Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hatfield, MA
November 30, 2023 11:58 AM EST (16:58 UTC)
Sunrise 6:56AM Sunset 4:20PM Moonrise 8:01PM Moonset 11:23AM
ANZ331 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny To The Mouth Of The Connecticut River- 919 Am Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft after midnight. Rain likely in the evening, then slight chance of light rain or drizzle after midnight.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of light rain or drizzle.
Sat night..W winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of light rain or drizzle after midnight.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of rain.
Sun night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Rain likely.
Mon..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of rain.
Mon night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Chance of showers.
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft after midnight. Rain likely in the evening, then slight chance of light rain or drizzle after midnight.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of light rain or drizzle.
Sat night..W winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of light rain or drizzle after midnight.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of rain.
Sun night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Rain likely.
Mon..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of rain.
Mon night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Chance of showers.
ANZ300 919 Am Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. High pressure will be in control through tonight. A weak wave of low pressure then passes nearby Friday afternoon into evening, with a weak trough of low pressure remaining nearby on Saturday. A frontal boundary then lingers nearby to the south Saturday night into Sunday. Low pressure developing along the front will pass to the south on Sunday and then move farther out to sea on Monday.
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. High pressure will be in control through tonight. A weak wave of low pressure then passes nearby Friday afternoon into evening, with a weak trough of low pressure remaining nearby on Saturday. A frontal boundary then lingers nearby to the south Saturday night into Sunday. Low pressure developing along the front will pass to the south on Sunday and then move farther out to sea on Monday.
Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 301450 AFDBOX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 950 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
SYNOPSIS
High pressure provides quiet weather pattern through Friday morning. Then a quick shot of light rain late Friday into very early Saturday morning. An active weather pattern late Saturday into early next week, but lots of uncertainty on how things evolve at this point. Temperatures trending near to below normal as we head into the middle of the week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
Update: 10 AM
Minor adjustment to sky cover over the Islands due to strato cu that has developed off the westerly wind. Do expect those clouds to dissipate in the next couple of hours with the wind dropping to the southwest. Otherwise forecast remains well on track.
Please see previous forecast discussion below.
300 AM update...
* Noticeably milder today, although seasonable for late November
Mid level warm front moving across SNE during the predawn hours and is accompanied by SCT-BKN mid level cloudiness. As this feature moves east, expecting decreasing clouds later this morning, giving way to partly to mostly sunny conditions. Low level WAA results in 925 mb rising from -2C at 12z to about +4C by 00z. This will support highs this afternoon in the 40s to near 50 along the south coast, as SW winds stream across SSTs in the low 50s. These highs are right on track for this time of year, but will feel noticeably milder than the past two days. This combined with a fair amount of sunshine, will provide tranquil weather for the last day of Nov. A bit of a SW breeze with speeds from 10 to 15 mph, gusting up to 20 mph across Cape Cod and the Islands. Overall, a very nice day for this time of year.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/
300 AM update...
* Temps rising into the low/mid 50s Fri for RI & eastern MA
Warm sector airmass slowly advects up the eastern seaboard, with dew pts rising into the 30s Friday, except low 40s across RI and eastern MA. Dry weather prevails Thu night and not as chilly as past nights, as airmass continues to modify. Lows Thu night, 30s regionwide with low 40s Cape Cod and the islands.
Friday begins dry along with some morning sunshine, then increasing clouds as next short wave and WAA precip approaches from the SW.
Modest low/mid level SW jet will provide WAA rains to overspread the area late in the day from west to east. SW flow will advect 925 mb temps to about +7C across much of SNE. Despite increasing clouds, strong low level WAA will yield highs to climb into the low and mid 50s, 40s across the interior. SW winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph possible across Cape Cod and the Islands.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
300 AM update...
Highlights
* Quick shot of light rain late Fri into early Sat.
* Active pattern late Sat through early next week. Mostly weak/progressive systems, but could see a stronger system early next week. Details still uncertain at this point. Temps trending near to below normal.
Friday Night through early Saturday...
A progressive deamplifying shortwave will be situated over the eastern Great Lakes Fri eve. The shortwave quickly lifts into Nova Scotia by very early Sat AM. A fast moving frontal system moves through.
A quick shot of light rain expected with this system. One change made in the latest update was to ramp down PoPs much quicker than the default NBM. This falls more in line with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance. Would actually not be surprised if we need to continue dialing back PoPs on the back end as am anticipating a 3-6 hr period of light rain as the upper forcing quickly moves through. Will be mild with overnight lows in the mid/upper 30s across the interior and the low/mid 40s for the coastal plain.
Later on Saturday into early next week...
Active pattern with several shortwaves/troughs lifting into and through the region as flow becomes more cyclonic. As was the case yesterday is quite difficult at this point to time specific disturbances along with there intensity and locations as guidance is all over the place. There are signals for a more amplified system in the Mon/Tue timeframe, but still considerable uncertainty.
At this point the ECMWF/EPS continues to lean toward a stronger system in the Mon/Tue timeframe. The GEM/GEPS is a sort of middle ground, while the GFS/GEFS leans toward a weaker solution. Would like more consistency amongst guidance before getting into specific details. For now have just stuck with the default NBM given the uncertainty. The NAEFS SATA table highlights wind speeds being 2-2.5 STD above model climatology, but mostly in the zonal component of the wind (west-east). We've also got PWATs between 2-3 STD above model climatology. Definitely will need to keep an eye on how things evolve in the coming days.
Confidence a bit higher in temps trending near to perhaps cooler than normal for this period.
Mid week...
Drier weather anticipated during this timeframe. At this point odds will favor cooler than seasonable temperatures with flow becoming NW/Nly for much of the period. This will filter in -5 to -10 degree Celsius temps at 925 hPa. This matches up nicely with CPCs latest 6- 10 Day temp outlook of odds being slightly tilted toward below normal temps.
AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
15z Update: Forecast remains on track, did introduce low end VFR CIGS for ACK through 18z.
Today...High confidence.
VFR with SW winds between 5-10 kts. Winds around 10-15 kts across the Cape/Islands with some gusts up to 20 kts.
Tonight...High confidence.
VFR with SW winds around 5-10 kts. Still 10-15 kts across the Cape/Islands. Will have a SW low level jet of 30-40+ kts sliding through. Given the boundary layer decouples have added LLWS mention to all terminals away from the south coast. Timing wise looking most likely between roughly 03-09Z.
Friday...High confidence.
Dry weather and VFR to begin the day, but by days end, light rain overspreads much of the region from west to east with VFR cloud bases, but MVFR across western MA. SW winds 10-15 kt, gusting up to 20 kt possible Cape Cod and the Islands.
KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
VFR with dry weather and SW winds at 5-10 kts. Strong SW jet slides through tonight, so will have LLWS concerns from roughly 03-09Z.
KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
VFR with dry weather and SW winds at 5-10 kts. Strong SW jet slides through tonight, so will have LLWS concerns from 02-08Z.
Outlook /Friday Night through Monday/...
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. RA likely.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance RA.
Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Slight chance RA.
Sunday: Mainly IFR, with areas VFR possible. Breezy. Chance RA.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Breezy.
Chance RA.
Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. RA likely.
MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
300 AM update...
Today...high confidence.
SW winds 10-15 kt, with a few gusts up to 20 kt possible. Dry weather and good vsby to the horizon prevails.
Tonight...high confidence.
Low level SW jet increases, resulting in surface winds SW 15-25 kt, gusting up to 30 possibly at times across the eastern MA waters. Dry weather and good vsby prevail.
Friday...high confidence.
Dry weather to begin the day, but light rain overspreads all waters by late afternoon. SW winds 10-15 kt, gusting up to 20 kt at times.
Outlook /Friday Night through Monday/...
Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.
Chance of rain.
Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain.
Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain.
Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain.
Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.
Chance of rain.
Sunday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Rain likely.
Monday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Rain likely.
BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Friday for ANZ231>235-237-250-251-254>256.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 950 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
SYNOPSIS
High pressure provides quiet weather pattern through Friday morning. Then a quick shot of light rain late Friday into very early Saturday morning. An active weather pattern late Saturday into early next week, but lots of uncertainty on how things evolve at this point. Temperatures trending near to below normal as we head into the middle of the week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
Update: 10 AM
Minor adjustment to sky cover over the Islands due to strato cu that has developed off the westerly wind. Do expect those clouds to dissipate in the next couple of hours with the wind dropping to the southwest. Otherwise forecast remains well on track.
Please see previous forecast discussion below.
300 AM update...
* Noticeably milder today, although seasonable for late November
Mid level warm front moving across SNE during the predawn hours and is accompanied by SCT-BKN mid level cloudiness. As this feature moves east, expecting decreasing clouds later this morning, giving way to partly to mostly sunny conditions. Low level WAA results in 925 mb rising from -2C at 12z to about +4C by 00z. This will support highs this afternoon in the 40s to near 50 along the south coast, as SW winds stream across SSTs in the low 50s. These highs are right on track for this time of year, but will feel noticeably milder than the past two days. This combined with a fair amount of sunshine, will provide tranquil weather for the last day of Nov. A bit of a SW breeze with speeds from 10 to 15 mph, gusting up to 20 mph across Cape Cod and the Islands. Overall, a very nice day for this time of year.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/
300 AM update...
* Temps rising into the low/mid 50s Fri for RI & eastern MA
Warm sector airmass slowly advects up the eastern seaboard, with dew pts rising into the 30s Friday, except low 40s across RI and eastern MA. Dry weather prevails Thu night and not as chilly as past nights, as airmass continues to modify. Lows Thu night, 30s regionwide with low 40s Cape Cod and the islands.
Friday begins dry along with some morning sunshine, then increasing clouds as next short wave and WAA precip approaches from the SW.
Modest low/mid level SW jet will provide WAA rains to overspread the area late in the day from west to east. SW flow will advect 925 mb temps to about +7C across much of SNE. Despite increasing clouds, strong low level WAA will yield highs to climb into the low and mid 50s, 40s across the interior. SW winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph possible across Cape Cod and the Islands.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
300 AM update...
Highlights
* Quick shot of light rain late Fri into early Sat.
* Active pattern late Sat through early next week. Mostly weak/progressive systems, but could see a stronger system early next week. Details still uncertain at this point. Temps trending near to below normal.
Friday Night through early Saturday...
A progressive deamplifying shortwave will be situated over the eastern Great Lakes Fri eve. The shortwave quickly lifts into Nova Scotia by very early Sat AM. A fast moving frontal system moves through.
A quick shot of light rain expected with this system. One change made in the latest update was to ramp down PoPs much quicker than the default NBM. This falls more in line with the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance. Would actually not be surprised if we need to continue dialing back PoPs on the back end as am anticipating a 3-6 hr period of light rain as the upper forcing quickly moves through. Will be mild with overnight lows in the mid/upper 30s across the interior and the low/mid 40s for the coastal plain.
Later on Saturday into early next week...
Active pattern with several shortwaves/troughs lifting into and through the region as flow becomes more cyclonic. As was the case yesterday is quite difficult at this point to time specific disturbances along with there intensity and locations as guidance is all over the place. There are signals for a more amplified system in the Mon/Tue timeframe, but still considerable uncertainty.
At this point the ECMWF/EPS continues to lean toward a stronger system in the Mon/Tue timeframe. The GEM/GEPS is a sort of middle ground, while the GFS/GEFS leans toward a weaker solution. Would like more consistency amongst guidance before getting into specific details. For now have just stuck with the default NBM given the uncertainty. The NAEFS SATA table highlights wind speeds being 2-2.5 STD above model climatology, but mostly in the zonal component of the wind (west-east). We've also got PWATs between 2-3 STD above model climatology. Definitely will need to keep an eye on how things evolve in the coming days.
Confidence a bit higher in temps trending near to perhaps cooler than normal for this period.
Mid week...
Drier weather anticipated during this timeframe. At this point odds will favor cooler than seasonable temperatures with flow becoming NW/Nly for much of the period. This will filter in -5 to -10 degree Celsius temps at 925 hPa. This matches up nicely with CPCs latest 6- 10 Day temp outlook of odds being slightly tilted toward below normal temps.
AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
15z Update: Forecast remains on track, did introduce low end VFR CIGS for ACK through 18z.
Today...High confidence.
VFR with SW winds between 5-10 kts. Winds around 10-15 kts across the Cape/Islands with some gusts up to 20 kts.
Tonight...High confidence.
VFR with SW winds around 5-10 kts. Still 10-15 kts across the Cape/Islands. Will have a SW low level jet of 30-40+ kts sliding through. Given the boundary layer decouples have added LLWS mention to all terminals away from the south coast. Timing wise looking most likely between roughly 03-09Z.
Friday...High confidence.
Dry weather and VFR to begin the day, but by days end, light rain overspreads much of the region from west to east with VFR cloud bases, but MVFR across western MA. SW winds 10-15 kt, gusting up to 20 kt possible Cape Cod and the Islands.
KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
VFR with dry weather and SW winds at 5-10 kts. Strong SW jet slides through tonight, so will have LLWS concerns from roughly 03-09Z.
KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
VFR with dry weather and SW winds at 5-10 kts. Strong SW jet slides through tonight, so will have LLWS concerns from 02-08Z.
Outlook /Friday Night through Monday/...
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. RA likely.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance RA.
Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Slight chance RA.
Sunday: Mainly IFR, with areas VFR possible. Breezy. Chance RA.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas IFR possible. Breezy.
Chance RA.
Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. RA likely.
MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
300 AM update...
Today...high confidence.
SW winds 10-15 kt, with a few gusts up to 20 kt possible. Dry weather and good vsby to the horizon prevails.
Tonight...high confidence.
Low level SW jet increases, resulting in surface winds SW 15-25 kt, gusting up to 30 possibly at times across the eastern MA waters. Dry weather and good vsby prevail.
Friday...high confidence.
Dry weather to begin the day, but light rain overspreads all waters by late afternoon. SW winds 10-15 kt, gusting up to 20 kt at times.
Outlook /Friday Night through Monday/...
Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.
Chance of rain.
Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain.
Saturday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain.
Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain.
Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.
Chance of rain.
Sunday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Rain likely.
Monday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Rain likely.
BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Friday for ANZ231>235-237-250-251-254>256.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KCEF WESTOVER ARB/METROPOLITAN,MA | 14 sm | 63 min | S 07 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 37°F | 14°F | 38% | 30.07 | |
| KBAF WESTFIELDBARNES RGNL,MA | 17 sm | 65 min | SSE 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 39°F | 18°F | 41% | 30.09 | |
| KORE ORANGE MUNI,MA | 21 sm | 66 min | S 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 37°F | 19°F | 48% | 30.07 |
Wind History from CEF
(wind in knots)Hartford
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:24 AM EST 1.71 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:57 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:20 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 11:54 AM EST 0.30 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:21 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 04:32 PM EST 2.28 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:03 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:24 AM EST 1.71 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:57 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:20 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 11:54 AM EST 0.30 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:21 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 04:32 PM EST 2.28 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:03 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Hartford, Connecticut, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| -0 |
| 1 am |
| 0.3 |
| 2 am |
| 0.9 |
| 3 am |
| 1.4 |
| 4 am |
| 1.7 |
| 5 am |
| 1.7 |
| 6 am |
| 1.5 |
| 7 am |
| 1.3 |
| 8 am |
| 1.1 |
| 9 am |
| 0.8 |
| 10 am |
| 0.6 |
| 11 am |
| 0.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.4 |
Rocky Hill
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:39 AM EST 1.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:56 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:20 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 10:46 AM EST 0.32 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:46 PM EST 2.40 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:21 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 07:03 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 11:37 PM EST 0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:39 AM EST 1.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:56 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:20 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 10:46 AM EST 0.32 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:46 PM EST 2.40 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:21 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 07:03 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 11:37 PM EST 0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Rocky Hill, Connecticut, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.3 |
| 1 am |
| 0.9 |
| 2 am |
| 1.4 |
| 3 am |
| 1.7 |
| 4 am |
| 1.8 |
| 5 am |
| 1.7 |
| 6 am |
| 1.4 |
| 7 am |
| 1.1 |
| 8 am |
| 0.9 |
| 9 am |
| 0.6 |
| 10 am |
| 0.4 |
| 11 am |
| 0.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.1 |
Boston, MA,
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