Saturday, May30, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Erie, PA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:45AMSunset 8:50PM Saturday May 30, 2020 7:28 PM EDT (23:28 UTC) Moonrise 12:32PMMoonset 1:29AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ149 Expires:202005302015;;989088 Fzus51 Kcle 301403 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 1003 Am Edt Sat May 30 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez148-149-302015- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the-lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 1003 Am Edt Sat May 30 2020
.small craft advisory in effect until 8 pm edt this evening...
This afternoon..West winds 10 to 20 knots becoming northwest. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 6 feet.
Tonight..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north. Isolated showers in the evening. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..West winds 5 to 15 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday. The water temperature off toledo is 60 degrees, off cleveland 53 degrees, and off erie 58 degrees.
LEZ149


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Erie, PA
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location: 42.12, -80.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 302252 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 652 PM EDT Sat May 30 2020

. 00z Aviation TAF and Near Term Forecast Update .

SYNOPSIS. Clipper storm system will cross the area overnight. High pressure takes control of the region on Sunday then moves to the Middle Atlantic Coast by late Monday. This will allow a warm front to lift across the area Monday night into Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. 7 pm update . No changes were made to the forecast this evening.

Previous discussion . Clipper storm system impacts the region this evening. Already seeing a few showers across the upper lakes with this feature. Still dont think it will be more than isolated/scattered in coverage through maybe midnight and mostly across NE OH/NW PA. Highs seem to be on track for the afternoon with 60's to low 70's anticipated. Cold enough air flowing across the warmer lake should keep a decent amount of cloud cover over the region into Sunday morning. This should help keep lows in the 40's.

High pressure will take control of the region on Sunday with drier air moving overhead. Any morning cloud cover should dissipate through the afternoon. It will be cooler with highs ranging from the upper 50's across NW PA to the upper 60's across NW OH.

Cool Sunday night with dry air and light winds. Will have to monitor for some upper 30's in a few spots. Otherwise most locations will be in the lower 40's inland to near 50 along the lakeshore.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Upper level trough will move east of the area as large area of upper level ridging continues to amplify with time during this period. A surface warm front will lift northeast across the region Monday night as surface high pressure moves southeast off the Carolina coast. Moisture associated with the warm front along with upper level positive vorticity advection will support the threat for showers and thunderstorms across the area Tuesday and Tuesday night. Warm air advection will take place in earnest and bring a surge of much warmer air back to the local area Tuesday. Looking at highs in the middle 60s east to lower 70s west Monday and lows Monday night around 50 east to near 60 west. Highs Tuesday will warm into the middle 80s west to lower to middle 70s east.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Nearly zonal flow will develop Wednesday across the area aloft as upper level ridge shifts east and flattens. An upper level ridge will build across the Central Plains states by the end of the week causing an upper level trough to develop over the northeastern United States. After an initial warm air advection pattern setting up mid-week, a cold front will settle southeast across the area Friday night followed by surface high pressure building into the Great Lakes region. Some limited moisture will be associated with the cold front as it moves southeast across the region. Even though the front appears to be sluggish, may need to increase POPs with time by Friday night and depending on timing, may need to add mention of thunder. Highs each day will be in the 80s and lows for the most part in the 60s.

AVIATION /00Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/. There are no impactful aviation concerns with this 00z TAF update. VFR and quite weather will continue through the next 24 to 30 hours for all TAF locations. Scattered fair weather cumulus clouds will fade away around sunset this evening. Some CU and scattered high level cirrus will return during the day on Sunday but not impactful. Winds will be generally northwest 5 to 10 knots during the time period.

Outlook . Non-VFR possible in scattered showers Monday night . mainly NE OH/NW PA. Scattered thunderstorms possible Tuesday with higher coverage of thunderstorms by Wednesday.

MARINE. Small craft advisory and beach hazards statement will remain in effect the rest of the afternoon as winds 10 to 20 knots continue across the eastern portions of the lake. Expecting winds to diminish later this afternoon and allow small craft advisory to be discontinued. May need to hoist another small craft advisory for late tonight into tomorrow as winds increase and shift to a northerly direction. Small craft advisory will be short lived as winds shift to a southwest direction by afternoon. Otherwise a brief increase in winds expected Tuesday out of the southwest followed by fairly light winds Wednesday into Thursday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for OHZ089. PA . Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for PAZ001. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LEZ148- 149.

SYNOPSIS . MM NEAR TERM . Griffin/MM SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . Griffin MARINE . Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
EREP1 4 mi58 min W 4.1 G 7
NREP1 18 mi118 min WNW 14 G 16 61°F
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 46 mi88 min W 11 G 13 55°F 1018.1 hPa (+2.5)
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 51 mi118 min NW 4.1 G 5.1 67°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Erie, Erie International Airport, PA6 mi37 minW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy62°F45°F54%1018.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KERI

Wind History from ERI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW10W7SW5SW3SW3SW3S4S4S4S6S5S5S8SW12W11
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1 day agoS5S5S7W9SW4S4S4S6S4S8S9S11S12S12S10
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2 days agoSE5SE9SE12SE12SE9SE12SE12
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S11S12S11S7SE7CalmN3N6N8W4W5W7CalmCalmS5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.