NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
1030 PM Update...
The forecast remains on track and no changes were needed with this update. Expect temperatures to fall into the mid to upper 50s tonight, but a few spots along the lakeshore may stay in the slightly warmer lower 60s.

Previous Discussion...
The forecast will continue to be quiet for the next couple of days. An upper level ridge of high pressure over the eastern Great Lakes and Northeast CONUS is dominating our weather pattern. A low pressure system south of the ridge of high pressure will track westward through the Mid- Atlantic region by Monday night. This system will bring an increase in high level clouds by Monday evening. In the meantime, we will continue to see mostly clear skies and beautiful weather conditions. High temperatures in the afternoon will be in the lower to mid 80s.
Overnight low temps will be in the middle to upper 50s.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
A low pressure system over the southeast United States will lift north toward the local area for Tuesday into Wednesday. There is still uncertainty on if this system will be a formal tropical or subtropical system, but it remains highlighted by the NHC.
Regardless, there remains some consensus on this feature bringing at least a little hope for some clouds and rain into the region for the middle of the week. There are still some timing disparities among the main operational models, but Wednesday remains as the most favorable day for rain and have maximum PoPs at a 40% chance for the eastern half of the forecast area. However, excitement about rain remains guarded as the low entering the region will encounter resistance from a closed upper high and a substantially dry air mass in a drought region and in the end, not expecting over 0.25" of rain through Wednesday night. With clouds into the region, temperatures will settle toward normal in the 70s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
A remnant low will remain across the region for Thursday, but an upper ridge will start to shove the system east. Some lift and residual moisture in the area should keep clouds about and temperatures near or a couple degrees above normal. However, the ridge will shift east for the weekend and dry and warmer conditions should take hold with surface high pressure to the northeast. Temperatures should return to the 80s for most.

AVIATION /00Z Monday THROUGH Friday/
VFR is expected through the TAF period. Winds will be light and variable or out of the southeast and less than 10 knots overnight before becoming more east/northeasterly and increasing to 5 to 10 knots by Monday afternoon. The higher northeast winds closer to 10 knots will be located behind the lake breeze boundary.

Outlook...VFR expected through Tuesday afternoon. A low pressure system may approach the region from the southeast and bring non-VFR conditions by the middle of the week, but expect VFR conditions to return for Friday.

MARINE
A surface high east of the region will allow for dry conditions and generally light east to southeast flow through Monday. Afternoon lake breezes should develop and there could be some enhanced easterlies during the afternoon and evening that could allow for some unpleasant conditions for some of the central basin. A low pressure system will enter from the southeast for the middle of the week and east to northeast flow will be favored. This low will be pushed out of the region by Friday, when high pressure to the northeast will continue some form of east to northeast flow. There are no imminent headline concerns on the lake.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.