Monday, January27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Poestenkill, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 5:02PM Monday January 27, 2020 11:14 PM EST (04:14 UTC) Moonrise 10:01AMMoonset 8:47PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Poestenkill, NY
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location: 42.69, -73.41     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 280215 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 915 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. An upper level trough will continue to allow for cloudy conditions through Tuesday, with some occasional snow showers and flurries across the higher elevations. High pressure will finally return some sun to the region for Wednesday with seasonable conditions. Dry conditions look to continue for Thursday and Friday with temperature remaining near normal.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. Chaotic cyclonic upper flow with small upper impulses rotating through the mean upper troughing. Clouds and low level moisture off the Great Lakes resulting in some flurry and sprinkle activity that is affecting upslope areas more than valley areas but a flurry cannot be ruled out in the valleys, too.

NY Mesonet observations and web cams showing what looks to be light snow in some areas but some spotty light freezing drizzle being reported outside our forecast area where moisture is shallow at the boundary layer, seen in the KALB, KBUF and KWMW 00Z soundings. Any spotty light freezing drizzle would be so isolated and light and observations showing again, more light snow, so indicating mostly scattered snow showers where precipitation chances have been included. Confining the isolated to scattered snow showers mainly in areas of terrain through the night.

There is a persistent hole in the clouds around KGFL and temperatures there could drop more than other areas until the hole closes later. Broken to overcast sky expanded through the mid Hudson Valley and NW CT and that should not change much through the night. Just minor adjustments to temperatures, snow shower chances and sky cover through tonight. Previous AFD has a few more details and is below .

Upper level trough continues to be situated across the Northeastern US and southeastern Canada. Our region is in the wake of an embedded shortwave that is rotating around the main upper level low over Atlantic Canada. As a result, low to mid level winds have shifted to the northwest. While the bulk of the upslope precipitation has ended, there continues to be some lake enhanced snow showers, especially across the southern Adirondacks, Mohawk Valley and eastern Catskills.

For this evening and into tonight, there may be some additional passing light snow showers and flurries thanks to cyclonic flow in place, mainly for high terrain areas. Although inversion heights are fairly low and temps aloft are marginal, there will be some lake enhancement as well, although this will be fairly minor. Best chance of seeing up to an inch of new accumulation will be across the western Adirondacks, with just a coating to half inch elsewhere.

Otherwise, skies will remain fairly cloudy due to cyclonic flow in place. This will help keep temps elevated overnight, along with a continued northwest breeze. Lows look to range from the lower 20s in the mountains to the upper 20s in valley areas.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Mainly quiet weather is expected through the short term period.

The cyclonic flow will continue for Tuesday into Tuesday night as the upper level trough remains in place and another fast moving disturbance will rotate through. With limited moisture available, most areas won't see much impact outside of the persistent cloudiness. High terrain areas could see some very light snow showers or flurries, but any accumulations look to be just a coating. High temps on Tuesday will be in the mid 20s to upper 30s with lows on Tuesday night mainly in the teens and 20s. Some clouds may finally start to break up for late Tuesday night.

High pressure located to the north across Ontario and Quebec should allow for less clouds for Wednesday into Wednesday night with dry weather for the entire area. Despite the sun, chilly temps aloft should keep highs close to normal in the mid 20s to mid 30s. Good radiational cooling will allow for cold weather on Wednesday night with single digits and teens (possibly a few below zero readings across the central Adirondacks as well).

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. A 1025-1030 hPa high pressure system will slowly move eastward across the region on Thursday and Friday, bringing continued dry weather. Highs will range from the mid-20s north to the mid-30s south with lows in the single digits and teens, close to normal.

The weekend then turns to a potential coastal storm. The 12z GFS/ECMWF model runs from today remain consistent in rapid intensification of a low pressure system tracking off the East Coast toward Atlantic Canada (1010 hPa Saturday morning to sub-960 hPa Sunday morning). The model forecast tracks would keep the precipitation shield to the east of the forecast area. However, ensemble forecasts continue to show widely variable solutions. The main upper-level features that would generate this system are not expected to reach the West Coast and be better sampled in the models until Wednesday at the earliest. Therefore, confidence will remain low with regards to its track and possible impacts.

If the main storm stays far enough east, we will only be impacted with an upper-level trough moving across the Great Lakes, bringing scattered snow showers to the region. Thermal profiles may support rain to mix in across the Capital Region and mid-Hudson Valley. Conditions will gradually improve on Monday with upper-level ridging and surface high pressure building once again.

AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Cyclonic upper flow will keep cloud cover and some scattered flurries and snow showers in the region through the night, especially at KALB and KPSF. Ceilings will be predominantly VFR but after midnight and through daybreak, ceilings could lower just into the MVFR range at KALB and KPSF. By 12Z-15Z, ceilings should be VFR again. Visibilities should be VFR, even in snow flurries. Ceilings at KGFL and KPOU should be predominantly VFR tonight through Tuesday afternoon.

West to northwest winds at 10 Kt or less will stay steady and light through the night. Winds become more north to northwest through the day Tuesday at 10 Kt or less.

Outlook .

Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: Low Operational Impact Slight Chance of SHRA. SHSN.

HYDROLOGY. Upper level trough will continue to allow for a few cyclonic flow snow showers over the higher elevations through Tuesday, but amounts will be very light. Dry weather is then expected for the whole area for Wednesday through Friday. Temperatures will continue to be close to normal for late January. River and stream levels will remain fairly steady through the week.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . Frugis NEAR TERM . Frugis/NAS SHORT TERM . Frugis LONG TERM . Rathbun AVIATION . NAS HYDROLOGY . Frugis


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 54 mi105 min Calm 38°F 1006 hPa30°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
North Adams Harriman-and-West Airport, MA13 mi83 minW 510.00 miOvercast34°F25°F70%1005 hPa
Bennington Morse State Airport, VT16 mi81 minW 410.00 miOvercast33°F26°F75%1004.8 hPa
Pittsfield Municipal Airport, MA19 mi81 minW 13 G 1810.00 miOvercast33°F27°F78%1004.3 hPa
Albany International Airport, NY21 mi84 minWNW 1010.00 miOvercast37°F28°F70%1006.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAQW

Wind History from AQW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--------------------W11W10W9W8W10----W10
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1 day agoW33W10W8W13W10W9W8W5W4W6--------------------------
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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
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Mon -- 01:04 AM EST     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:43 AM EST     4.19 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:01 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:15 PM EST     0.29 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:00 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:55 PM EST     5.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:48 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0.40.11.32.53.444.23.72.82.11.50.90.30.61.83.24.24.95.24.73.72.61.7

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:54 AM EST     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:35 AM EST     4.19 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:01 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:05 PM EST     0.29 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:01 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:47 PM EST     5.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:48 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0-0.40.21.52.73.54.14.13.52.721.40.70.30.723.34.355.14.63.52.51.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.