Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Marine City, MI
March 29, 2024 2:41 AM EDT (06:41 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:14 AM Sunset 7:54 PM Moonrise 11:48 PM Moonset 8:01 AM |
LCZ422 222 Am Est Wed Feb 28 2024
.strong Thunderstorms approaching the waters - .
the areas affected include - . Lake huron from port sanilac to port huron 5nm off shore to us/canadian border - . Port sanilac to port huron mi - . St. Clair river - .
at 222 am est, doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds up to 30 knots. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near lakeport to 11 nm northwest of st. Clair, moving east at 35 knots.
strong Thunderstorms will be near - . Lakeport around 230 am est. Port huron around 235 am est.
precautionary/preparedness actions - .
these strong Thunderstorms will likely produce winds up to 30 knots, and could pose a serious hazard for boaters. A special marine warning may eventually be required when these strong Thunderstorms reaches the nearshore waters. Boaters should consider heading for shore before these strong Thunderstorms arrives.
&&
lat - .lon 4300 8242 4296 8242 4293 8245 4290 8247 4289 8251 4301 8247 4322 8256 4325 8257 4329 8228
the areas affected include - . Lake huron from port sanilac to port huron 5nm off shore to us/canadian border - . Port sanilac to port huron mi - . St. Clair river - .
at 222 am est, doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds up to 30 knots. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near lakeport to 11 nm northwest of st. Clair, moving east at 35 knots.
strong Thunderstorms will be near - . Lakeport around 230 am est. Port huron around 235 am est.
precautionary/preparedness actions - .
these strong Thunderstorms will likely produce winds up to 30 knots, and could pose a serious hazard for boaters. A special marine warning may eventually be required when these strong Thunderstorms reaches the nearshore waters. Boaters should consider heading for shore before these strong Thunderstorms arrives.
&&
lat - .lon 4300 8242 4296 8242 4293 8245 4290 8247 4289 8251 4301 8247 4322 8256 4325 8257 4329 8228
LCZ400
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Area Discussion for - Detroit/Pontiac, MI
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FXUS63 KDTX 290333 AFDDTX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 1133 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Temperatures trend near-normal Friday with more sun than clouds.
- Showers arrive Saturday morning with a rumble of thunder possible midday as coverage of rain decreases.
- Some additional showers are possible Sunday and Monday while temperatures settle near seasonal averages.
AVIATION
VFR conditions hold tonight and Friday, as dry and stable low level conditions maintain a stretch of clear skies. Modest winds remain from the west tonight, persisting into Friday. High cloud thickness as winds flip to a light easterly flow in advance of a warm front early Friday night. Shower potential increases with an associated reduction in cloud base starting Saturday morning.
DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES
* None.
PREV DISCUSSION
Issued at 310 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
DISCUSSION...
Sparse diurnal cumulus response underway this afternoon as Southeast Michigan situates within a narrow kinematic lull aloft as low-level anticyclonic flow to the south encroaches on deep-layer upper low pressure to north, deflecting the system poleward into Hudson Bay.
The dry slot associated with the low presents well in mid-level GOES vapor imagery, arcing southwest across Windsor, Chicago, and eventually northward into the Upper Midwest. Perturbed speed max shearing off the upstream ridge targets the Ohio Valley spurring thicker clouds and showers which should hold just south of the forecast area this afternoon and evening. Will continue to advertise dry PoPs today and tonight in light of subsaturated forecast soundings and PWATs generally holding AOB 0.25 inches over the next 24-36 hours. Largely unencumbered isolation window with increasingly westerly flow may prove insufficient for highs to break 50F across Metro Detroit per latest ensemble suite. Dropped highs by a degree or two given the struggle to get enough positive low-level thermal advection and mixing. Seasonably cold again tonight without the aid of longwave trapping cloud shield, therefore overnight lows should dip well below freezing again, into the mid-upper 20s.
Synoptic-scale ridge tracks eastward across the Great Lakes Friday reinforcing column subsidence and dry conditions. The thermal trough currently residing across much of Lower Michigan appears slow to retreat Friday, but 850 mb temps should recover above 0C across the entire CWA by late evening. Diffuse pressure gradient lends weak winds, generally from the west. Decent temperature gradient sets up from south to north, tied to the departure of the cold pool (and an advancing warm front) which offers a broad range of high temperatures Friday. Upper 50s expected near the Ohio Border while readings only creep into the 40s across The Thumb. Clouds increase Friday night ahead of a 1004 mb surface low lifting into the region.
The associated lower tropospheric jet activity draws an increasingly confluent ThetaE feed up the Mississippi. Aside from maybe Lenawee and Washtenaw counties, precipitation should hold-off until after 09Z.
Precip shield from the aforementioned low lifts northeastward early Saturday morning with sharp isentropic ascent resulting in rapid saturation. FGEN enhancements lend some potential for rainfall rates to exceed a tenth of an inch per hour during the peak. Thermodynamic profiles are very stable with a surface-based inversion extending between 2 kft and 4 kft AGL until the afternoon limiting mechanical mixing. Although the veering of mid-upper level winds from WSW to WNW will occur gradually midday, dry advection helps to rapidly clear out clouds aloft as minor steepening of lapse rates ensues.
Some elevated instability is noted on the order of a few hundred J/kg of CAPE. Can't completely rule out a rumble of thunder or two, but stabilization trends lend low confidence a this time. Given the earlier timing of the warm frontal progression, the warm sector should bring temperatures closer to 60F near the state-line.
High pressure builds in quickly Sunday with some lingering clouds while models have shifted to a more prominent (and northerly)
feature extending through the Ohio Valley. Some afternoon showers are possible south of M-59 Sunday afternoon/evening before the longwave pattern aligns more favorably Monday into Tuesday for widespread rainfall. Temperatures will generally be near-normal during this time. Next shot for colder air expected mid-late week with a more wintry precipitation type possibly mixing in with any precipitation.
MARINE...
High pressure extending southeast from Manitoba continues building east into the central Great Lakes tonight into Friday. Breezy WSW wind will weaken this evening as a result and shift to predominantly WNW Friday at around 10 to 15 knots. The next low pressure moves through the southern Great Lakes on Saturday, bringing rain and snow to parts of the region. Winds organize out of the E/NE ahead of the system early Saturday then shift to NW as it passes by to the south.
High pressure builds in early Sunday with light and variable winds.
This will be short-lived as multiple disturbances track across the region Sunday night through the early week. At this time winds look to remain below marine headline criteria.
DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
Lake Huron...None.
Lake St Clair...None.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 1133 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Temperatures trend near-normal Friday with more sun than clouds.
- Showers arrive Saturday morning with a rumble of thunder possible midday as coverage of rain decreases.
- Some additional showers are possible Sunday and Monday while temperatures settle near seasonal averages.
AVIATION
VFR conditions hold tonight and Friday, as dry and stable low level conditions maintain a stretch of clear skies. Modest winds remain from the west tonight, persisting into Friday. High cloud thickness as winds flip to a light easterly flow in advance of a warm front early Friday night. Shower potential increases with an associated reduction in cloud base starting Saturday morning.
DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES
* None.
PREV DISCUSSION
Issued at 310 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
DISCUSSION...
Sparse diurnal cumulus response underway this afternoon as Southeast Michigan situates within a narrow kinematic lull aloft as low-level anticyclonic flow to the south encroaches on deep-layer upper low pressure to north, deflecting the system poleward into Hudson Bay.
The dry slot associated with the low presents well in mid-level GOES vapor imagery, arcing southwest across Windsor, Chicago, and eventually northward into the Upper Midwest. Perturbed speed max shearing off the upstream ridge targets the Ohio Valley spurring thicker clouds and showers which should hold just south of the forecast area this afternoon and evening. Will continue to advertise dry PoPs today and tonight in light of subsaturated forecast soundings and PWATs generally holding AOB 0.25 inches over the next 24-36 hours. Largely unencumbered isolation window with increasingly westerly flow may prove insufficient for highs to break 50F across Metro Detroit per latest ensemble suite. Dropped highs by a degree or two given the struggle to get enough positive low-level thermal advection and mixing. Seasonably cold again tonight without the aid of longwave trapping cloud shield, therefore overnight lows should dip well below freezing again, into the mid-upper 20s.
Synoptic-scale ridge tracks eastward across the Great Lakes Friday reinforcing column subsidence and dry conditions. The thermal trough currently residing across much of Lower Michigan appears slow to retreat Friday, but 850 mb temps should recover above 0C across the entire CWA by late evening. Diffuse pressure gradient lends weak winds, generally from the west. Decent temperature gradient sets up from south to north, tied to the departure of the cold pool (and an advancing warm front) which offers a broad range of high temperatures Friday. Upper 50s expected near the Ohio Border while readings only creep into the 40s across The Thumb. Clouds increase Friday night ahead of a 1004 mb surface low lifting into the region.
The associated lower tropospheric jet activity draws an increasingly confluent ThetaE feed up the Mississippi. Aside from maybe Lenawee and Washtenaw counties, precipitation should hold-off until after 09Z.
Precip shield from the aforementioned low lifts northeastward early Saturday morning with sharp isentropic ascent resulting in rapid saturation. FGEN enhancements lend some potential for rainfall rates to exceed a tenth of an inch per hour during the peak. Thermodynamic profiles are very stable with a surface-based inversion extending between 2 kft and 4 kft AGL until the afternoon limiting mechanical mixing. Although the veering of mid-upper level winds from WSW to WNW will occur gradually midday, dry advection helps to rapidly clear out clouds aloft as minor steepening of lapse rates ensues.
Some elevated instability is noted on the order of a few hundred J/kg of CAPE. Can't completely rule out a rumble of thunder or two, but stabilization trends lend low confidence a this time. Given the earlier timing of the warm frontal progression, the warm sector should bring temperatures closer to 60F near the state-line.
High pressure builds in quickly Sunday with some lingering clouds while models have shifted to a more prominent (and northerly)
feature extending through the Ohio Valley. Some afternoon showers are possible south of M-59 Sunday afternoon/evening before the longwave pattern aligns more favorably Monday into Tuesday for widespread rainfall. Temperatures will generally be near-normal during this time. Next shot for colder air expected mid-late week with a more wintry precipitation type possibly mixing in with any precipitation.
MARINE...
High pressure extending southeast from Manitoba continues building east into the central Great Lakes tonight into Friday. Breezy WSW wind will weaken this evening as a result and shift to predominantly WNW Friday at around 10 to 15 knots. The next low pressure moves through the southern Great Lakes on Saturday, bringing rain and snow to parts of the region. Winds organize out of the E/NE ahead of the system early Saturday then shift to NW as it passes by to the south.
High pressure builds in early Sunday with light and variable winds.
This will be short-lived as multiple disturbances track across the region Sunday night through the early week. At this time winds look to remain below marine headline criteria.
DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
Lake Huron...None.
Lake St Clair...None.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
AGCM4 | 6 mi | 54 min | 35°F | 38°F | 29.99 | |||
MBRM4 - 9014090 - Mouth of the Black River, MI | 19 mi | 54 min | 35°F | 29.98 | ||||
FTGM4 - 9014098 - Fort Gratiot, MI | 21 mi | 54 min | NW 9.9G | 34°F | 29.98 | 18°F | ||
PBWM4 | 21 mi | 54 min | 34°F | 29.98 | ||||
CLSM4 - St. Clair Shores, MI | 26 mi | 42 min | WNW 4.1G | 36°F | 30.05 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KPHN ST CLAIR COUNTY INTL,MI | 14 sm | 26 min | WNW 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 32°F | 19°F | 59% | 30.03 | |
KMTC SELFRIDGE ANGB,MI | 19 sm | 46 min | WNW 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 34°F | 19°F | 55% | 30.01 | |
CYZR SARNIA CHRIS HADFIELD,CN | 22 sm | 41 min | NW 07 | 9 sm | Overcast | 34°F | 21°F | 60% | 30.01 |
Detroit, MI,
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