Friday, November15, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Talent, OR

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 4:51PM Friday November 15, 2019 2:46 PM PST (22:46 UTC) Moonrise 7:29PMMoonset 10:06AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ356 Coastal Waters From Cape Blanco Or To Pt. St. George Ca Out 10 Nm- 209 Pm Pst Fri Nov 15 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday afternoon...
Tonight..N wind early in the evening...rising to 10 to 15 kt. Wind ne 5 kt before dark. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, N wind. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 9 to 10 ft at 15 seconds. Chance of showers in the evening.
Sat..NW wind 10 to 15 kt. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, N wind 5 kt...backing to nw in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 9 to 10 ft at 15 seconds.
Sat night..NW wind 10 to 15 kt except nw 5 kt within 5 nm of brookings southward. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 7 to 8 ft at 13 seconds.
Sun..NW wind 10 to 15 kt except nw 5 kt within 5 nm of brookings southward. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 7 ft.
Sun night..N wind 15 kt...easing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 5 kt...veering to N after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 6 to 8 ft.
Mon..NE wind 5 kt...veering to S in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 ft or less. W swell 7 to 8 ft.
Mon night..Northern portion, sw wind 10 to 15 kt. Brookings southward, S wind 5 to 10 kt...veering to sw after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less...becoming 3 ft after midnight. W swell 6 to 7 ft. Chance of rain in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Tue..NW wind 10 kt...veering to N 15 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft...building to 5 ft. NW swell 9 to 10 ft.
Wed..NE wind 15 to 20 kt. Wind waves 5 to 6 ft. Mixed swell nw 8 ft and W 6 ft...subsiding to 5 ft and W 4 ft.
PZZ300 208 Pm Pst Fri Nov 15 2019
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..Despite light and variable winds, steep and hazardous seas will persist through Saturday evening. Meanwhile, long period west swell could create hazardous bar conditions through Saturday. A weak thermal trough will build along the coast Sunday, producing a brief period of north winds south of cape blanco through Monday morning. The next front will move onshore Monday night, followed by gusty north winds and steep to very steep seas Tuesday into Wednesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Talent, OR
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location: 42.23, -122.79     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 151703
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
903 am pst Fri nov 15 2019

Discussion A cold front has pushed through the forecast area
this morning. It brought about a quarter inch of rain to the
coast, highest amounts in the north, and a few hundredths to
valleys west of the cascades. The rogue valley, however, hasn't
received any measurable rainfall yet. Showers will diminish this
afternoon and should be focused primarily in the cascades. Fog is
likely in valleys that got rainfall today, but in areas without
any rain, just a few patches of fog are possible.

Dry conditions resume tomorrow until the next system arrives
early next week. We maintain an air stagnation advisory through
Tuesday for the rogue valley and most valleys east of the
cascades. We'll consider re-issuing for the umpqua and illinois
valleys as we re-enter the high pressure regime.

Please see the previous forecast discussion below for more details
on potential rainfall next week. Keene

Aviation For the 15 12z tafs... Over the coastal waters, along the
coast, in the coast range, and in the umpqua basin... Areas of MVFR
cigs vsbys in low clouds and rain with higher terrain obscured will
persist through this morning. The precipitation will end this
afternoon but the lower CIGS will persist into this evening. Areas
of ifr CIGS vsbys in low clouds and fog will develop tonight,
persisting into Saturday morning. Over the remainder of the
area...VFR conditions will persist into this evening with
scattered light precipitation. Areas of higher terrain will be
obscured. Areas of MVFR CIGS will develop tonight and persist
into Saturday morning.

Marine Updated 800 am pst Friday 15 november 2019... South winds
will diminish through this morning, but steep and hazardous seas
will persist, not subsiding until Saturday evening. Meanwhile, long
period west swell could create hazardous bar conditions through
Saturday. A thermal trough will build along the coast Sunday, but it
will be weak and won't last long. North winds will develop Saturday
from around CAPE blanco south and diminish Monday morning, and will
remain below small craft advisory levels. Another front will move
onshore Monday night. High and steep northwest swell will build
behind it, peaking Tuesday. -bpn

Prev discussion issued 315 am pst Fri nov 15 2019
discussion...

some areas along the coast are reporting rain this morning and the
radar is gradually filling in. A cold front will bring a pretty
wide swath of rain to the region this morning. Rain accumulation
from this front will be highest along the douglas lane county
border and in curry county. We're not expecting any measurable
rainfall to make it east of the cascades. Overall, this front will
help break the dry streak we've seen over roughly the last month.

However, measureable rain will do very little to get us closer to
normal to the start of the water year.

After this trough moves through the pacific northwest, we'll see
high pressure build during the weekend. We should see some fog
form in some of the valleys west of the cascades Saturday and
Sunday morning. The best chances are like always in the umpqua
valley. However, both MOS bulletins are showing fog forming in the
rogue valley as well on Saturday and Sunday morning.

Our focus then turns to Tuesday, which is when models are
predicting a few short waves moving through the pacific
northwest. The main impacts for us is another round of light
rainfall as a cold front pushes through with the first wave. This
will cool us down for the second short wave, which will be diving
down from canada. The third wave kind of misses us completely and
dives south into southern california. Aside from the interesting
shortwave interactions here, the impacts to the region are pretty
minimal. We'll be lacking moisture again, so rainfall will be
minimal, kind of like today. Although we do cool off enough to
lower snow levels, snow accumulation will be no greater than 1
inch over 5500 feet.

After Tuesday, we'll see east flow across the region as a closed
low lingers over southern california. This will lead to more dry
weather from Wednesday into next weekend.

-smith

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... Air stagnation advisory until noon pst Tuesday for
orz026-029>031.

Ca... None.

Pacific coastal waters... Small craft advisory until 4 pm pst Saturday for
pzz350-356-370-376.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CECC1 - 9419750 - Crescent City, CA 81 mi52 min W 2.9 G 4.1 58°F 52°F1023.6 hPa
46027 - ST GEORGES - 8NM West Northwest of Crescent City, CA 88 mi36 min N 3.9 G 5.8 55°F 55°F1024.1 hPa53°F
PORO3 - 9431647 - Port Orford, OR 97 mi52 min SSW 2.9 G 4.1 53°F 52°F1025.6 hPa

Wind History for Crescent City, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rogue Valley International Airport, OR11 mi53 minNNW 310.00 miOvercast57°F46°F67%1023.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMFR

Wind History from MFR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmS3N3CalmNE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3N5NW3
1 day agoCalmCalmN3S3CalmCalmCalmS3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3Calm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon
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Brookings
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:38 AM PST     5.88 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:41 AM PST     3.27 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:06 AM PST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:11 AM PST     Moonset
Fri -- 12:29 PM PST     7.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:55 PM PST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:35 PM PST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:42 PM PST     -0.54 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.15.85.85.44.73.93.43.33.74.65.76.77.37.36.65.33.61.90.5-0.4-0.50.11.22.7

Tide / Current Tables for Crescent City, California
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Crescent City
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:37 AM PST     5.88 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:37 AM PST     3.27 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:05 AM PST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:10 AM PST     Moonset
Fri -- 12:28 PM PST     7.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:56 PM PST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:35 PM PST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:38 PM PST     -0.54 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.15.85.85.44.73.93.43.33.84.65.76.77.37.26.55.23.61.90.4-0.4-0.50.11.32.7

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.