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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for South Hill, NY

June 25, 2024 10:28 AM EDT (14:28 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:28 AM   Sunset 8:48 PM
Moonrise 10:53 PM   Moonset 8:12 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202406250315;;599087 Fzus51 Kbuf 242057 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 457 pm edt Mon jun 24 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-250315- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 457 pm edt Mon jun 24 2024

.small craft advisory in effect until 8 pm edt this evening - .

Tonight - West winds 15 to 25 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.

Tuesday - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Sunny in the morning, then becoming partly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Tuesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.

Wednesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Thursday - Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.

Friday - Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers Friday night. Waves 2 feet or less.

Saturday - South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 58 degrees, and the central lake ontario buoy water temperature is 64 degrees.

LOZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Hill, NY
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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364 FXUS61 KBGM 251327 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 927 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
Today will feature mainly sunny and warmer weather, with afternoon temperatures back up into the 80s. Wednesday has a chance at seeing scattered severe thunderstorms once again with best chances in the Southern Tier and Northeast PA during the afternoon and evening hours. Dry weather returns for Thursday and Friday with seasonable temperatures.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
925 AM Update...

The updates made during the previous forecast were good ones as little change was needed during this update. High clouds are moving in from the convective system over central Great Lakes region. Sky cover was updated to reflect this, which does increase sky cover from the north earlier than previously forecasted. Otherwise, as mentioned, the forecast was doing well and needed no additional changes.

640 AM Update

Touched up the forecast based on the cooler start this morning and sky cover was adjusted slightly based on the latest visible loop. Overall, the near term forecast remains on track. The one challenge for today will be how thick and extensive the cloud cover becomes by late afternoon and early evening; for now kept it partly sunny for most locations, but it may lean more toward mostly cloudy after 5-6 PM across the Finger lakes and Syracuse area as the clouds race in.

340 AM Update

Clear skies and a cool start early this morning, with temperatures ranging from the upper 40s to around 60 degrees.
There is some patchy valley fog across Otsego, Delaware, Sullivan and Chenango counties. This fog will burn off and dissipate by around 8 AM. Otherwise, skies will be mostly sunny this morning, with thin cirrus clouds arriving by midday. These cirrus clouds will get thicker and lower to mid level clouds by late afternoon and early evening...as the remnants of the current large MCV over the west-central Great Lakes pushes overhead. There could be a few light showers by this evening, but initially there is a lot of low level dry air in place to overcome, as afternoon dew points are only progged to be in the low to mid-50s, with temperatures well into the 80s expected.

Low level moisture gradually increases after sunset, along with instability inching up. This will open the door for scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms tonight as a weak warm frontal system moves into the area. This will become a stationary front late tonight, bisecting across the forecast area...the exact position of this boundary is unknown at this time...but some guidance puts it close to the NY/PA border by daybreak Wednesday. Much warmer tonight with lows in the 60s and even a few spots near 70.

Wednesday looks to start off relatively quiet, with the above mentioned remnant front over the region. The frontal boundary should lift back north some during the day; allowing for increasing heat, humidity and instability across NE PA, the Twin Tiers and perhaps as far north as the I-90 corridor. The areal extent and intensity of any severe thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon and evening will depend greatly on this warm frontal position and therefore the amount of instability present over the forecast area. With current NBM model guidance suggesting highs reaching well into the 80s and even some lower 90s in the Wyoming Valley this will bring plenty of surface heating to the region and steep low level lapse rates. South of the warm front, surface dew points are forecast to be in the upper 60s to low 60s...with only upper 50s to low 60s for dew points north of the front. This drier air mass across the northern portion of the CWA will limit instability. SPC has most of the area under at least a Marginal Risk for severe storms, with a slight risk from near Binghamton south and east across the southern Catskills and NE PA. Again, the details on these thunderstorms are still uncertain when it comes to exact mixed layer CAPE values. Deep layer shear looks favorable with 40-50 kts in the 0-6 km layer.
With PWATS between 1.6 to 1.9 inch range Wednesday evening there will also be a marginal risk for excessive rainfall from heavy thunderstorms over most of the area and this is something else that will need to be watched as we get closer in time.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
310 AM Update...

Cold front continues to move through Wednesday night as surface low pressure system tracks east. The track of the low will determine the amount of instability that will be present overnight. At this time model guidance suggests conditions will wind down with some elevated instability lingering. Therefore rain showers are mainly expected with possible elevated thunderstorms. Behind the front temperatures will fall into the mid 50s to low 60s overnight. As the upper level trough tracks east model guidance shows a potential wave of moisture moving through on Thursday. This may allow the chances for some showers to continue through Thursday morning although NBM kept conditions dry for now. Otherwise better chances for dry conditions is Thursday afternoon/evening as an upper level ridge attempts to build in with high pressure at the surface. Temperatures are expected to range in the 70s for CNY with some areas in NEPA climbing into the low 80s. With clear skies temperatures overnight will fall into the upper 40s to low mid 50s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
310 AM Update...

High pressure centers over our region on Friday allowing calm and dry conditions to continue. Another system approaches from the west just in time for the weekend as upper level trough dips into our area. This increases chances for showers and storms Saturday and Sunday, possibly into Monday as well if upper trough is slow to move out. Upper ridge and surface high looks to build back in on Tuesday with drier conditions returning. Temperatures during this period are expected to range in the 70s to mid 80s during the day with overnight lows fluctuating with some nights in the 50s and some in the 60s.

AVIATION /14Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
645 AM Update

As expected only very patchy fog formed overnight/early this morning; mainly in the Delaware river basin valleys. ELM has some very light MVFR mist, but this will be gone before 12z.

VFR conditions are expected to continue all day today. By this evening the high clouds will begin to lower and thicken. The latest guidance shows a brief period (several hours or so) of some MVFR cloud bases and CIGs for RME, SYR, ITH and ELM late tonight into early Wednesday morning. BGM will be close to MVFR, with some SCT MVFR level clouds in the taf forecast here. There could also be some scattered showers and perhaps an isolated rumble of thunder tonight as a warm front pushes through. The shower probabilities/coverage were to low to add into the tafs just yet; but best chance looks to be INVOF ITH, SYR area. As the warm front moves through there could also be a brief, several hour period of LLWS mainly at ELM and ITH...with west southwest winds 35-40 kts at 2k ft agl in the 04-09z timeframe early Wednesday morning.

West-southwest surface winds become a little breezy this afternoon; generally between 8-18 kts at most terminals. These winds gradually diminish after sunset into the overnight.

Outlook...

Wednesday and Wednesday Night...Restrictions possible in scattered showers and thunderstorms; especially afternoon and evening hours.

Thursday through Friday...Mainly VFR.

Saturday...Restrictions from showers and thunderstorms possible.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KITH ITHACA TOMPKINS RGNL,NY 6 sm33 minSW 0410 smClear75°F57°F54%29.98
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Wind History graph: ITH
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Tide / Current for
   
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Binghamton, NY,




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