Saturday, August17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oswayo, PA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:15AMSunset 8:07PM Saturday August 17, 2019 10:32 PM EDT (02:32 UTC) Moonrise 8:35PMMoonset 7:09AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LEZ041 Expires:201908180300;;798331 Fzus51 Kbuf 172308 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 708 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez040-041-180300- Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 708 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. A chance of showers after midnight, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday night..West winds 10 knots or less becoming east. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..East winds less than 10 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ041


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oswayo , PA
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 41.91, -78.02     debug


Area Discussion for - State College, PA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kctp 180154
afdctp
area forecast discussion
national weather service state college pa
954 pm edt Sat aug 17 2019

Synopsis
Very warm and humid conditions will persist through into early
next week, and a trough of low pressure will keep the mention of
mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms in the
forecast.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
Passage of shortwave, combined with nocturnal cooling, has
caused lingering convection to taper off late this evening with
only a few showers left across the south central mountains at
0145z.

Next shortwave will lift through the region late tonight,
perhaps accompanied by a shower or thunderstorm over the
northwest mountains in vicinity of a warm front lifting through
the grt lks. Will also reintroduce the chance of a shower or
storm late tonight across the extreme southeast part of the
forecast area, where models place weak surface trough and
ribbon of lingering instability.

Otherwise, the main concern overnight will be developing valley
fog. The areas most likely to see fog will be northern pa and
areas east of the susq river, where the ground is wet from
rain earlier today.

It will be another muggy mid summer night with lows ranging
from the low 60s over the north to around 70f se.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through 6 pm Sunday
Scattered, diurnally-driven convection is expected Sunday.

Moderate capes in the 1000-2000 j kg range could support a few
strong storms, but fairly weak 0-6km shear suggests little risk
of organized severe weather.

Model soundings indicate MAX temps will be a bit warmer than
today, with highs ranging from the low 80s along the ny border
to the lower 90s in the valleys of southern pa. The combination
of heat and humidity will likely drive heat indices into the
upper 90s over the lower susq valley for a few hours Sunday
afternoon.

Long term Sunday night through Saturday
Hot and humid Monday with heat indices near 100 for much central
pa in the valleys. Scattered afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms may knock some temps down but it will feel muggy.

Active summer pattern with best chances for storms in the late
afternoon and lesser chances overnight through midweek. So
rounds of showers and thunderstorms likely Tuesday and Wednesday
as a weak coldfront drops down across pa. Another coldfront
will move through Wednesday night and Thursday. More showers and
thunderstorms with this front but behind it will finally bring
a change in the pattern with cooler drier weather for Friday and
Saturday under high pressure.

Aviation 02z Sunday through Thursday
00z tafs sent.

Still a strong storm just east of ipt and one near the office
here. Storms could produce gusty winds to around 35 to 40 mph
for another hour or so.

Another storm north of pit.

Late afternoon discussion below.

Updated the tafs here, minor adjustments for storms on radar and
current and fcst winds.

Main area for storms will be acros northern pa. Moisture good
for storms across the far southeast, but support is well to the
north for the storms.

Earlier discussion below.

WidespreadVFR is in place, except where the showers storms are
affecting individual airfields. This will continue into the
evening before patchy fog and low clouds redevelop late, lasting
through the sunrise hours. Expect continued improvement toVFR
conditions once again by late morning Sunday.

Outlook
Mon-wed... Rounds of showers thunderstorms possible, mainly in
the afternoon early evening hours. Late night and early morning
fog low clouds.

Thu... MainlyVFR behind a cold front.

Ctp watches warnings advisories
None.

Synopsis... La corte
near term... Fitzgerald
short term... Fitzgerald la corte
long term... Watson steinbugl
aviation... La corte martin


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 77 mi50 min 74°F 1013.5 hPa
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 81 mi44 min SW 9.9 G 12 74°F 76°F1014 hPa64°F
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 81 mi32 min SSW 5.1 G 7 73°F 1013.8 hPa (+0.7)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
Last
24hr
SW9
G12
S10
S10
S9
S11
SE2
SE5
SE4
SE3
SE8
NE3
NW7
G15
NE4
S7
G10
S11
SW10
SW10
SW8
G13
W12
SW13
SW10
G14
SW11
G14
SW10
G13
SW9
1 day
ago
NE7
G11
NE7
G10
E9
G12
E7
E6
E2
E2
N3
N4
E3
SE2
W2
SW3
W4
SW5
W4
W5
W7
SW8
SW9
G13
SW7
G10
SW8
SW9
SW11
G15
2 days
ago
NE4
NE6
E4
E5
E6
E5
E5
NE6
E7
G12
E8
G11
E5
G9
E6
E5
G8
E2
G5
E4
G9
NE6
G12
NE5
G14
NE7
G11
NE7
G10
NE10
G14
NE8
G13
NE8
G13
NE7
G10
NE6
G11

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wellsville, Wellsville Municipal Airport, NY14 mi96 minSW 410.00 miFair66°F63°F90%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KELZ

Wind History from ELZ (wind in knots)
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
Last 24hr--------SE3Calm--SW4S4SW5--SW6SW10
G16
SW11
G16
SW9SW10
G21
SW7
G17
SW84S5CalmSW4SW4SE3
1 day agoS3CalmS4--Calm--S4SW4Calm--43----CalmW6SW5SW5SW6--W6W4NW7Calm
2 days agoNE3NE3E3CalmCalmCalmN3E3CalmCalmSE3SE8SE7E6SE6SE84SE4N6CalmE4--E5--

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for State College, PA (22,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station State College, PA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.