Tuesday, June15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Moravia, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:24AMSunset 8:45PM Tuesday June 15, 2021 12:39 AM EDT (04:39 UTC) Moonrise 9:06AMMoonset 11:47PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202106150915;;283131 Fzus51 Kbuf 150229 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 1029 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-150915- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1029 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Rest of tonight..West winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers late this evening. A chance of showers late. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Wednesday..North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..West winds 5 to 15 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms Friday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 47 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Moravia, NY
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location: 42.71, -76.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 150139 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 939 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

SYNOPSIS. Isolated rain showers with even a few embedded weak thunderstorms are possible this evening before conditions quiet down later tonight. The upper low will move through on Tuesday with another chance of showers and thunderstorms. High pressure returns for the rest of the week with dry weather and cooler temperatures.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. 940 pm update . A broken line of convection has developed over the central/ern Finger Lakes this evening and has intensified more than previously thought. A short wave rotating around the parent upper low is swinging through the region and interacting with some residual convective instability left over to produce this scattered-isolated showers/storms. These cells should not last very long as the environment becomes more stable through the rest of the evening.

650 pm update . Thunderstorms have exited the region to the east/se this evening, and lingering light rain showers are possible through the rest of the evening. There is another batch of rain over western NY at this time, and some of this may trickle into central NY, but the overall trend will be to dry conditions out through the overnight. The next wave with showers and a few storms will push through nw to se tomorrow as the main upper low tracks across the region. Severe weather is not expected tomorrow as the air mass not be as unstable as today.

Previous Discussion .

A line of showers extending from Northern NY and into Central PA is passing through the area, with thunderstorms on the southern end of the line. The thunderstorms on the southern part of this line will impact NEPA, with a focus on Luzerne County, where instability has been slightly higher. Thunderstorms have also popped up ahead of this line of showers/t-storms. Some thunderstorms have had gusty winds and small hail. Thunderstorm activity should begin to wind down this evening, as the environment becomes more stable. Rain shower chances begin to decrease overnight. Overnight lows will fall into the 50s.

Tuesday morning starts off cloudy and chances for rain showers increase once again as a weak system enters the area. Rain chances are best during the afternoon hours. Some rumbles of thunder are also possible with the presence of a few hundreds J/kg of CAPE. High temps will be in the 60s and 70s.

Skies and rain showers clear out tomorrow night as high pressure begins to move in. Cooler temperatures are also expected as lows will drop into the upper 40s and low 50s.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. High pressure will be in place for the short term period. Plenty of sunshine for the mid-week. High temps are a little cooler again on Wednesday as they will only be in the 60s and 70s. Mostly 70s expected for Thursday. Low temps will be in the 40s and 50s for both nights.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Friday will start out quiet but sky cover will increase early in the morning ahead of a frontal system that is expected to pass through. Rain chances increase Friday afternoon ahead of this system. The best chances for rain showers will be Friday night. The rain continues into Saturday and thunderstorms may also be possible. This system then begins to move out of the area Saturday night and high pressure begins to move in once again.

The second half of the weekend is looking mostly dry with a slight chance for some lingering showers. Early next week is also looking fairly dry but some approaching systems could bring some showers and thunderstorms to the area.

A shift in the pattern Friday results in southwesterly flow, bringing warmer air to the region. High temps will be in the 70s and low 80s. Overnight lows are expected to be in the 50s and 60s.

AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Upper level low over the eastern Great Lakes this afternoon will continue to slowly spin to the east tonight and eventually make a significant push to the coast by tomorrow. This low pressure system will trigger a few rain showers this evening, but with minimal restrictions. A cool air mass pushing in over the saturated surface will produce low clouds and fog tonight into Tue morning. Flight conditions will drop to fuel alternate required and brief periods of IFR. Conditions slowly improve Tue morning as the next wave rotating through brings in more rain showers and possibly a few isolated storms. Timing appears to be between 16-22Z. VFR conditions are expected after 17Z.

Winds will be light from the west around 5 kt or less tonight and then increase out of the nw with gusts up to 17 kt Tuesday during the day.

Outlook .

Tuesday night through Friday . Mainly VFR, with the exception of valley fog at KELM during the late night and early morning hours.

Friday night through Saturday . Chance for showers and thunder/associated restrictions, otherwise VFR.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . BTL NEAR TERM . BTL/BJT SHORT TERM . BTL/MPH/MWG LONG TERM . BTL/MPH/MWG AVIATION . BTL/BJT


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 52 mi51 min SSW 7 G 9.9 63°F 1008.1 hPa57°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 73 mi39 min W 8.9 G 13 62°F 1009.8 hPa (+0.3)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 75 mi51 min 61°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ithaca, Ithaca Tompkins Regional Airport, NY16 mi43 minN 410.00 miFair57°F56°F96%1009 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KITH

Wind History from ITH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5SE3S6S7S5SW5SW7SW6W754W6NW7NW20
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NE3SW3S4CalmNW3NE3CalmN3N4
1 day agoE43E3NE3E3NE4SE3SE34E3W43W6NW6444CalmSE5S7SE5S7S10S8
2 days agoS5CalmSE4S3CalmCalmCalmS3W6NW5W7W6NW6W7
G16
NW5NW6NW6W9W7NW5N4NE6E4E6

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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