Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Skaneateles, NY

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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY

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FXUS61 KBGM 270235 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1035 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak system exiting the Mid Atlantic Coast is going to continue to produce light rain, drizzle and clouds for much of NE PA and into the Catskills through tonight. Conditions improve on Sunday with well above average temperatures. Those warm temperatures will persist into Monday. However, a more fall- like pattern returns through the middle of the week with additional chances for showers and thunderstorms.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/.

1030 PM Update

Minor adjustments to increase cloud cover and patchy fog in the forecast overnight; especially across the southeastern half of the CWA. Rest of the near term forecast remains on track.

655 PM Update

Only very minor adjustments to the near term forecast for tonight and Sunday. Overall, main concerns will still be some patchy drizzle, light rain showers and areas of fog overnight . mainly from Binghamton/Elmira southeast into the Catskills and NE PA. Humid for this time of year with overnight lows holding in the upper 50s to low 60s. The downsloping south winds 6-12 mph should prevent low clouds and fog from developing across the Finger Lakes and NY Thruway corridor.

The patchy drizzle, fog and isolated showers will be around into the early or mid morning hours on Sunday (again binghamton south and east). Then, much of the area will see gradually clearing skies, with partly or mostly sunny condition in the afternoon. The south wind increases, between 10-20 mph, with a few higher gusts. This setup will allow high temperatures to surge well above average; with 80-85 for much of CNY, and mid-70s to lower 80s for NE PA and the Catskills.

344 PM Update . A weak low pressure system will cross just south of DELMARVA this afternoon and this system is responsible for the low level moisture across the southern half of our forecast area. NE PA and through the Catskills will have a chance for some light rain/drizzle through the night. Further north, rain/drizzle chances will be lower as you enter the Southern Tier, but cloudy conditions will be expected for much of the night.

Further north in Central NY it has been a beautiful day, with Syracuse topping 80 degrees today and upper 70s to low 80s has been seen across the Finger Lakes region and northeast into the Mohawk Valley this afternoon. Still unclear how far north cloud cover will spread tonight, but this area will remain dry and even if skies stay clear tonight, the low temperatures will only drop to the upper 50s with a warm air mass in place.

Conditions will improve everywhere tomorrow as ridging builds over the Northeast U.S. Widespread high temperatures in the upper 70s and even a few lower 80s is expected for much of the area. Deep SW return flow will also advect low level moisture into the region tomorrow, with dew points increasing into lower 60s will make it feel more like the end of August instead of September. However, by tomorrow night, a rain/drizzle will likely return to the southeastern half of the forecast area once again. Moisture will work its way in from the Atlantic tomorrow night as low level flow turns to more southeasterly. A weak shortwave will track northeast and into Eastern PA by early Monday morning. Rainfall chances will increase from south to north through the night with the highest chances east of I81.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. Some showers are possible on Monday, especially east of I-81 as a weak wave moves northward along the Mid-Atlantic coast. Then much of the area should see a brief break in any shower activity Monday night with a dry slot working in ahead of the next round of rain. Highs on Monday will be above normal, mainly in the mid 70s to lower 80s.

A deepening low pressure system in Canada will drag a cold front through our area on Tuesday. Strong southwesterly flow ahead of the front will advect plenty of moisture into the area. As a narrow band of rain moves through the area, locally moderate to heavy rainfall will be possible. However, there is a lot of uncertainty within the model guidance on the exact placement of this band and therefore it is uncertain where the heavier rainfall may occur. Flooding is not expected to be a concern given the very dry antecedent conditions. A few thunderstorms will also be possible, especially Tuesday afternoon. However, with limited instability, not expecting these storms to be particularly strong. Highs on Tuesday will likely be in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

By late Tuesday night, the front slowly pulls east of our area, allowing for showers to begin to taper off from west to east. However, another wave riding along the frontal boundary may keep showers around longer across the Catskills and Poconos.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Chances for showers linger through much of the extended period as the broad trough remains situated over the Great Lakes and stray shortwaves pass through our area. Exact placement of each of these shortwaves remains uncertain and therefore PoPs for any given day are no higher than chance.

A cooling trend will also occur through the extended period. After highs in the 60s on Wednesday and Thursday, 50s to lower 60s for highs are expected Friday through the weekend.

AVIATION /03Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. Low level moisture will likely bring IFR ceiling restrictions at KAVP, KBGM, and KELM this evening/overnight. Some fog is possible as well. KITH may briefly touch MVFR, but IFR is unlikely to get that far north. KSYR and KRME likely remain VFR through the next 24 hours. For the terminals with overnight restrictions, conditions gradually improve back to VFR by late Sunday morning. Occasional drizzle or light rain showers will also be possible at KAVP and KBGM tonight.

Outlook .

Sunday night into Thursday . Scattered showers and thunderstorms may lead to occasional restrictions.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . MPK NEAR TERM . MPK/MJM SHORT TERM . BJG LONG TERM . BJG/HLC AVIATION . BJG

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY	36 mi	43 min	SSE 8.9 G 13	68°F			1013.1 hPa	60°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY	66 mi	121 min	S 6 G 8	73°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY	67 mi	43 min		69°F			1011.5 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY	20 mi	67 min	SSE 6	10.00 mi	Partly Cloudy	68°F	60°F	76%	1013.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSYR

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Tide / Current Tables for

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Weather Map

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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY

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