PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ041 Expires:202103071600;;603937 Fzus51 Kbuf 071135 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 631 Am Est Sun Mar 7 2021 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez040-041-071600- Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 631 Am Est Sun Mar 7 2021
Today..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Scattered flurries early. Waves in ice free areas 1 foot or less.
Tonight..West winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..South winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 5 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers Wednesday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet, then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. Wave heights are for ice free areas.
LEZ041


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oswayo , PA
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location: 41.91, -78.02     debug


Area Discussion for - State College, PA
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FXUS61 KCTP 072309 AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 609 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021

SYNOPSIS. Chilly weekend weather will give way to a big warmup by midweek. Dry weather will persist through Wednesday, but a slow moving front will increase rain chances toward the end of this week with temperatures trending seasonably cooler into next weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/. Skies have cleared as low-dewpoint air remains across the area this evening. Winds are also decreasing as the axis of high pressure moves overhead, reducing the pressure gradient. Clear skies, dry air, and diminishing wind will make for effective radiational cooling for most if not all of the night. High clouds will move in after midnight, but probably not thick enough to hinder radiational cooling. Min temps will range from 5 to 10 above up north to the upper teens to near 20 south.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. After a cold start, the much advertised warm-up begins on Monday, as an anomalous upper level ridge builds over the East Coast and winds back from NW to SW. Highs on Monday will reach the low to mid 40s northeast to the low to mid 50s southwest. Dwpts will only rise slightly compared to Sunday.

The warm up will continue through the middle of next week, as upper-level riding persists over the eastern United States. The 12z/07 GEFS projects 850mb temperatures to rise well above normal by the middle of next week, with the anomalies peaking Wednesday or Thursday. There is a good chance that highs will topping 60 degrees for much of central PA each of those days.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. A cold front approaching from the Upper Midwest will bring increasing clouds by Thursday, and introduce a chc of rain showers across the northwestern counties. This front will slowly slip southeastward and across the area on Friday, accompanied by a continued chc of showers.

There remains some disagreement in the medium-range models as to how quickly the front will pass south of central PA, and exactly how cold it will get behind the front. The 12z/07 operational ECMWF pushes the front south of the area Friday night and projects a reinforcing shot of unseasonably chilly air for Sunday. Meanwhile, the 12z/07 GFS stalls the front just south of the Mason-Dixon line next weekend, before bringing a significant surge of moisture towards the area next Sunday or Monday.

Fortunately, this is still a week away and we'll have plenty of time to monitor models trends between now and then. Regardless, it looks like the mild weather will come to an end by next weekend, with a trend back to normal /or even below normal/ temperatures.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. High pressure will build into the region tonight, ensuring widespread VFR conditions and light winds. A warm front will push into the area Monday, accompanied by increasing clouds, especially over the northwest half of the state. However, all model guidance indicates ceiling heights will be VFR.

Outlook .

Tue-Wed . Occasional MVFR clouds NW, otherwise VFR.

Thu . Rain showers and restrictions developing from west to east as the day progresses.

FIRE WEATHER. Spring fire season is starting in parts of CPA with a few brush fires reported in the last two days. The latest fuel moisture assessment from PA BOF partners on Thursday, March 4th indicated no critical fuel moisture conditions through the rest of this weekend.

Modified arctic high pressure extending from the Upper Great Lakes south to the Ohio Valley will build southeast into PA tonight and Monday, bringing an end to the gusty winds.

Surface dewpoints may drop into the single digits this afternoon, but moisten a bit on Monday.

Dry and much milder conditions will occur into the middle of the upcoming week along with increasing humidity. Relatively light wind Monday and Tuesday will freshen to 10 to 15 mph with gusts into the 20 to 25 mph range from the south on Wednesday.

CLIMATE. Daylight saving time (EST->EDT) begins on Sunday, March 14th.

The first day of astronomical spring (vernal equinox 2021) will be at 5:37 A.M. EDT on Saturday, March 20th.

CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. None.

SYNOPSIS . Lambert/DeVoir/Colbert NEAR TERM . DeVoir/Colbert SHORT TERM . DeVoir/Evanego/Colbert/Wagner LONG TERM . Evanego AVIATION . DeVoir/Fitzgerald FIRE WEATHER . Lambert CLIMATE . Lambert


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 77 mi55 min 27°F 1030 hPa
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 81 mi55 min SW 8 G 12 27°F 34°F1028.6 hPa1°F
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 81 mi25 min WSW 8.9 G 12 28°F 1031.3 hPa (+0.6)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wellsville, Wellsville Municipal Airport, NY14 mi29 minNW 410.00 miFair23°F9°F55%1030.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KELZ

Wind History from ELZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW9NW10NW11NW11
G16
NW13NW8NW9NW7NW5NW6NW6W5W5W6NW7W8NW6N9W9NW8NW9
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1 day agoW14
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NW14NW15NW16N9NW11N6NW10NW10NW12
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2 days agoNW11NW17
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G21

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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