Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Milford, MI
 | Sunrise 6:02 AM Sunset 8:58 PM Moonrise 2:23 AM Moonset 2:42 PM |
LCZ423 1133 Pm Edt Fri May 16 2025
.strong Thunderstorms approaching the waters - .
the areas affected include - . Detroit river - . Lake st. Clair open lake (u.s. Portion) - . Michigan waters of lake erie from detroit river to north cape mi - .
at 1132 pm edt, doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds up to 30 knots. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 47 nm east of saugatuck pier heads to 61 nm southeast of south haven light to 72 nm southeast of st. Joseph, moving east at 40 knots. Persistent south wind gusts of 30 to 35 knots will precede this line of Thunderstorms.
strong Thunderstorms will be near - . North cape and luna pier around 100 am edt. Bolles harbor of refuge, Monroe harbor, stony point, woodland beach, and detroit beach around 105 am edt. Lake erie metropark harbor, elizabeth park marina, detroit river light, estral beach, and gibraltar around 110 am edt. Wyandotte and grosse ile around 115 am edt. The ambassador bridge around 120 am edt.
other locations impacted by strong Thunderstorms include woodland beach, stony point, gibraltar, estral beach, and detroit beach.
precautionary/preparedness actions - .
mariners can expect gusty winds up to 30 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor.
&&
lat - .lon 4173 8350 4180 8350 4195 8337 4197 8328 4226 8317 4233 8311 4239 8295 4244 8291 4254 8291 4259 8285 4266 8285 4269 8275 4246 8274 4237 8283 4232 8306 4221 8313 4203 8315 4196 8311 4172 8341
the areas affected include - . Detroit river - . Lake st. Clair open lake (u.s. Portion) - . Michigan waters of lake erie from detroit river to north cape mi - .
at 1132 pm edt, doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds up to 30 knots. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 47 nm east of saugatuck pier heads to 61 nm southeast of south haven light to 72 nm southeast of st. Joseph, moving east at 40 knots. Persistent south wind gusts of 30 to 35 knots will precede this line of Thunderstorms.
strong Thunderstorms will be near - . North cape and luna pier around 100 am edt. Bolles harbor of refuge, Monroe harbor, stony point, woodland beach, and detroit beach around 105 am edt. Lake erie metropark harbor, elizabeth park marina, detroit river light, estral beach, and gibraltar around 110 am edt. Wyandotte and grosse ile around 115 am edt. The ambassador bridge around 120 am edt.
other locations impacted by strong Thunderstorms include woodland beach, stony point, gibraltar, estral beach, and detroit beach.
precautionary/preparedness actions - .
mariners can expect gusty winds up to 30 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor.
&&
lat - .lon 4173 8350 4180 8350 4195 8337 4197 8328 4226 8317 4233 8311 4239 8295 4244 8291 4254 8291 4259 8285 4266 8285 4269 8275 4246 8274 4237 8283 4232 8306 4221 8313 4203 8315 4196 8311 4172 8341
LCZ400
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milford, MI
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Area Discussion for Detroit/Pontiac, MI
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FXUS63 KDTX 221817 AFDDTX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 217 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- Scattered rain showers and drizzle taper off tonight.
- Chances for isolated to scattered afternoon showers this weekend though most areas likely stay dry.
- Daytime temps rebound slightly into the 60s this weekend. These seasonably cool temperatures likely persist through the first half of next week.
AVIATION
Cool north flow with relatively moist conditions in the lowest 9.0 kft agl will maintain MVFR ceilings this afternoon. Cyclonic northwesterly flow will eventually force the dry air over Lake Michigan to advect across the terminals. The combination of dry air and loss of daytime heating is expected to result in VFR ceilings this evening and tonight.
For DTW/D21 Convection... No thunderstorms expected through the period.
THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...
* High for ceilings below 5000 feet this afternoon.
PREV DISCUSSION
Issued at 347 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025
DISCUSSION...
Stacked low pressure rotates in place over the eastern Great Lakes today as a departing upper jet streak exit region orphans it off.
Abundant moisture remains in place with model soundings showing saturated profiles up to 700mb into this afternoon. Forcing for ascent is disorganized around the barotropic system but filaments of deformation will continue to bring about scattered light showers and intervals of mist/drizzle through the day. Much of this will be focused over the Thumb and eastern CWA Breezy wind around 15 to 25 mph maintains a feed of cool air from the northwest, keeping temps mainly in the lower to mid 50s. By this evening moisture depth will begin to erode, suggesting a gradual diminishing of showers tonight.
Clouds will remain pervasive through the night holding lows in the lower 40s.
The low releases eastward and gets absorbed into a late season nor'easter on Friday. Cold cyclonic flow persists across the Great Lakes with 850mb temps falling to near 0C, extending the chilly streak another day with highs again in the 50s. The breezy northwest wind sticks around another day as well. A lobe of vorticity passing overhead cools the mid-levels during peak heating to induce weak instability and support a scattered coverage of showers.
By this weekend weak geopotential height rises will commence over the area which should allow upstream high pressure and drier air to nudge in from the west. We will still sit within an active northwest flow pattern with several lobes of vorticity passing through the Great Lakes each day through Monday. With some lingering low-level moisture around, these waves may be sufficient to generate isolated showers during the daylight hours. Otherwise more sun will start to break through the clouds and high temperatures will rebound into the 60s. By Tuesday into the midweek, a series of upper low mergers results in another broad upper trough taking residence over the area. This favors continued below normal temps and potential for showery conditions.
MARINE...
A meandering low pressure system over Lake Erie will continue to maintain northeast flow over Lake Huron and Saginaw Bay, and northwest flow across Lake St. Clair and Lake Erie. This will sustain elevated wave heights and gust potential across Lake Huron and especially the Saginaw Bay, given the favorable fetch. As a result, Small Craft Advisories remain in effect through the day.
Periods of on and off rain showers also continue today, with greatest coverage expected across Lake Huron.
DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
Lake Huron...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for LHZ421-422- 441>443.
Lake St Clair...None.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 217 PM EDT Thu May 22 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- Scattered rain showers and drizzle taper off tonight.
- Chances for isolated to scattered afternoon showers this weekend though most areas likely stay dry.
- Daytime temps rebound slightly into the 60s this weekend. These seasonably cool temperatures likely persist through the first half of next week.
AVIATION
Cool north flow with relatively moist conditions in the lowest 9.0 kft agl will maintain MVFR ceilings this afternoon. Cyclonic northwesterly flow will eventually force the dry air over Lake Michigan to advect across the terminals. The combination of dry air and loss of daytime heating is expected to result in VFR ceilings this evening and tonight.
For DTW/D21 Convection... No thunderstorms expected through the period.
THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...
* High for ceilings below 5000 feet this afternoon.
PREV DISCUSSION
Issued at 347 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025
DISCUSSION...
Stacked low pressure rotates in place over the eastern Great Lakes today as a departing upper jet streak exit region orphans it off.
Abundant moisture remains in place with model soundings showing saturated profiles up to 700mb into this afternoon. Forcing for ascent is disorganized around the barotropic system but filaments of deformation will continue to bring about scattered light showers and intervals of mist/drizzle through the day. Much of this will be focused over the Thumb and eastern CWA Breezy wind around 15 to 25 mph maintains a feed of cool air from the northwest, keeping temps mainly in the lower to mid 50s. By this evening moisture depth will begin to erode, suggesting a gradual diminishing of showers tonight.
Clouds will remain pervasive through the night holding lows in the lower 40s.
The low releases eastward and gets absorbed into a late season nor'easter on Friday. Cold cyclonic flow persists across the Great Lakes with 850mb temps falling to near 0C, extending the chilly streak another day with highs again in the 50s. The breezy northwest wind sticks around another day as well. A lobe of vorticity passing overhead cools the mid-levels during peak heating to induce weak instability and support a scattered coverage of showers.
By this weekend weak geopotential height rises will commence over the area which should allow upstream high pressure and drier air to nudge in from the west. We will still sit within an active northwest flow pattern with several lobes of vorticity passing through the Great Lakes each day through Monday. With some lingering low-level moisture around, these waves may be sufficient to generate isolated showers during the daylight hours. Otherwise more sun will start to break through the clouds and high temperatures will rebound into the 60s. By Tuesday into the midweek, a series of upper low mergers results in another broad upper trough taking residence over the area. This favors continued below normal temps and potential for showery conditions.
MARINE...
A meandering low pressure system over Lake Erie will continue to maintain northeast flow over Lake Huron and Saginaw Bay, and northwest flow across Lake St. Clair and Lake Erie. This will sustain elevated wave heights and gust potential across Lake Huron and especially the Saginaw Bay, given the favorable fetch. As a result, Small Craft Advisories remain in effect through the day.
Periods of on and off rain showers also continue today, with greatest coverage expected across Lake Huron.
DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
Lake Huron...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for LHZ421-422- 441>443.
Lake St Clair...None.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| CLSM4 - St. Clair Shores, MI | 47 mi | 56 min | WNW 14G | 53°F | 29.78 |
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