North Madison, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for North Madison, OH

April 14, 2024 10:52 PM EDT (02:52 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:41 AM   Sunset 8:04 PM
Moonrise 9:48 AM   Moonset 1:22 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LEZ167 Expires:202404150815;;755971 Fzus61 Kcle 150135 Glfle
open lake forecast for lake erie national weather service cleveland oh 935 pm edt Sun apr 14 2024
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake erie
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

Synopsis - A cold front will continue to move south of lake erie overnight. High pressure of 30.00 inches will enter behind the front for Monday. A warm front will lift north toward the lake on Tuesday, lifting north of the lake for Wednesday. Low pressure 29.30 inches will reach the western lakes for Wednesday, quickly lifting north across the region into canada for Thursday. This system will extend a cold front across the lake on Wednesday night.
lez166>168-150815- avon point to willowick oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border-willowick to geneva-on-the- lake oh beyond 5nm off shoreline to us-canadian border-geneva-on- the-lake to conneaut oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- 935 pm edt Sun apr 14 2024

Overnight - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.

Monday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Waves 2 feet or less.

Monday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tuesday - East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Tuesday night - East winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.

Wednesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. Showers during the day, then showers with a chance of Thunderstorms Wednesday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet.

Thursday - Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers Thursday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet.

Friday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

LEZ100
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Madison, OH
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Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 150007 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 807 PM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front will move across the region late this afternoon into the evening. In the wake of the front high pressure controls the region through Tuesday morning. The next warm front approaches from the Mid Ohio Valley on Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Have opted to hold onto the Severe Thunderstorm Watch with the cold front still located north of the watch area. In the last half hour some back building has been noted westward into Mahoning County with a reservoir of 1000 J/kg of ML CAPE that has yet to be utilized. This has been a tricky situation in terms of if additional redevelopment will occur and if it will be strong to severe. Several of the high resolution models do suggest at least scattered showers will develop along the front back to the west, generally along route 30 then drifting south this evening. Satellite imagery shows a fairly thick (albeit flat)
cu field where dewpoints are in the lower 50s. It does seem plausible that some showers will fill in to the west and sheer does increase through the evening. Main limiting factor for stronger convection is a lack of deep moisture as water vapor is quite dry with some warm air remaining in the mid-levels.
Will need to allow this situation to evolve past sunset before we feel comfortable letting go of the severe thunderstorm watch.

Previous discussion...The better lift associated with this storm system is currently(1930Z) moving across Lake Erie. PBZ sounding is indicating rather dry low levels as the lift moves in to assist in eroding the cap that has been over the region through the day. We are seeing a little bit of low level moisture increase ahead of the front and just ahead of this lift. This should all combine to generate convection over the next hour or so with the expectation of upscale growth. Still leaning toward an isolated to scattered coverage as the cold front sags southward across the lake.

The drier low levels lead us to a greater wind threat with any of the stronger updrafts that develop. While there is a marginal or greater risk of severe thunderstorms near and south of a Wattsburg to Findlay line it appears that the greatest threat is across our southeastern CWA This area is mainly near and east of I-77. There is potential for a couple supercells so large hail may also accompany the damaging wind gust potential.
It looks like the main time period for these thunderstorms to occur will be between 4 PM and 10 PM.

In the wake of the cold front high pressure will increase its influence on the region. This ridge then gradually drifts eastward through the day. Lows tonight dip into the 40's. Highs Monday range from the upper 50's across inland NW PA to around 70 across NW OH.

The quiet weather continues into MOnday night but the next warm front will be approaching from the middle Mississippi Valley. So there may be an increase in high level cloud cover late in the night. Lows range from the upper 30's across inland NW PA to the mid 40's.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
An upper trough will move through the central CONUS on Tuesday and will support a low pressure system that will move through the Great Lakes on Wednesday. For Tuesday, a warm front will extend ahead of the system and lift toward the lake and rain chances will increase as the feature enters the forecast area. A ridge across the region will likely limit both the coverage and intensity of rain on Tuesday, although some mid-level vorticity advection will move through the area to help break down the ridge a bit. The main show appears to be Wednesday as the front will lift north across the lake and the main forcing mechanisms of the surface low and upper trough will enter the region to allow for widespread rain chances. The system will be fairly dynamic with good jet energy and moisture will advect into the region. There will some instability to allow for some rumbles but as far as widespread storm chances, it's a bit tricky to figure this far out, as there could be issues with lots of rain in the region to wipe out a large threat, especially this far north. However, will continue to highlight high PoPs and Wednesday will need to be monitored as the details become more clear.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The long term forecast trend will be largely drier and cooler through the weekend. There will be some smaller chances for rain through the period, but greatly diminished after the more active mid week system. The long term forecast will mostly be driven by an upper trough that will dig into the upper Midwest on Thursday, moving east through Canada through Friday and Saturday. Energy behind this trough will then swing through the Great Lakes region for the weekend and bring cooler temperatures across the area, along with high pressure that should drive a dry period to transition into next week. Rain chances for the first half of the period will be driven by a front remaining across the Ohio Valley region from the midweek system. Any rain chances seem marginal as the main upper level support seems to be drifting off to the northeast. The region will be on the cold side of the front though and temperatures will decrease through the period starting with 60s on Thursday down to barely lower 50s on Sunday. Nighttime lows will be trending cooler for the weekend into next week and frost/freeze potential does exist.

AVIATION /00Z Monday THROUGH Friday/
Scattered thunderstorms continue from south of Youngstown east into Pennsylvania at 00Z. A cold front is still located along a line from near Cleveland east into Pennsylvania and will settle south this evening. It is unclear at this time if this will be sufficient to kick off additional thunderstorms ahead of the front where instability remains or if deep layer dry air will limit thunderstorms with just some light shower activity ahead of the front. Opted to include a vicinity shower in the taf at MFD/CAK for a few hours this evening and may need to updated to add a thunderstorm but coverage and confidence are too low at this time to keep a tempo for thunderstorms. Outside of thunderstorms, VFR conditions are expected to persist through the TAF period. A deck of clouds near 7K feet accompanies the front but will scatter out overnight. Mostly sunny skies are expected on Monday.

Westerly winds will decrease to 10 knots or less and veer to the north/northeast behind the front overnight. Winds back to north/northwesterly on Monday.

Outlook...Non-VFR expected with periodic rain showers and thunderstorms Tuesday through Thursday.

MARINE
Strong offshore flow will continue over the next couple of hours to allow for hazardous weather conditions for small craft on Lake Erie and will maintain the headline through this evening. A front will then cross the lake and allow for northerly flow to take over across the lake and diminish, allowing for any headline to end. High pressure will be over the lake on Monday and allow for lighter flow to develop. A warm front will lift to the lake on Tuesday and promote easterly flow across the basin. The front will lift north of the lake for Wednesday as a low pressure system moves through the Great Lakes region and there will be concern for a marine headline with that system, as robust southeast flow will be expected on Wednesday and a window of enhanced southwest flow will be expected on Wednesday night into Thursday behind the system.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 30 mi82 min SSE 1.9G2.9
ASBO1 32 mi52 min W 1.9G1.9
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 34 mi58 min SE 1.9G2.9 55°F 55°F29.7051°F
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 40 mi52 min 0G0


Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KHZY43 sm59 mincalm10 smA Few Clouds55°F48°F77%29.75
Link to 5 minute data for KHZY


Wind History from HZY
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of great lakes   
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Cleveland, OH,



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