Oneonta, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Oneonta, NY

June 16, 2024 5:31 PM EDT (21:31 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:19 AM   Sunset 8:44 PM
Moonrise 2:26 PM   Moonset 12:57 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oneonta, NY
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 161942 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 342 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure over the region will continue dry and warm conditions through the rest of the weekend. Hot and humid conditions expected through next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
145 PM Update...

Water vapor imagery shows the upper level ridge starting to build in with surface winds becoming more southerly west of I81 early this afternoon. Southerly return flow will develop across the entire region later this afternoon and overnight with dew points beginning to nudge up.

Tomorrow will be our first of many hot days as 850 mb temperatures push up towards 20C and 500 mb heights rise above 590 dm. Forecast soundings tomorrow still have plenty of dry air in the mid levels and upstream soundings across the Great Lakes and mid Mississippi river valley from 12Z also contain some dry air above 850 mb. Decided to lower dew points a bit tomorrow from late morning into the evening with some of that dry air mixing in with day time heating. With soil moisture also starting to go below climatology, more of the solar heating tomorrow will go towards heating the air rather than evaporation some of the NBM 90th was used to bump up highs a few degrees from current model guidance. With the lower dew points, heat indexes look to get warm but most of the area will be staying below 90 outside of some of the river valleys and coastal plain of Lake Ontario.

Tomorrow night will be staying warm with lows likely around 70 degrees. Heat continues to advect in aloft as with greater amounts of water vapor slowing the efficiency of radiational cooling at night so there will not be much relief from the heat.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
340 PM Update...

Temperatures will continue to trend warmer Tuesday, kicking off an extended period of temperatures around and exceeding 90F for afternoon highs throughout the short term forecast period. This will be driven by a strong high pressure just off the coast with 500mb heights near 600dm and T850 around 20C. Model soundings are fairly dry, especially within the boundary layer, and the ground continues to dry out. As a result, forecasted dew points are lower than previous updates. Even with this reduction, dew points will still in the 60s and even low 70s.

A Heat Advisory was issued through Thursday for all CNY counties except Sullivan and Delaware Counties as confidence is too low that conditions will be met in the Catskills at this time. While some valley locations may get close to excessive heat criteria (105), confidence was not high enough to go with watches/warnings at this time. For PA, advisory criteria is higher (100F), so confidence was only high enough for the Wyoming Valley and Northern Tier. Wayne and Pike Counties were left out as conditions do not look like they will be met. The advisory for PA was only issued for Tuesday and could be extended at a later time.

Flow around the high will work to advect in low-level moisture.
Instability will peak at around 1500 to 2000 J/kg during the daytime hours, though shear looks to be weak. With this amount of instability, isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms will be possible if enough low-level moisture is available.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
345 PM Update...

The second half of the weekend remains somewhat uncertain as originally it looked like there was relatively good agreement that some relief would occur. Now there is a bit more divergence with model guidance. Thursday will make a run at the hottest day of the week as the hot and humid airmass stays overhead and high pressure is slower to move further off the coast. 500mb heights do begin to fall late in the work week and into the weekend which will lead to a slow cooling trend through the weekend. While 80s will be slowly sprinkled in throughout the region, some locations may see highs in the 90s all the way through Saturday. This is one area where models diverge as some keep a broader ridge over the region where as others have a broad trough for the weekend. A ridge would keep heat around whereas a trough would bring much needed relief.

Given uncertainty for this period, NBM PoPs were favored, which have trended drier for Thursday and even Friday. As a frontal system begins to approach the region from the north, isolated thunderstorms may be possible Friday. Guidance pushes the front through early into weekend. This system would bring scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms to the region and potentially much needed relief.
Chances for showers look potentially better during the later half of the weekend as the next system sweeps across the Midwest and approaches the Northeast.

AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
VFR conditions expected to remain through the next 24 hours at all terminals. Tonight as warm air begins to move in, a low level jet develops tonight but low level shear looks to stay below the 30 knot threshold but could get close for a few hours around 6Z, mainly for SYR, ITH and RME.

Outlook...

Monday...Mainly VFR.

Tuesday through Friday...Restrictions possible in showers and thunderstorms.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM EDT Tuesday for PAZ038-039-043- 044-047.
NY...Heat Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ009-015-018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055-056.
Heat Advisory from noon Monday to 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ016- 017.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBGM50 sm38 minSSW 0810 smClear73°F52°F47%30.17
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Wind History graph: BGM
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Tide / Current for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
   
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Tivoli
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Sun -- 01:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:50 AM EDT     1.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:15 AM EDT     3.34 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:01 PM EDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:59 PM EDT     3.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tivoli, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
3.2
1
am
2.6
2
am
2.1
3
am
1.6
4
am
1.3
5
am
1.1
6
am
1.5
7
am
2.2
8
am
2.8
9
am
3.2
10
am
3.3
11
am
3.3
12
pm
2.9
1
pm
2.3
2
pm
1.8
3
pm
1.3
4
pm
1
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
1.1
7
pm
1.9
8
pm
2.7
9
pm
3.4
10
pm
3.8
11
pm
3.9


Tide / Current for Catskill, Hudson River, New York
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Catskill
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Sun -- 01:52 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 05:44 AM EDT     1.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:06 AM EDT     3.26 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:55 PM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:50 PM EDT     3.85 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Catskill, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
3.6
1
am
3.1
2
am
2.5
3
am
2
4
am
1.6
5
am
1.3
6
am
1.2
7
am
1.6
8
am
2.3
9
am
2.8
10
am
3.1
11
am
3.3
12
pm
3.2
1
pm
2.8
2
pm
2.2
3
pm
1.7
4
pm
1.3
5
pm
1
6
pm
0.9
7
pm
1.2
8
pm
2
9
pm
2.8
10
pm
3.4
11
pm
3.7


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Albany, NY,




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