Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Timberlake, OH
February 17, 2025 2:59 PM EST (19:59 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 7:16 AM Sunset 6:03 PM Moonrise 11:25 PM Moonset 9:20 AM |
LEZ166 Expires:202502172115;;045744 Fzus61 Kcle 171418 Glfle
open lake forecast for lake erie national weather service cleveland oh 918 am est Mon feb 17 2025
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake erie
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
Synopsis - A trough averaging 29.90 inches will linger across lake erie through tonight. By Tuesday, a ridge averaging 30.50 inches builds east across the lake. Another trough averaging 30.20 inches moves into the ohio valley Wednesday night into Thursday before high pressure 30.70 inches builds over the central and eastern us Friday into the weekend.
lez165>167-172115- vermilion to avon point oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- avon point to willowick oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border-willowick to geneva-on-the- lake oh beyond 5nm off shoreline to us-canadian border- 918 am est Mon feb 17 2025
This afternoon - West winds to 30 knots. A slight chance of snow showers, then a chance of snow showers late. The lake is mostly ice covered.
Tonight - West winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers through the early overnight.
Tuesday - West winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots.
Tuesday night - West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest.
Wednesday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of snow showers Wednesday night.
Thursday - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers during the day.
Friday - West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest.
waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered.
open lake forecast for lake erie national weather service cleveland oh 918 am est Mon feb 17 2025
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake erie
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
lez165>167-172115- vermilion to avon point oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- avon point to willowick oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border-willowick to geneva-on-the- lake oh beyond 5nm off shoreline to us-canadian border- 918 am est Mon feb 17 2025
waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered.
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Area Discussion for Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 171739 AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1239 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025
SYNOPSIS
Arctic high pressure will build into the region today and tonight, holding the area into midweek. An upper level low passes through the Great Lakes mid week. High pressure continues for the end of the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
930 AM Update...
Minor PoP changes to the forecast. Spread some slight PoPs of snow showers across the lake shore counties and from areas I-77 eastward. Snow showers should taper off throughout the day, though may linger in far NE OH and NW PA. Additional accumulations should remain under an inch, with some locally higher amounts possible in areas with prolonged snowfall.
625 AM Update...
Winter weather headlines are gone, although snow showers will continue through the day. Some minor POP adjustments, but overall, no major changes to the forecast.
Previous Discussion...
The southern Great Lakes region is undergoing a gradual erosion of the lower level moisture and a shifting of the streamlines from a northwesterly direction to more westerly. Despite continued cold air advection, coverage of the snow showers off Lake Michigan into our CWA should decrease accordingly into the daytime hours. Keeping the decrease in POPs very slow from the previous forecast as well, given the Arctic airmass in place and the little forcing needed to produce light snow showers. A slight reinvigoration of the POPs expected after 18Z around the NW PA area in a briefly favorable fetch in the westerly flow off of southern Lake Michigan. At this point, an inch or less additional snow expected for the non lake effect areas, while 1-3 additional inches possible in far NE OH/NW PA.
For temperatures today, not much recovery from the early morning lows that will end up in the lower to mid teens. Pretty much all locations should stay under 20F this afternoon, or very close to it.
Winds ease tonight, with temperatures bottoming out under some clearing. Widespread single digits possible under improving radiational cooling conditions with snow pack, and lows largely in the 0-5F range and wind chills minus 5 to minus 10. Tuesday is likely the coldest day of the forecast with low to mid teens for high temperatures.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Arctic air remains overhead which will keep much below normal temperatures in place through the short term period. Upper level trough across the Upper Midwest will continue to glide east towards the Great Lakes region through the short term. At the surface, low pressure will glide across the southern US which may allow for some snow showers to enter the forecast area from the south on Wednesday.
The upper trough moves overhead Wednesday night into Thursday which will allow for snow showers to become more widespread. Snow showers will transition into lake effect snow during the day Thursday before diminishing Thursday evening as another area of high pressure builds over the Central US.
Overnight lows in the single digits Tuesday night with another night of sub-zero wind chills expected. Highs on Wednesday and Thursday rise into the upper teens to lower 20s. Overnight lows Wednesday night and Thursday night will be slightly warmer as they settle around 10-15 degrees F.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Dry weather is expected through the long term period as expansive high pressure remains across the eastern CONUS. High temperatures will gradually increase though the long term as the high builds east with highs on Friday in the mid 20s rising to the mid 30s by Sunday.
AVIATION /18Z Monday THROUGH Saturday/
Starting to see an MVFR ceiling develop across most of the region impacting all but FDY at this point. There are a few light snow showers and blowing snow dropping vis below unrestricted but still VFR. ERI is the only terminal expected to go down to IFR vis during the TAF period due to a lake effect band situated over far NE OH and NW PA. Conditions should improve to VFR by 06Z Tuesday for ERI. CLE and TOL should see a period of lake effect snow showers this evening and tonight before dissipating by 08Z Tuesday. Winds will gradually decrease throughout the day today dropping down the below 12kts after 01-06Z Tuesday. ERI is the exception and will still be gusting to 20kts through the TAF period.
Outlook
Non-VFR conditions possible Wednesday through Thursday night with snow showers across the region and lake effect for the northern terminals. High pressure builds in to end the week and for the beginning of the weekend.
MARINE
Westerly winds 25 to 30 knots will persist across Lake Erie through this afternoon before diminishing slightly to 20-25 knots this evening. Arctic high pressure builds over the region from the west tonight which will further diminish winds across the lake Tuesday and Wednesday. Winds turn northwesterly by Wednesday ahead of a system approaching the lake from the south. High pressure and westerly flow return by Friday.
Have issued a Marine Weather Statement for ice floes on Lake Erie given the elevated westerly winds through today.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1239 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025
SYNOPSIS
Arctic high pressure will build into the region today and tonight, holding the area into midweek. An upper level low passes through the Great Lakes mid week. High pressure continues for the end of the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
930 AM Update...
Minor PoP changes to the forecast. Spread some slight PoPs of snow showers across the lake shore counties and from areas I-77 eastward. Snow showers should taper off throughout the day, though may linger in far NE OH and NW PA. Additional accumulations should remain under an inch, with some locally higher amounts possible in areas with prolonged snowfall.
625 AM Update...
Winter weather headlines are gone, although snow showers will continue through the day. Some minor POP adjustments, but overall, no major changes to the forecast.
Previous Discussion...
The southern Great Lakes region is undergoing a gradual erosion of the lower level moisture and a shifting of the streamlines from a northwesterly direction to more westerly. Despite continued cold air advection, coverage of the snow showers off Lake Michigan into our CWA should decrease accordingly into the daytime hours. Keeping the decrease in POPs very slow from the previous forecast as well, given the Arctic airmass in place and the little forcing needed to produce light snow showers. A slight reinvigoration of the POPs expected after 18Z around the NW PA area in a briefly favorable fetch in the westerly flow off of southern Lake Michigan. At this point, an inch or less additional snow expected for the non lake effect areas, while 1-3 additional inches possible in far NE OH/NW PA.
For temperatures today, not much recovery from the early morning lows that will end up in the lower to mid teens. Pretty much all locations should stay under 20F this afternoon, or very close to it.
Winds ease tonight, with temperatures bottoming out under some clearing. Widespread single digits possible under improving radiational cooling conditions with snow pack, and lows largely in the 0-5F range and wind chills minus 5 to minus 10. Tuesday is likely the coldest day of the forecast with low to mid teens for high temperatures.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Arctic air remains overhead which will keep much below normal temperatures in place through the short term period. Upper level trough across the Upper Midwest will continue to glide east towards the Great Lakes region through the short term. At the surface, low pressure will glide across the southern US which may allow for some snow showers to enter the forecast area from the south on Wednesday.
The upper trough moves overhead Wednesday night into Thursday which will allow for snow showers to become more widespread. Snow showers will transition into lake effect snow during the day Thursday before diminishing Thursday evening as another area of high pressure builds over the Central US.
Overnight lows in the single digits Tuesday night with another night of sub-zero wind chills expected. Highs on Wednesday and Thursday rise into the upper teens to lower 20s. Overnight lows Wednesday night and Thursday night will be slightly warmer as they settle around 10-15 degrees F.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Dry weather is expected through the long term period as expansive high pressure remains across the eastern CONUS. High temperatures will gradually increase though the long term as the high builds east with highs on Friday in the mid 20s rising to the mid 30s by Sunday.
AVIATION /18Z Monday THROUGH Saturday/
Starting to see an MVFR ceiling develop across most of the region impacting all but FDY at this point. There are a few light snow showers and blowing snow dropping vis below unrestricted but still VFR. ERI is the only terminal expected to go down to IFR vis during the TAF period due to a lake effect band situated over far NE OH and NW PA. Conditions should improve to VFR by 06Z Tuesday for ERI. CLE and TOL should see a period of lake effect snow showers this evening and tonight before dissipating by 08Z Tuesday. Winds will gradually decrease throughout the day today dropping down the below 12kts after 01-06Z Tuesday. ERI is the exception and will still be gusting to 20kts through the TAF period.
Outlook
Non-VFR conditions possible Wednesday through Thursday night with snow showers across the region and lake effect for the northern terminals. High pressure builds in to end the week and for the beginning of the weekend.
MARINE
Westerly winds 25 to 30 knots will persist across Lake Erie through this afternoon before diminishing slightly to 20-25 knots this evening. Arctic high pressure builds over the region from the west tonight which will further diminish winds across the lake Tuesday and Wednesday. Winds turn northwesterly by Wednesday ahead of a system approaching the lake from the south. High pressure and westerly flow return by Friday.
Have issued a Marine Weather Statement for ice floes on Lake Erie given the elevated westerly winds through today.
CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH | 25 mi | 60 min | WSW 35G | 18°F | 32°F | 30.07 | 10°F | |
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH | 28 mi | 60 min | W 20G | 17°F | 30.09 | |||
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH | 38 mi | 90 min | W 24G | |||||
LORO1 | 42 mi | 90 min | W 18G | 16°F | ||||
ASBO1 | 47 mi | 60 min | W 18G |
Wind History for Fairport, OH
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(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of great lakes
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Cleveland, OH,

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