Victor, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Victor, NY

April 16, 2024 3:18 PM EDT (19:18 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:23 AM   Sunset 7:55 PM
Moonrise 11:40 AM   Moonset 2:34 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LOZ043 Hamlin Beach To Sodus Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 439 Am Edt Tue Apr 16 2024

Today - West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tonight - West winds less than 10 knots becoming east and increasing to 15 to 20 knots overnight. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less building to 1 to 3 feet.

Wednesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers in the morning, then rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.

Wednesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southeast. Showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.

Thursday - South winds 5 to 15 knots. Showers during the day, then a chance of showers Thursday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Friday - South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet.

Saturday - West winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
the water temperature off rochester is 44 degrees.

LOZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Victor, NY
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Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 161827 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 227 PM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure over the region will shift east tonight. Showers and some thunderstorms will return Wednesday into Thursday as a broad area of weakening low pressure passes by to our northwest sending a warm front through the region Wednesday, followed by a cold front Wednesday night into Thursday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Surface ridge axis across the region this afternoon will slowly shift east into western New England tonight, while a highly amplified upper level ridge nudges over the lower Great Lakes.
These features will maintain dry weather for most if not all of the night tonight with a gradual increase in clouds overnight.
The exception may be across far southwest New York toward Wednesday morning as the leading edge of a band of showers associated with a warm front extending well east of an area of low pressure moving east across the upper Mississippi Valley approaches from the west. Lows will range from the lower to mid 30s across the North Country to the lower and mid 40s across far western New York.

Shower chances ramp up Wednesday starting in the morning across western New York, reaching the Finger Lakes by afternoon as a distinct surge of moisture and ascent in advance of a warm front works into the area during this time frame. Some embedded thunder or at least a rumble or two is possible during the morning as elevated portion of the activity works through. There will be a better chance for thunderstorms during the later part of the afternoon, especially across western New York as a pocket of modest instability develops with the emerging warm sector.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
A mid-level ridge axis will move across the eastern Great Lakes region Wednesday. Surface high pressure will weaken across the region as surface low pressure moves into the Upper Great Lakes region. The nose of a 35kt low level jet will arrive in western NY Wednesday morning and increasing moisture ahead of a surface warm front will support strengthening rain showers across western NY.
Showers will move east, however strong subsidence across northern New England will slow forward progression and keep areas east of Lake Ontario mainly dry through Wednesday afternoon. The warm sector will move into far western NY by afternoon and this will introduce the slight chance for thunderstorms into Wednesday evening. The better chance for thunderstorms will be ahead of an advancing cold front across central and eastern Ohio during peak heating time, however it is possible some rumbles of thunder move into far western NY into the evening hours. An area of rain showers ahead of an advancing warm front will move east into the eastern Lake Ontario region Wednesday night. Surface high pressure over northern New England will continue to weaken and slow forward progression of showers. In fact, little to no rain is possible across the North Country through Wednesday night. The cold front will move into the region overnight with drier air filtering in from the west. Rainfall amounts will range from about a half inch across far western NY to a quarter inch or less east of Lake Ontario Wednesday through Wednesday night. There is a Marginal Risk of Excessive Rainfall across western NY during this time. The risk for any flooding is limited as convection is forecast to diminish as it moves into western NY.

The cold front and warm front will slow down and become occluded Thursday. Drier air will move into western NY where breaks of sun are possible Thursday. Coverage of showers will diminish through Thursday night.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
A large trough will move into the Great Lakes region and bring another round of unsettled weather and notably, cooler air for the weekend. Initially, surface low pressure will move into Hudson Bay Friday through Friday night. An associated cold front will approach the region and rain showers will likely spread from west to east across the forecast area Friday. Mostly dry conditions are likely Friday night before the upper level trough moves overhead Saturday.
Daytime heating with cool air aloft will increase chances for diurnal rain showers Saturday into Saturday evening. Activity will likely diminish overnight before an upper level trough axis swings through the region Sunday. This may produce additional rain showers however probability is low at this time. Cold air advection through the weekend will keep temperatures below normal. A large area of high pressure will build across the Great Lakes region late in the weekend into Monday resulting in mostly dry conditions across the eastern Great Lakes region.

AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Widespread VFR conditions and mainly light winds will be the rule through 12z Wednesday as high pressure slowly shifts into New England. Mid and upper level cloud will start to thicken and lower across western New York late tonight ahead of warm front set to move into western New York on Wednesday. Low VFR CIGS and a few scattered rain showers may reach KJHW toward 12z Wednesday.

Flight conditions should deteriorate Wednesday, especially across western NY, where MVFR CIGS and some rain showers will be possible.
An embedded thunderstorm is possible, but confidence low on the extent of western New York airfields impacts.

Outlook...

Wednesday night and Thursday...MVFR/VFR with showers likely.
Friday and Saturday...MVFR/VFR with a chance of showers.
Sunday...Mainly VFR.

MARINE
High pressure over the lower Great Lakes will slide east tonight.
Winds will turn easterly and increase later tonight and Wednesday with Small Craft Advisory conditions possible on Lake Ontario, especially on the western end ahead of an approaching warm front.
Winds turn more southerly on both Lakes behind the warm front by Thursday.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NY...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 19 mi79 min N 5.1G7 44°F 30.24
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 20 mi49 min 46°F


Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KIUA CANANDAIGUA,NY 11 sm3 minNW 1010 smClear66°F37°F35%30.19
KROC GREATER ROCHESTER INTL,NY 12 sm24 minN 1110 smPartly Cloudy63°F39°F42%30.20
Link to 5 minute data for KROC


Wind History from ROC
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Buffalo, NY,



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