Saturday, May30, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Moravia, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:28AMSunset 8:36PM Saturday May 30, 2020 5:05 AM EDT (09:05 UTC) Moonrise 12:16PMMoonset 1:15AM Illumination 58% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario- 735 Pm Edt Fri May 29 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 am edt Saturday through Saturday morning...
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. Occasional showers with a chance of Thunderstorms this evening, then numerous showers after midnight. Scattered showers late. Waves 2 feet or less building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 15 knots. Scattered showers in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Saturday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet, then subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Sunday..North winds around 10 knots becoming west. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Monday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LOZ044 Expires:202005300315;;959609 FZUS51 KBUF 292335 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 735 PM EDT Fri May 29 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ044-300315-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Moravia, NY
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location: 42.71, -76.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 300840 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 440 AM EDT Sat May 30 2020

SYNOPSIS. Cooler and drier weather is expected today behind a departing cold front. However, some scattered showers are possible this afternoon, especially in Central New York. High pressure will keep conditions quiet and cool for Sunday and Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/. Any lingering showers associated with a departing cold front will end by sunrise. Otherwise, this morning will remain dry along with partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies with a west- northwest flow.

Main focus for today is the increasing potential for scattered afternoon showers, especially in Central New York, as a secondary cold front moves through the area. Shower activity in Central New York may also be enhanced by a lake boundary off of Lake Ontario. Also cannot rule out a rumble of thunder this afternoon along the NY Thruway corridor and/or the northern Finger Lakes as steepening lapse rates along with a small amount of instability may be present in these locations. However, confidence was not high enough to mention thunder in the official forecast, but this will have to be monitored as the day progresses. Further south across Northeast PA, the majority of the day will likely remain dry with an isolated shower possible along the extreme Northern Tier of PA near the NY border.

Rainfall amounts from these scattered afternoon showers will be highly dependent on where exactly they set up. That being said, expecting generally between 0.10" to 0.25" near the NY Thruway border, with less than 0.10" further south across the Southern Finger Lakes and Twin Tiers. After a recent warm stretch of weather, highs today will be much closer to normal, mainly in the upper 60s to upper 70s. With dew points in the 50s, it will be a lot less humid as well.

Any scattered shower activity likely tapers off after sunset as the secondary front exits and diurnally-driven instability diminishes. Some partial clearing is expected, but some clouds linger in Central New York with a northwest flow off the Great Lakes. Behind the secondary front, much colder air spills into the region tonight with 850mb temperatures reaching near or a bit below 0C overnight. This will result in chilly low temperatures for this time of the year, mainly in the 40s. Some upper 30s will be possible in northern Oneida County.

High pressure over the Great Lakes continues to progress eastward toward our area on Sunday, finally leading to a mostly dry day. However, still cannot rule out a stray shower or brief sprinkle across the Finger Lakes region. That being said, confidence in this occurring is very low and PoPs were not put into the official forecast for now. Despite partly to mostly sunny skies, high temperatures will be below normal for this time of the year, mainly in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/. 330 am update .

Main concerns in the short term remain focused on the unseasonably cold temperatures Sunday night through Monday night . the low chance of rain showers during the day Monday, and the next batch of rain late Monday night.

Relatively quiet weather conditions expected late this weekend and into early next week. Cold lobe of Canadian air will be exiting the region slowly to the east during this time, but still be capable of producing low temperatures Sunday night/Mon morning into the upper 30s and lower 40s. The coldest temperatures in our forecast area will be in the higher terrain of the Catskills and srn Tug Hill. Patchy frost is not out of the question for these areas.

A very weak short wave embedded within the northwest flow is expected to swing quickly through the region on the back side of the departing long wave trough. The timing of this wave will be coincident with enough daytime heating to allow for some isolated rain showers . mainly across central NY . through the late morning and afternoon hours Monday. The cool air will hold on Monday with highs only reaching into the lower to mid 60s.

The next system will begin to push in from the west in the form of a broad warm front lifting e/newd through the Great Lakes into the Northeast. Cloud cover will increase through Monday night with some low chances for rain showers arriving very early Tuesday morning. Temperatures will still be able to cool into the mid 40s to low 50s during this time.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. 330 am update .

Upper level ridge axis will be centered over the central CONUS and multiple waves will roll nw to se through the region late Tuesday through Thursday . which will trigger several rounds of showers and thunderstorms. The most favorable timeframe for significant rain will be Tuesday evening into early Wednesday morning. Even still, rainfall amounts during this time are not expected to be heavy . generally less than a quarter of an inch.

Upper ridge axis shifts to the east Thursday into Friday, which will allow for drier weather and warmer temperatures. Highs will go from the 60s on Tuesday to the low to mid 70s on Wed and Thur . to the mid to upper 70s by Friday.

AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. MVFR to occasional Fuel Alternate ceilings are expected early this morning, especially at KBGM, KELM, KITH, KSYR, and KRME. Less confidence for this to happen at KAVP, but still occasional MVFR ceilings are possible there. Ceilings lift to VFR between 12Z-14Z and likely remain that way for the majority of the day. Then occasional MVFR ceilings are possible again at KSYR and KRME between 02Z and 06Z Sunday.

Winds will be west-northwesterly during this period at 10 knots or less. Brief gusts to 18 knots or so will be possible this afternoon, but was not included in the TAFs at this time.

Outlook .

Sunday through Tuesday . Mainly VFR.

Wednesday . Occasional restrictions possible in some rain showers.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . BJG NEAR TERM . BJG SHORT TERM . BJT LONG TERM . BJT AVIATION . BJG


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 52 mi47 min W 14 G 18 55°F 1012.9 hPa52°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 73 mi65 min W 8.9 G 11 58°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 75 mi53 min 57°F 1013.8 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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N4
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ithaca, Ithaca Tompkins Regional Airport, NY16 mi9 minWNW 1010.00 miFair55°F54°F96%1013.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KITH

Wind History from ITH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9S11S6S9S7S7S10S10S15
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NW6NW8CalmCalmSW4S6SW5SW7W13
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1 day agoSE8SE9SE7S10S13
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SE15S9S14
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S11S7SE4S6SE4S4S8S8S7S8S9
2 days agoE4SE5S6S7SE6S6SE10S9S9SE11
G16
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SW15S10S7S9SE7S7S7SE8S9SE9S9SE8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.