Sunday, July5, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Lake City, PA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:49AMSunset 9:00PM Sunday July 5, 2020 4:45 AM EDT (08:45 UTC) Moonrise 8:48PMMoonset 5:04AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ149 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 401 Am Edt Sun Jul 5 2020
Today..Light and variable winds becoming north 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..East winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. Mostly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southeast winds less than 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday night..Light and variable winds. Mostly clear. Waves 1 foot or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday. The water temperature off toledo is 75 degrees, off cleveland 66 degrees, and off erie 75 degrees.
LEZ149 Expires:202007051415;;343246 FZUS51 KCLE 050801 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 401 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ149-051415-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake City , PA
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location: 42.12, -80.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 050824 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 424 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will persist over the area through midweek, weakening by Wednesday. A weak cold front will move across the area Tuesday night into Wednesday before a stronger cold front pushes through towards the end of the week on Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. Today, the upper level ridge will persist over the area keeping a rather dry airmass in place. Temperatures will begin to increase today with highs in the mid 90's with cooler temperatures along the lakeshore. No precipitation is expected and humidity values will remain low for today as the bulk of moisture remains on the periphery of the forecast area. Overnight low temperatures are expected to remain a bit warmer than previous nights with temperatures only dropping to the upper 60's to low 70's. On Monday, similar conditions will persist with temperatures again increasing to have high temperatures in the mid 90's with heat indices only a few degrees higher as humidity values again remain low with dew point temperatures remaining in the low 60's. Hi-Res models are hinting at isolated showers in NW OH on Monday, however confidence is low so kept chance PoPs out of this forecast update. If these do occur, they will most likely occur along the lake breeze boundary during the diurnal cycle with mesoscale ascent playing a large role in storm development.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Broad upper level ridge will remain across the area this week with above normal temperatures continuing. Forecast high temperatures are expected to be in the low to mid 90s across the entire area Tuesday and Wednesday. Dewpoints have been on the low side but will trend up through mid-week as a shortwave and associated weak trough moves across the upper Great Lakes on Tuesday. As dewpoints creep up into the mid and upper 60s, we will begin to see scattered thunderstorms return to the area and heat index values reach the upper 90s across parts of Ohio. By Tuesday a few thunderstorms are possible across NW Ohio and along the lake breeze in NE Ohio. By Wednesday, storms will be possible along the lake breeze again, then drifting to the south through the afternoon. Warm mid levels will continue to limit coverage of storms so will continue with just a chance in the forecast, but mesoscale boundaries like lake breezes and outflow boundaries will be sufficient for some storm development. Expecting coverage to be low enough that they only provide localized respite from the heat. After several days of building heat, low temperatures will struggle to dip below 70 degrees.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. The heat is expected to peak late this week, before temperatures drop back closer to normal over the weekend. ECMWF MOS guidance places the hottest day of the week on Thursday for most sites with the ridge firmly overhead. Heat index values will be near Heat Advisory criteria across much of northern Ohio with highest values across the west. Heat stress will become increasingly concerning through the week with repeated days of heat and sun combined with warm overnight lows that will provide little relief. Models continue to show the upper level ridge breaking down Friday into Saturday as a series of troughs move out of the northern Plains across the Midwest. Friday is still expected to be hot with increasing humidity ahead of the front. Best chances of showers and thunderstorms this week will be late Friday into Saturday.

AVIATION /06Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/. Currently, light and variable winds have allowed haze/smoke from this evenings fireworks across the area to linger near the surface in some areas, resulting in reduction of visibilities to MVFR conditions. A tempo for MVFR visibilities is in the TAF for ERI through 8Z as this lingering air is expected to slowly mix with surrounding air and increase the visibilities.

VFR conditions are expected for this TAF period as an upper level ridge continues to dominate the region. Winds will be light and variable with a lake breeze expected to set up this afternoon. This will allow winds to shift and become norther to northeasterly for sites along the lake with winds at 5 to 10 knots.

Outlook . Non-VFR in isolated thunderstorms on Tuesday and scattered thunderstorms on Wednesday.

MARINE. A light wind regime will continue on Lake Erie with generally good boating conditions persisting through the week. Most afternoon will feature a lake breeze of 5 to 15 knots. Isolated thunderstorms will be possible from Tuesday through Thursday time frame with greater coverage of thunderstorms possible along a cold front Friday night.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . Campbell NEAR TERM . Campbell SHORT TERM . KEC LONG TERM . KEC AVIATION . Campbell MARINE . KEC


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
EREP1 17 mi45 min SSW 1.9 G 1.9
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 35 mi75 min S 6 G 8 83°F
NREP1 35 mi75 min S 4.1 G 5.1 63°F
45132 - Port Stanley 48 mi45 min E 5.8 G 7.8 73°F 73°F1 ft1015.1 hPa (+0.3)
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 52 mi45 min WSW 5.1 G 8.9 66°F 76°F1015.6 hPa (+0.0)61°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Erie, Erie International Airport, PA13 mi54 minN 06.00 miFair with Haze63°F57°F84%1015.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KERI

Wind History from ERI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmN4N5N9N6N6N8N7N7NW7N5NW43W4NW3CalmCalmCalmS4CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoS3S4S5SW5SW5W8SW7W8W10SW8W7W7W7W8W7W6W5S4S4S3S5CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoS4S6CalmSW4CalmW6W5NW6W7W8W7W9W8W10W8W7SW8W9
G15
SW5S5S5S4S4S4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.