NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

PZZ356 Coastal Waters From Cape Blanco Or To Pt. St. George Ca Out 10 Nm- 245 Pm Pdt Mon Oct 2 2023
.small craft advisory in effect until 8 pm pdt this evening...
.hazardous seas warning in effect from Tuesday afternoon through Thursday morning...
Tonight..Northern portion, nw wind 10 kt...backing to se in the evening, then...veering to S after midnight...veering to nw late tonight. Brookings southward, nw wind 15 to 20 kt...easing to 5 to 10 kt in the evening, then...backing to se after midnight. Wind waves 3 ft before dark...becoming 2 ft or less. W swell 3 to 4 ft at 18 seconds...building to 5 to 6 ft at 16 seconds. SWell and nw 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
Tue..N wind 5 kt in the morning...rising to 15 kt, then... Rising to 25 kt late in the afternoon. Wind N 5 kt early in the morning. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind in the late morning and early afternoon...rising to 15 to 20 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less... Becoming 3 to 6 ft in the afternoon. Mixed swell nw 6 to 7 ft at 14 seconds and W 3 to 4 ft at 8 seconds. Chance of rain through the day.
Tue night..N wind 20 to 25 kt. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, N wind 15 to 25 kt...easing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 5 to 8 ft. SWell nw 5 to 6 ft at 12 seconds.
Wed..N wind 15 to 20 kt...rising to 20 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, N wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft...building to 4 to 7 ft in the afternoon. W swell 6 ft...subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
Wed night..Northern portion, N wind 20 to 25 kt. Brookings southward, N wind 15 to 25 kt...veering to ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 5 to 8 ft. SWell W 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..N wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. SWell W 3 ft.
Thu night..N wind 5 to 10 kt...veering to E after midnight. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. SWell W 3 to 4 ft.
Fri..E wind 5 kt...veering to sw in the afternoon, then... Backing to se. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell nw 3 to 4 ft and W 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..SE wind 5 kt...veering to S in the afternoon and evening, then...backing to se after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. SWell nw 2 ft and W 2 ft...shifting to the W 2 ft and sw 1 ft.

PZZ300 245 Pm Pdt Mon Oct 2 2023
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..Steep seas will continue south of pistol river into this evening. A brief period of improved conditions is expected tonight into Tuesday as winds diminish. The thermal trough returns late Tuesday and continue into Thursday morning with moderate to strong north winds and steep wind driven seas. Winds and seas will diminish Thursday afternoon.

FXUS66 KMFR 022348 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 448 PM PDT Mon Oct 2 2023

.Updated Aviation Discussion.

DISCUSSION
Radar imagery is showing a band of showers drifting southward into Oregon and Siskiyou County and stretching across the Cascades into Central Oregon. These showers will continue to drift southward through the evening and overnight as a weak disturbance passes over the area tonight. The main change to the forecast was to increase chances for light precipitation to include the most of Siskiyou and Modoc Counties. The highest precipitation amounts are expected to be at the coast from Gold Beach northward and in the Cascades from Lake in the Woods northward. Amounts have increased somewhat and up to a half an inch of rain will be possible in the Cascades and at the coast.
Still, the Umpqua could see between a tenth and a quarter of an inch of rain, and all other Oregon valleys will likely stay below a tenth of an inch. Meanwhile, northern California may struggle to even record precipitation overnight.

The weather pattern changes as a ridge of high pressure builds into the area on Tuesday and conditions warm up and dry out.
Temperatures will feel a bit more like late summer than the cooler weather we've seen with temperatures around 5-10 degrees above average in the latter half of the week. Some weak north to northeast breezes will be possible during this time with the thermal trough building. With all of the rain we've seen since the end of September; fire weather concerns remain minimal as recoveries remain moderate at worst. Daytime humidities might drop into the teens for a lot of valleys west of the Cascades; but vegetation will still limit the largest of concerns.

Then, conditions begin to change back to a wetter pattern as the ridge moves eastward and an upper trough moves across the area late weekend into early next week. This front will bring temperatures closer to normal and ensembles are showing increasing chances for wetting rainfalls once again. This may pose problems for folks trying to position themselves for the annular eclipse.
Therefore, it is prudent to stay tuned to the forecast for additional updates. -Schaaf

AVIATION
03/00Z TAFS...Clouds will increase further tonight with ceilings gradually lowering from northwest to southeast. Along the coast and just offshore, ceilings will lower to MVFR from north to south this evening, then IFR with local LIFR conditions possible tonight into tomorrow morning with ceilings increasing to MVFR, then VFR Tuesday afternoon

Farther inland west of the Cascades, guidance has been showing a trend towards a later timing for when ceilings lower to MVFR at Roseburg and Medford. It's possible ceilings at Medford may not drop below VFR, but for now kept the lower conditions in the TAF, the only change was to delay the timing until late tonight. Expect the terrain to become at least partly obscured late this evening into Tuesday morning. It's possible visibilities could be reduced below 6 miles at Roseburg late this evening.

East of the Cascades, ceilings should remain VFR through the TAF period, but the higher terrain could be partly obscured towards 12z.
-Petrucelli



MARINE
Updated 200 PM October 2, 2023...After a brief period of improved conditions tonight into Tuesday, winds and seas will increase Tuesday as a thermal trough returns. Hazardous Seas Warning and Small Craft conditions are likely to return late Tuesday afternoon and lasting into Thursday morning. Isolated gales are possible south of Gold Beach during this time.

North winds and seas will diminish as the thermal trough expands northward and conditions improve for late week into the weekend. A change in the weather pattern is expected for early next week with a strong front late Sunday night into early Monday evening. This would bring increasing south winds as well as the potential for a moderate to heavy west swell early next week. Stay tuned for updates as the time comes closer and details become more clear. -Petrucelli

BEACH HAZARDS
Updated 200 PM October 2, 2023...Long period northwest swell of 5 to 8 feet at 18 seconds will linger into this evening, leading to high risk of sneaker waves. Sneaker waves are waves that can run up the beach much higher when compared to other observed waves. Sneaker waves can sweep up without warning and knock unsuspecting people over and pull them out to sea where shock and hypothermia can occur in the cold Pacific waters. In addition logs and other debris can be lifted and carried by the waters. They can crush and entrap unsuspecting victims underneath. Never turn your back to the ocean!



MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM PDT this evening for ORZ021- 022.

CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM Tuesday to 11 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ350-356-370-376.

Hazardous Seas Warning from 5 PM Tuesday to 11 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ356-370-376.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Brookings
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:26 AM PDT     6.36 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:15 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:00 AM PDT     1.98 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:16 AM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:00 PM PDT     7.66 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:57 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:47 PM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:56 PM PDT     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon, Tide feet

Crescent City
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:25 AM PDT     6.36 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:14 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:56 AM PDT     1.98 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:15 AM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:59 PM PDT     7.66 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:56 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:48 PM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:52 PM PDT     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Crescent City, California, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Medford, OR,