Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Parchment, MI
April 17, 2024 3:37 PM EDT (19:37 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:55 AM Sunset 8:28 PM Moonrise 1:21 PM Moonset 3:35 AM |
LMZ845 South Haven To Holland Mi- 1105 Am Edt Wed Apr 17 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight - .
Rest of today - Southwest winds around 25 knots. Rain showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms through early afternoon. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds through early afternoon. Waves 4 to 6 feet.
Tonight - West winds 15 to 25 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 4 to 6 feet.
Thursday - West winds 10 to 15 knots veering north late in the day. Partly Sunny with a chance of rain showers. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
Thursday night - North winds 10 to 20 knots becoming northwest to 30 knots toward daybreak. Rain showers. Waves 1 to 2 feet building to 3 to 5 feet toward daybreak.
Friday - West winds to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots late in the day. Sunny. Waves 4 to 6 feet.
Saturday - Northwest winds to 30 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 6 to 8 feet.
Sunday - West winds around 15 knots backing southwest late in the day. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
LMZ800
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Area Discussion for - Grand Rapids, MI
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FXUS63 KGRR 171848 AFDGRR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 248 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry overnight until Thursday afternoon
- Rain Thursday night with some thunder possible
- Cool and dry this weekend, blustery Saturday
- A bit milder early next week
DISCUSSION
Issued at 248 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
- Dry overnight until Thursday afternoon
No changes to previous thinking here. After thunderstorms clear the area later today, there could be some wraparound precipitation across our northern zones lasting into early tonight. Otherwise, we should be dry the rest of the night into Thursday afternoon, when a shower or two may be possible.
- Rain Thursday night with some thunder possible
The next possibility for rain will be associated with a very stretched out cold front extending southwestward across the central CONUS. We are in the exit region of a powerful upper jet during this time with a lot of forced ascent potential. Indeed, HRRR/SREF guidance both advertise a chance for thunder across our southern zones. This activity should exit by sunrise Friday morning.
- Cool and dry this weekend, blustery Saturday
Fair weather will return Friday through the weekend. It will become much cooler as h8 temps fall to -7 to -9 C by Saturday. Highs in the 50s Friday will decrease to the 40s Saturday - and Saturday will feel quite raw as strong gusty winds drop wind chills into the 30s. Lows could fall to near or below freezing across portions of our area early Sunday and Monday mornings as surface ridging builds in.
- A bit milder early next week
Temps will moderate a bit early next week back to near normal for this time of year. Fair weather will continue Monday. A weak low pressure system will bring a chance of rain showers Monday night into Tuesday.
Fair weather will return for the mid to latter portion of next week as another surface high pressure ridge builds in.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 1200 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Primarily MVFR conditions are expected this afternoon with brief reductions to IFR due to briefly heavier rain and stronger thunderstorms. South to southwest winds will increase to 15 to 25 kts and heavier thunderstorms will potentially bring briefly higher gusts.
The thunderstorms will move east of our eastern terminals by 20Z late this afternoon. Winds will veer to the west and gradually diminish this evening. A mix of MVFR to VFR conditions is forecast overnight through midday Thursday with patchy MVFR due to lingering lower cigs. Additional rain showers tomorrow are not expected until late afternoon and evening.
MARINE
Issued at 248 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
No changes planned at this time.
GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ844>849.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 248 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Dry overnight until Thursday afternoon
- Rain Thursday night with some thunder possible
- Cool and dry this weekend, blustery Saturday
- A bit milder early next week
DISCUSSION
Issued at 248 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
- Dry overnight until Thursday afternoon
No changes to previous thinking here. After thunderstorms clear the area later today, there could be some wraparound precipitation across our northern zones lasting into early tonight. Otherwise, we should be dry the rest of the night into Thursday afternoon, when a shower or two may be possible.
- Rain Thursday night with some thunder possible
The next possibility for rain will be associated with a very stretched out cold front extending southwestward across the central CONUS. We are in the exit region of a powerful upper jet during this time with a lot of forced ascent potential. Indeed, HRRR/SREF guidance both advertise a chance for thunder across our southern zones. This activity should exit by sunrise Friday morning.
- Cool and dry this weekend, blustery Saturday
Fair weather will return Friday through the weekend. It will become much cooler as h8 temps fall to -7 to -9 C by Saturday. Highs in the 50s Friday will decrease to the 40s Saturday - and Saturday will feel quite raw as strong gusty winds drop wind chills into the 30s. Lows could fall to near or below freezing across portions of our area early Sunday and Monday mornings as surface ridging builds in.
- A bit milder early next week
Temps will moderate a bit early next week back to near normal for this time of year. Fair weather will continue Monday. A weak low pressure system will bring a chance of rain showers Monday night into Tuesday.
Fair weather will return for the mid to latter portion of next week as another surface high pressure ridge builds in.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 1200 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Primarily MVFR conditions are expected this afternoon with brief reductions to IFR due to briefly heavier rain and stronger thunderstorms. South to southwest winds will increase to 15 to 25 kts and heavier thunderstorms will potentially bring briefly higher gusts.
The thunderstorms will move east of our eastern terminals by 20Z late this afternoon. Winds will veer to the west and gradually diminish this evening. A mix of MVFR to VFR conditions is forecast overnight through midday Thursday with patchy MVFR due to lingering lower cigs. Additional rain showers tomorrow are not expected until late afternoon and evening.
MARINE
Issued at 248 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
No changes planned at this time.
GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ844>849.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
SVNM4 - South Haven, MI | 38 mi | 37 min | SSW 15G | 50°F | ||||
45168 | 41 mi | 37 min | WSW 14G | 49°F | 45°F | 2 ft | 29.69 | 44°F |
HLNM4 - 9087031 - Holland, MI | 46 mi | 49 min | SSW 15G | 49°F | 50°F | 29.61 | 47°F |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KAZO KALAMAZOO/BATTLE CREEK INTL,MI | 7 sm | 44 min | W 17G27 | 10 sm | Overcast | 64°F | 52°F | 64% | 29.66 | |
KBTL BATTLE CREEK EXECUTIVE AT KELLOGG FIELD,MI | 17 sm | 44 min | W 16G23 | 10 sm | Overcast | 64°F | 54°F | 68% | 29.64 |
Grand Rapids/Muskegon, MI,
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