Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Port Ewen, NY
December 4, 2023 5:44 AM EST (10:44 UTC)
Sunrise 7:05AM Sunset 4:26PM Moonrise 12:00AM Moonset 1:28PM
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 331 Am Est Mon Dec 4 2023
Today..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Today..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 331 Am Est Mon Dec 4 2023
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. An area of low pressure across northern new england today will gradually weaken and push offshore by this evening. Weak high pressure will then build in tonight through Tuesday, eventually dissipating as low pressure develops well south and east of the area on Wednesday. Weak high pressure returns for Thursday and Thursday night. This high moves offshore Friday into the start of the weekend. A strong frontal system approaches on Sunday.
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. An area of low pressure across northern new england today will gradually weaken and push offshore by this evening. Weak high pressure will then build in tonight through Tuesday, eventually dissipating as low pressure develops well south and east of the area on Wednesday. Weak high pressure returns for Thursday and Thursday night. This high moves offshore Friday into the start of the weekend. A strong frontal system approaches on Sunday.
Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KALY 040950 AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 450 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023
SYNOPSIS
Expect lingering lake effect and orographically enhanced rain and snow showers today mainly in the higher terrain areas along with breezy, cloudy yet seasonable conditions. A cold front tonight will usher in colder air and maintain lake effect snow showers again, mainly for the higher terrain. High pressure builds across the Northeast for Tuesday into Wednesday giving us continued cooler and breezy conditions with just some isolated snow showers.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
After a very wet Sunday, our double barrel low has exited to our north with the primary low now tracking into the North Country.
Latest NYS mesonet observations and MRMS radar estimates show over the past 24 hours a soaking precipitation event occurred across eastern NY and western New England with precip amounts ranging from 0.50 to 1.25 inches. Wet snow even fell in the higher terrain of the southern Adirondacks and southern Greens with amounts ranging 1 to 3 inches.
Behind the open potent shortwave, strong west flow continues through the column and runs down the long fetch of the lake.
While the incoming air mass is actually quite seasonable with 850hPa only -4C to -5C, latest radar imagery shows a primary lake effect band extending off Lake Erie with fragments reaching into the northern Catskills including Schoharie County. The RGEM and GFS has handled this response well and we therefore adjusted POPs to more closely match these trends and collaborated with BGM to ensure consistency with our upstream neighbor.
Guidance indicates the lake effect extension off Lake Erie should continue to reach Schoharie through Monday morning and may even extend as far east as the Helderbergs and even parts of the Capital District. The RGEM even suggests the extension reaches into Berkshire County but with limited cold air advection, no multi-lake connection and a mixing depth only up to 2km, we have lesser confidence for lake effect showers will reach into western New England. Therefore, have chance POPS reserved for Schoharie County into the Helderbergs with slight chance eastward. Regardless, temperatures are still mild enough that p-type will be rain outside of the higher terrain in the northern Catskills where a rain/snow mix can occur. Forecast soundings show steep lapse rates in the boundary layer so would not be surprised if some graupel falls in the higher terrain.
Further north, lake effect off Lake Ontario will impact the western Adirondacks through this morning as well in the form of rain or rain/snow mix in the higher terrain. Marginal temperatures should limit any wet snow accumulations under 1 inch.
Otherwise, winds turn breezy today with sustained winds 5-15kts and gusts up to 25-30kts (strongest from the Mohawk Valley through the Berkshires). Heading into the afternoon, the lake effect bands break-up into fragments as the true cold front and a weaker shortwave tracks eastward and boundary layer flow veers from the west to northwesterly. Guidance shows the push of true cold air behind the front arriving after 18 UTC through 00 UTC from northwest to southeast. This will enhance the lake effect response for the western and southern Adirondacks and the upslope/orographic lift along the spine of the Greens. The cold air advection will also create more favorable conditions for wet snow to accumulate. However, still only expecting up to 1 inch of snow. The northwesterly wind shift should redirect lake effect bands from the northern Catskills southward and should transition to be more wet snow in the higher terrain of the eastern Catskills as the boundary layer cools and we approach sunset. Some showers may even reach the Hudson Valley. However, the less favorable fetch off the lake should weaken the bands and thus keep any accumulations to a minimum.
High temperatures today will be rather seasonable despite the breezy conditions. Highs likely reach the mid to even upper 40s in the valley thanks to deep boundary layer mixing with mid to upper 30s in the hill towns and higher terrain. However, the breezy winds and cloudy skies will make it feel cooler.
For tonight, cold air advection behind the front will maintain lake effect snow showers for the northern/eastern Catskills, western Mohawk Valley, western/southern Adirondacks and southern Greens but again the northwesterly flow down the short fetch of Lake Ontario will weaken the lake enhancement and therefore keep any snow accumulations low with most only ranging from a coating to 1 inch. The spine of the southern Greens should see the highest amounts with 1 - 1.5 inches possible due to orographic enhancements. Otherwise, cloud coverage and breezy winds keep temperatures elevated with lows only in the mid to upper 20s with low 30s in the valley.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Strong subsidence and high pressure from the Ohio Valley builds into the Northeast for Tuesday which will shut-off the lake effect response. While some skies could break for some sun in the morning, once we reach peak heating, skies likely become cloudy again as moisture underneath the subsidence inversion remains in place. Expect a cooler day thanks to northwest flow.
Highs only likely reach the mid to upper 30s for most with some low 40s in the mid-Hudson Valley and upper 20s in the higher terrain of the southern Greens and southern/western Adirondacks.
A cooler night expected for Tuesday night despite mostly cloudy as high pressure builds into southern Canada, promoting a northerly wind shift. Thus, temperatures drop into the mid to upper 20s for much of the area with low 20s in the higher terrain.
Northerly flow continues for Wednesday which will maintain the cooler temperatures with highs only rising into the low to mid 30s. Mid to upper 20s in the higher terrain. Luckily, skies should finally give way to increased afternoon sun as the northerly flow advects in a drier air mass as we lose the moisture fetch off the lakes. It will be rather breezy, however, as a disturbances passes off shore and the sfc pressure gradient tightens. This will make it feel even cooler. Guidance hints that some isolated snow showers are possible for Wednesday, perhaps enhanced from Lake Champlain, but we did not have enough confidence to include in the latest forecast and maintained dry conditions.
Wednesday night will turn cold thanks to clearer skies and radiational cooling. Lows expected to drop into the teens and low 20s throughout eastern NY and western New England.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Upper ridging just begins to build into our region from the west on Thursday. Weak warm advection will begin through the day Thursday as low level ridging builds east of our region. There maybe a few lake effect snow showers into the southern Adirondacks. Considerable mid and high clouds with temperatures in the mid 30s to near 40 and upper 20s to around 30 higher terrain.
Periods of mid and high clouds Friday into Saturday as deeper warm advection continues and the upper level ridge axis tracks through our region, shifting upper level winds to the SW, allowing for more upper level moisture to stream in. Highs Friday in the 40s with mid to upper 30s higher terrain. Highs Saturday in the upper 40s to lower 50s and lower 40s higher terrain.
Amplifying upper energy approaches our region from the west and southwest Sunday. Stronger warm advection, along with increasing deep moisture, low level jet energy and isentropic lift should spread showers through the region. Highs Sunday around 50 to mid 50s with mid to upper 40s higher terrain.
AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Rain lingering around KGFL and should exit by 10Z. Just VCSH around KALB and KPSF through abut 10Z, with the rain far enough north of KPOU that no showers expected there. Most visibilities are VFR and will remain VFR in any shower activity.
Ceilings have been quite variable, with IFR ceilings at KPOU and KPSF, that will likely remain IFR through at least 10Z, but periods of MVFR ceilings possible. KGFL and KALB have some scattered clouds below 1000 feet that could intermittently become IFR ceilings through about 10Z.
Storm system exits after 10Z and while visibilities will be VFR through the day, ceilings will just very slowly improve through this morning and afternoon. By afternoon, KPOU should be VFR, while KALB should become VFR by around 18Z. KPSF and KGFL may not reach VFR until around 00Z. A few showers are possible in the afternoon due to lake effect clouds and upslope, so VCSH included during the afternoon at KALB and KPSF.
Light and variable to light south winds at less than 10 Kt through mid morning will become west at around 10 Kt between 12Z-18Z, with some gusts above 15 Kt in the afternoon. Winds become west to northwest and diminish to less than 10 Kt this evening.
Outlook...
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 450 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023
SYNOPSIS
Expect lingering lake effect and orographically enhanced rain and snow showers today mainly in the higher terrain areas along with breezy, cloudy yet seasonable conditions. A cold front tonight will usher in colder air and maintain lake effect snow showers again, mainly for the higher terrain. High pressure builds across the Northeast for Tuesday into Wednesday giving us continued cooler and breezy conditions with just some isolated snow showers.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
After a very wet Sunday, our double barrel low has exited to our north with the primary low now tracking into the North Country.
Latest NYS mesonet observations and MRMS radar estimates show over the past 24 hours a soaking precipitation event occurred across eastern NY and western New England with precip amounts ranging from 0.50 to 1.25 inches. Wet snow even fell in the higher terrain of the southern Adirondacks and southern Greens with amounts ranging 1 to 3 inches.
Behind the open potent shortwave, strong west flow continues through the column and runs down the long fetch of the lake.
While the incoming air mass is actually quite seasonable with 850hPa only -4C to -5C, latest radar imagery shows a primary lake effect band extending off Lake Erie with fragments reaching into the northern Catskills including Schoharie County. The RGEM and GFS has handled this response well and we therefore adjusted POPs to more closely match these trends and collaborated with BGM to ensure consistency with our upstream neighbor.
Guidance indicates the lake effect extension off Lake Erie should continue to reach Schoharie through Monday morning and may even extend as far east as the Helderbergs and even parts of the Capital District. The RGEM even suggests the extension reaches into Berkshire County but with limited cold air advection, no multi-lake connection and a mixing depth only up to 2km, we have lesser confidence for lake effect showers will reach into western New England. Therefore, have chance POPS reserved for Schoharie County into the Helderbergs with slight chance eastward. Regardless, temperatures are still mild enough that p-type will be rain outside of the higher terrain in the northern Catskills where a rain/snow mix can occur. Forecast soundings show steep lapse rates in the boundary layer so would not be surprised if some graupel falls in the higher terrain.
Further north, lake effect off Lake Ontario will impact the western Adirondacks through this morning as well in the form of rain or rain/snow mix in the higher terrain. Marginal temperatures should limit any wet snow accumulations under 1 inch.
Otherwise, winds turn breezy today with sustained winds 5-15kts and gusts up to 25-30kts (strongest from the Mohawk Valley through the Berkshires). Heading into the afternoon, the lake effect bands break-up into fragments as the true cold front and a weaker shortwave tracks eastward and boundary layer flow veers from the west to northwesterly. Guidance shows the push of true cold air behind the front arriving after 18 UTC through 00 UTC from northwest to southeast. This will enhance the lake effect response for the western and southern Adirondacks and the upslope/orographic lift along the spine of the Greens. The cold air advection will also create more favorable conditions for wet snow to accumulate. However, still only expecting up to 1 inch of snow. The northwesterly wind shift should redirect lake effect bands from the northern Catskills southward and should transition to be more wet snow in the higher terrain of the eastern Catskills as the boundary layer cools and we approach sunset. Some showers may even reach the Hudson Valley. However, the less favorable fetch off the lake should weaken the bands and thus keep any accumulations to a minimum.
High temperatures today will be rather seasonable despite the breezy conditions. Highs likely reach the mid to even upper 40s in the valley thanks to deep boundary layer mixing with mid to upper 30s in the hill towns and higher terrain. However, the breezy winds and cloudy skies will make it feel cooler.
For tonight, cold air advection behind the front will maintain lake effect snow showers for the northern/eastern Catskills, western Mohawk Valley, western/southern Adirondacks and southern Greens but again the northwesterly flow down the short fetch of Lake Ontario will weaken the lake enhancement and therefore keep any snow accumulations low with most only ranging from a coating to 1 inch. The spine of the southern Greens should see the highest amounts with 1 - 1.5 inches possible due to orographic enhancements. Otherwise, cloud coverage and breezy winds keep temperatures elevated with lows only in the mid to upper 20s with low 30s in the valley.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Strong subsidence and high pressure from the Ohio Valley builds into the Northeast for Tuesday which will shut-off the lake effect response. While some skies could break for some sun in the morning, once we reach peak heating, skies likely become cloudy again as moisture underneath the subsidence inversion remains in place. Expect a cooler day thanks to northwest flow.
Highs only likely reach the mid to upper 30s for most with some low 40s in the mid-Hudson Valley and upper 20s in the higher terrain of the southern Greens and southern/western Adirondacks.
A cooler night expected for Tuesday night despite mostly cloudy as high pressure builds into southern Canada, promoting a northerly wind shift. Thus, temperatures drop into the mid to upper 20s for much of the area with low 20s in the higher terrain.
Northerly flow continues for Wednesday which will maintain the cooler temperatures with highs only rising into the low to mid 30s. Mid to upper 20s in the higher terrain. Luckily, skies should finally give way to increased afternoon sun as the northerly flow advects in a drier air mass as we lose the moisture fetch off the lakes. It will be rather breezy, however, as a disturbances passes off shore and the sfc pressure gradient tightens. This will make it feel even cooler. Guidance hints that some isolated snow showers are possible for Wednesday, perhaps enhanced from Lake Champlain, but we did not have enough confidence to include in the latest forecast and maintained dry conditions.
Wednesday night will turn cold thanks to clearer skies and radiational cooling. Lows expected to drop into the teens and low 20s throughout eastern NY and western New England.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Upper ridging just begins to build into our region from the west on Thursday. Weak warm advection will begin through the day Thursday as low level ridging builds east of our region. There maybe a few lake effect snow showers into the southern Adirondacks. Considerable mid and high clouds with temperatures in the mid 30s to near 40 and upper 20s to around 30 higher terrain.
Periods of mid and high clouds Friday into Saturday as deeper warm advection continues and the upper level ridge axis tracks through our region, shifting upper level winds to the SW, allowing for more upper level moisture to stream in. Highs Friday in the 40s with mid to upper 30s higher terrain. Highs Saturday in the upper 40s to lower 50s and lower 40s higher terrain.
Amplifying upper energy approaches our region from the west and southwest Sunday. Stronger warm advection, along with increasing deep moisture, low level jet energy and isentropic lift should spread showers through the region. Highs Sunday around 50 to mid 50s with mid to upper 40s higher terrain.
AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Rain lingering around KGFL and should exit by 10Z. Just VCSH around KALB and KPSF through abut 10Z, with the rain far enough north of KPOU that no showers expected there. Most visibilities are VFR and will remain VFR in any shower activity.
Ceilings have been quite variable, with IFR ceilings at KPOU and KPSF, that will likely remain IFR through at least 10Z, but periods of MVFR ceilings possible. KGFL and KALB have some scattered clouds below 1000 feet that could intermittently become IFR ceilings through about 10Z.
Storm system exits after 10Z and while visibilities will be VFR through the day, ceilings will just very slowly improve through this morning and afternoon. By afternoon, KPOU should be VFR, while KALB should become VFR by around 18Z. KPSF and KGFL may not reach VFR until around 00Z. A few showers are possible in the afternoon due to lake effect clouds and upslope, so VCSH included during the afternoon at KALB and KPSF.
Light and variable to light south winds at less than 10 Kt through mid morning will become west at around 10 Kt between 12Z-18Z, with some gusts above 15 Kt in the afternoon. Winds become west to northwest and diminish to less than 10 Kt this evening.
Outlook...
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPOU HUDSON VALLEY RGNL,NY | 21 sm | 51 min | SW 04 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 41°F | 39°F | 93% | 29.70 |
Wind History from POU
(wind in knots)Kingston Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:39 AM EST 0.60 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:40 AM EST 3.00 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:06 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 12:27 PM EST Moonset
Mon -- 12:36 PM EST 1.05 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:24 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 06:35 PM EST 3.29 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:23 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:39 AM EST 0.60 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:40 AM EST 3.00 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:06 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 12:27 PM EST Moonset
Mon -- 12:36 PM EST 1.05 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:24 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 06:35 PM EST 3.29 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:23 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.7 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 1 |
| 3 am |
| 1.6 |
| 4 am |
| 2.1 |
| 5 am |
| 2.6 |
| 6 am |
| 2.9 |
| 7 am |
| 3 |
| 8 am |
| 2.7 |
| 9 am |
| 2.1 |
| 10 am |
| 1.5 |
| 11 am |
| 1.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 2 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 3 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 3 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.3 |
Hyde Park
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:17 AM EST 0.50 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:20 AM EST 2.60 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:06 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 12:14 PM EST 0.87 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:27 PM EST Moonset
Mon -- 04:25 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 06:15 PM EST 2.84 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:23 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:17 AM EST 0.50 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:20 AM EST 2.60 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:06 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 12:14 PM EST 0.87 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:27 PM EST Moonset
Mon -- 04:25 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 06:15 PM EST 2.84 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:23 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 1 |
| 3 am |
| 1.5 |
| 4 am |
| 2 |
| 5 am |
| 2.3 |
| 6 am |
| 2.6 |
| 7 am |
| 2.5 |
| 8 am |
| 2.1 |
| 9 am |
| 1.6 |
| 10 am |
| 1.2 |
| 11 am |
| 1 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 1 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 1 |
Albany, NY,
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