Tuesday, January21, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Saratoga Springs, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:18AMSunset 4:53PM Tuesday January 21, 2020 11:34 AM EST (16:34 UTC) Moonrise 5:35AMMoonset 2:59PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saratoga Springs, NY
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location: 43.01, -73.74     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 211453 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 953 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2020

SYNOPSIS. Cold and dry weather continues today with high pressure in control before a weak disturbance and warm front bring a few snow showers to the southern Adirondacks tonight. High pressure will build back in from the south Wednesday with moderating temperatures through the end of the work week. Snow returns to the forecast area for the upcoming weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 952 AM EST . High pressure continues to be over southern Quebec and upstate NY, but a weak disturbance in the northwest flow aloft is producing some high clouds across the region per the latest observations and GOES-16 satellite imagery. Some adjustments to cloud cover this update and hourly temp trends.

The 12Z KALY sounding continues to show a strong low-level inversion with very dry conditions with a PWAT of 0.13". Mixing depth heights will be limited again, and high temps will be below normal with cold conditions in the teens and 20s. Not too atypical for mid to late Jan.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/. This evening, a weak upper level disturbance and warm front will cross through the region. There is very limited moisture so any snow showers or flurries will be constrained to the southern Adirondacks after sunset and into the overnight period. Lows will be quite chilly once again with most locations dipping into the low teens, with single digits in southern Vermont.

High pressure and upper ridging will build into the region again on Wednesday which will lead to decreasing clouds and moderating temperatures through the end of the work week. Highs on Wednesday should be in the low to mid 30s with upper 30s to low 40s on Thursday. Overnight lows will also moderate slightly with teens expected Wednesday night but mostly upper teens to low 20s Thursday night. The normal high and low for Albany is 30 and 14 degrees, respectively. The weather will stay dry through this time as well but expect increasing clouds late Thursday as the next storm system approaches from the central plains and high pressure shifts east.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. The period starts off with upper level ridging across the Northeast U.S. This yields a dry day on Friday with temperatures running about 10 degrees above normal.

U.S. and international operational models and their associated ensembles continue to point toward a coastal storm impacting the region over the weekend into Monday. A cutoff low will migrate from the Midwest and be near New York City on Sunday. Meanwhile a surface low tracks toward Cape Cod. The track of these systems is favorable for accumulating snow for our area. Temperature profiles look to be cold enough for all snow in the lowest layers (850mb, 925mb) of the atmosphere. Some question as to surface temperatures. They will be close to freezing. So that suggests we are looking at a rain/snow scenario with little chance for mixed precipitation. It also suggests that the snow would be of the heavier, wetter variety.

Timing differences in precipitation onset continue in the models. The GFS would kick things off Saturday afternoon while the ECMWF doesn't get started until Sunday. As far as how this plays in the forecast, likely POPs are posted for Saturday night and Sunday across the forecast area.

A check of WPC's Probability of Exceeding 0.25 inch Liquid Equivalent of Snow/Sleet graphic shows the region in a 30-70% probability for the 24 hours ending 12Z Sunday. These probabilities provide enough confidence in a winter storm for the weekend to add a mention to the HWO. (Confidence threshold for inclusion in the HWO is 30%).

A reminder . this is Tuesday. We are talking about a Saturday/Sunday storm. Things can change. Keep posted.

AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. VFR conditions prevail with high pressure controlling the weather.

Outlook .

Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact Chance of RA. SN. Saturday Night: High Operational Impact Likely RA. SN. Sunday: High Operational Impact Likely RA. SN.

HYDROLOGY. Dry and cold weather is expected through Friday. This will allow ice to form and strengthen on area bodies of water.

The next chance of widespread precipitation will be on the weekend when a coastal system may bring snow or a mix of precipitation types.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. MA . None. VT . None.

SYNOPSIS . Wasula/JLV NEAR TERM . Wasula SHORT TERM . JLV LONG TERM . OKeefe AVIATION . OKeefe HYDROLOGY . JLV


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 69 mi64 min SW 1.9 18°F 1032 hPa10°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Schenectady Airport, NY14 mi49 minNW 810.00 miFair18°F3°F53%1032.2 hPa
Albany International Airport, NY18 mi43 minNNW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy19°F1°F47%1033.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSCH

Wind History from SCH (wind in knots)
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W5W5--------------------NW4W5--NW8
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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:54 AM EST     3.98 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:33 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:25 AM EST     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:00 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 02:27 PM EST     5.46 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:09 PM EST     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.13.743.62.82.21.50.7-0.101.12.53.74.75.45.34.63.72.81.60.4-0.301.1

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:46 AM EST     3.98 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:33 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:15 AM EST     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:00 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 02:19 PM EST     5.46 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:59 PM EST     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.23.843.52.72.11.40.5-0.10.11.32.73.94.85.45.34.53.62.61.40.2-0.40.21.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.