Thursday, March4, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Wesleyville, PA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 6:15PM Thursday March 4, 2021 4:16 PM EST (21:16 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:57AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ149 Expires:202102250900;;061266 Fzus71 Kcle 242041 Mwscle Marine Weather Statement National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 341 Pm Est Wed Feb 24 2021 Lez145>149-250900- Vermilion To Avon Point Oh-avon Point To Willowick Oh- Willowick To Geneva-on-the Lake Oh-geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh-conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 341 Pm Est Wed Feb 24 2021
.strong winds and shifting ice along the shore of lake erie... Conditions along the shoreline of lake erie will be hazardous to marine traffic, especially small vessels. Today southwesterly winds of 20 to 30 knots will keep remaining ice focused towards the open waters. As a result, much of the ice concentration from vermilion oh to ripley ny will be minimized, resulting in waves of 3 to 5 feet in areas without ice cover in these nearshore waters. By this evening, winds will shift to westerly and eventually northwesterly. As a result, ice floes will begin to move towards the aforementioned nearshore zones, posing additional hazards to vessels. This could include entrapment as ice returns to the southern shores of lake erie.
LEZ149


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wesleyville , PA
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location: 42.13, -80     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 041813 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 113 PM EST Thu Mar 4 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will settle south out of Canada across the western Great Lakes through the end of the week. Meanwhile a trough will pull a cold front south across the eastern Great Lakes Friday night into Saturday. High pressure will shift to the southeastern states by Monday allowing a warm front to lift north across the region.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/.

Slight changes were made to max temperatures and POPs for the afternoon to reflect ongoing weak lake effect snow showers over the greater Cleveland Akron area.

Previous Discussion: A typical late winter day is in store for the region with much colder air aloft than yesterday. Plenty of lake effect induced clouds are streaming south from the upper lakes across Lake Erie and into Ohio and nw PA. Radars across the region this morning show an increase in areal coverage from KDTX and KBUF and also the Exeter Ontario radar and more recently KCLE. The upper air soundings this morning show the low level inversion height ranging from about 3000 feet near DTX to about 6000 feet near BUF. The inversion height over the CWA will range between these levels to support flurries and light snow showers from Lorain County east into NW PA. Will increase POPs to reflect the uptick in radar returns. Under cold advection with extensive cloudiness, temperatures will warm little from their present readings today.

Previous Discussion: Clouds continue to expand across the area early this morning but still not seeing any precipitation developing. Overall set-up is not very favorable for snow and both lowered and delayed pops this morning.

Previous discussion . A much cooler airmass will settle south across the area today following the front that came through last evening. Satellite imagery shows an expanding stratocu deck that will bring partly to mostly cloudy conditions to the area today. Our local radar is yet to show much in the way of snow shower development although flurries are noted on radars across northern lower Michigan and southern Ontario. Thus far moisture depth has not been sufficient to see snow materialize but can not rule out flurries or a few light snow showers later today across the snowbelt as we continue to cool. No accumulation is expected. More noticeable will be the change in temperature from yesterday with highs running 15-20 degrees cooler and wind chills making it feel like the teens for areas east of I-71 with breezy northwest winds. High pressure will expand south out of Canada across the western Great Lakes through tonight. The airmass dries and many areas will clear overnight except for portions of NE Ohio and NW Pennsylvania that maintain scattered clouds with a fetch off Lake Huron. Although most areas will hold onto a light wind and some mixing of the boundary layer, temperatures tonight will tend to drop into the teens to lower 20s. By Friday, the flow across Lake Erie backs focusing remains clouds towards NW Pennsylvania. After the cool morning temperatures, highs on Friday will only trend up by a couple degrees.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Large upper level low pressure system will persist over Quebec, Canada and cause cyclonic flow across the area through Sunday. The upper level low is expected to lift northeast of the area Sunday night into Monday while a weak ridge of high pressure begins to build into the Great Lakes region. Surface low pressure will be a contributing factor in the cyclonic flow across the area as it meanders around eastern Quebec Saturday night. An Arctic cold front will move south across the area Friday night. Cold air advection will take place from the northwest on the west side of the surface low pressure system and high pressure building south into the western Great Lakes region. The cyclonic flow and cold air advection will result in well aligned flow across the area Friday night into Saturday night. However, inversion will be quite low at around 5000 feet and 850 mb temperatures drop to near -14 degrees C. Can't rule out a few scattered snow showers in the extreme northeast snowbelt. Otherwise, with high pressure building south, the rest of the area should remain dry through this period. Low temperatures will start out in the lower 20s across the area Friday night. Lows Saturday night will be slightly colder in the teens in the east and lower to middle 20s elsewhere. The center of the high will shift east of the area Sunday night allowing for some weak warm air advection to develop. Highs Sunday in the lower to middle 40s and lows Sunday night will be in the lower 20s east to lower 30s west.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Broad upper level ridge will build east across the eastern half of the United States Monday through Wednesday but will shift off the east coast by Wednesday night. A shortwave trough will lift northeast and become negatively tilted by Wednesday night. Surface high pressure will shift east away from the local area Monday and become nearly stationary over the Carolina coast through Tuesday. Deepening low pressure in response to the upper level trough will lift northeast out of the Central Plains across the northern Great Lakes. This system will cause fairly strong warm air advection to take place across the region Wednesday as a warm front lifts north across the area Monday night. The surface low will bring with it copious amounts of moisture by the end of the forecast period. Expecting showers to move into the region during this time. Otherwise, fair weather will be the rule across the region. The gradual warming trend will result in temperatures climbing into the 50s Monday and Tuesday but possibly flirting with the lower 60s by Wednesday. Overnight lows will warm from the 30s into the 40s through the period as warm air advection takes place.

AVIATION /18Z Thursday THROUGH Tuesday/.

Winter has returned this afternoon as lake effect clouds and scattered snow showers prevail across northern Ohio and nw PA with mainly MVFR ceilings. A few of the heavier snow showers are producing localized IFR visibility restrictions and other spots have VFR ceilings near ERI and TOL. The main source of the moisture is from Lake Huron which is streaming south into the KLPR to KCLE KCAK region where lower ceilings and showers are occurring. This activity will continue for the next few hours but clearing over eastern MI is progressing south and should reach the TOL to FDY and MFD area toward evening. Similar clearing will reach ERI too. Slower improvement is expected near CLE and CAK as the Huron plume gradually subsides. Tempo groups were added to account for scattered snow showers for the CLE to CAK and YNG TAFs. Northerly winds of 10-15 knots with gusts near 20 knots can be expected.

Outlook . A few non-VFR snow showers will be possible across NE OH into NW PA Friday afternoon through Saturday evening.

MARINE. Winds on the lake are expected to be 10 knots or less today and then increase to 15 to 25 knots tonight. Generally light northwest flow will persist into Friday when winds increase again Friday afternoon. The persistent northwest flow will finally give way to variable and light flow by Sunday. A shift to the southwest will take place Monday and increase back to 10 to 20 knots.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . LaPlante NEAR TERM . LaPlante SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . LaPlante MARINE . Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
EREP1 6 mi47 min NNW 17 G 19
NREP1 14 mi107 min NNW 16 G 21 31°F
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 42 mi17 min WNW 16 G 18 29°F 1020 hPa (+0.0)
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 55 mi47 min N 15 G 20

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Erie, Erie International Airport, PA10 mi26 minNW 8 G 1610.00 miA Few Clouds31°F13°F47%1022 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KERI

Wind History from ERI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW8W6SW3CalmCalmW3NW4CalmN5N4W3W4W7W9W7NW10
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1 day agoNW5W3SW5SW4S10SW14
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2 days agoNW14
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W7NW5NW7NW5NW5S4N5SW8SW10NW8W7

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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