Akron, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Akron, NY


November 28, 2023 3:42 AM EST (08:42 UTC)
Sunrise 7:21AM   Sunset 4:43PM   Moonrise  5:26PM   Moonset 8:59AM 

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Marine Forecasts
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LOZ042 Niagara River To Hamlin Beach Along Lake Ontario- 344 Pm Est Mon Nov 27 2023
.gale warning in effect through Tuesday morning...
Tonight..West gales to 35 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers after midnight. Waves 9 to 12 feet. Waves occasionally around 15 feet.
Tuesday..West gales to 35 knots becoming northwest and diminishing to 30 knots in the afternoon. Lake effect snow showers likely with some rumbles of Thunder possible in the morning, then a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Waves 8 to 12 feet subsiding to 7 to 10 feet. Waves occasionally around 15 feet.
Tuesday night..West winds to 30 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 5 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Lake effect snow showers likely in the morning, then rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers in the evening, then a chance of rain showers overnight. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers Thursday night. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Friday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Rain likely during the day, then a chance of rain showers Friday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..North winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.

LOZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Akron, NY
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Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 280649 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 149 AM EST Tue Nov 28 2023

SYNOPSIS
Significant lake effect snow expected through this afternoon east and southeast of the lakes. Lake effect snow then swings back north late tonight and early Wednesday, but in a weakened state with light accumulations expected northeast of the lakes. A weak clipper passes through the region Wednesday which may bring some light snow showers to the area. High pressure then briefly builds in Thursday with relatively quiet weather. Unsettled milder weather returns towards the end of the work week with more of a rain system.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS EAST OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO...

Early this morning, significant lake snow band off Erie continues to sink across the Southern Tier while wavy band with heavier bursts embedded within it is focused over the central and southern Tug Hill and into northern half of Oswego County. Still a potential for thunder as lake induced equilibrium levels approach 20K feet. Temps in the lake convective layer are mainly -10c or colder, so mixed phase processes may be limited. This could explain general lack of thunder early this morning. Given the intensity of the lake effect certainly cannot rule it out though.

Off Lake Erie...Band of heavy lake snow has steadily settled southward early this morning as BUF VWP shows uniform WNW flow taking hold in wake of the shortwave that moved through late Monday.
The band now mainly extends from the Boston Hills to Wyoming County on southward after pummeling the Buffalo Southtowns Monday afternoon and evening. Thus the band has arrived across the Chautauqua Ridge into the higher terrain of Cattaraugus County.

Later today, WNW flow will gradually veer further to the northwest.
This will force lake effect to transition into an upslope scenario rather than a single intense band, with snow mainly across the higher terrain of the Chautauqua Ridge. High-res model guidance continues to suggest a strong upstream connection to Lake Huron, which will enhance snowfall rates and amounts in a narrow zone. The greatest snowfall amounts early this morning through late this afternoon will occur over the Chautauqua ridge through the Boston Hills where upstream connections will likely produce additional snowfall amounts near a foot locally. Strongest winds likely found to the north of the heaviest lake snows but nonetheless winds still gusting to 25 to 30 will produce near whiteout conditions making travel very difficult at times. Stronger NW winds will also push focused snow bands into western portions of Allegany County with at least some higher terrain locations seeing advisory level snowfall.

Off Lake Ontario...Primary band of heavy lake snow has settled a bit farther south since late Monday evening on a uniform 270 flow, now focused over central and southern Tug Hill and into northern Oswego County. Heavier snow is falling even at lower elevations, such as Lowville and Glenfield per NYS Mesonet camera. Snow extends all the way to the western Dacks. Snowfall rates will likely hit 3+" per hour at times in the heart of the band early this morning as shortwave crosses the region. The greatest snowfall amounts will be found across the Tug Hill where upstream connections will likely produce another foot of snow early this morning. Given the snowfall rates expected, and winds gusting up to 30 mph considerable blowing and drifting snow and very poor visibility is likely.

East of Lake Ontario with the still present long westerly fetch and plenty of upstream connections off Lake Huron and Georgian Bay, snowfall rates for the morning will still be pushing 3+"/hr across southern Tug Hill and into northern and eastern Oswego County. By early afternoon, moderate to heavy snow off Lake Ontario will shift more across Oswego County and eventually will begin to impact portions of Wayne and northern Cayuga counties with at least advisory level snow into the evening hours.

Areas outside of these two primary lake effect areas will largely see nothing more than a passing snow shower at times, though with the trough overhead today and winds shifting NW, areas on the lake plains from IAG/BUF to ROC will see some snow showers and flurries at times. Cold all areas. Low temperatures early this morning in the teens and 20s and apparent temps already as low as the single digits in some spots over interior western NY. Not much improvement in the wintry chill for the rest of today as high temperatures will not reach freezing and wind chill values will reside in the teens with a blustery west wind that will be gusting to 25-35 mph strongest on the lake plains.

Later tonight, it still appears that the steering flow will back to southwest ahead of another shortwave trough dropping across the Great Lakes. The backing flow will send the lake effect back to the north though it will be weakening somewhat. Some light snow could start to impact the Buffalo Metro and Watertown late Tonight. Though snowfall amounts will be light, timing is not greatest as it will be arriving toward the Wednesday morning commute.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Lake effect snow Wednesday will be drawn northward as a shortwave trough passes through the Central Great Lakes, backing winds to a 220-230 flow. Increased wind shear, along with falling lake induced equilibrium levels will weaken the bands as they lift towards Canada. Could see an inch or so of snow for Buffalo, and though light accumulation, its timing during the morning rush hour Wednesday morning could yield travel impacts with slick roads. East of Lake Ontario snow accumulations will be a bit more, with perhaps several inches for mainly Jefferson County and nearby vicinity.

This shortwave will pass by the region Wednesday evening, and winds will veer to a southwest and eventually westerly flow. This will take the snow over Canada and reorganize it, as inversion heights grow and moisture again increases in the snow DGZ. Bands of snow will drop southward off both Lakes Erie and Ontario. Drier air will be nudging northeastward across Lake Erie Wednesday night, and this will likely keep snow accumulation down, with less snow in the favorable snow DGZ. However east of Lake Ontario a more favorable setup, with deeper moisture and lake induced equilibrium levels still around 8-9K feet will allow for an organized band of lake effect snow to drop southward across Jefferson County, and the Tug Hill region. Could see snowfall amounts top advisory thresholds, though the steady veering of the winds will likely limit warning thresholds. This snow will end through the day Thursday east of Lake Ontario as drier air pushes northeastward and warm air advection lifts the snow DGZ from the deeper low level moisture. Could see a little sun Thursday during a mild afternoon hours with temperatures in the low to mid 40s.

Another shortwave producing a surface trough will near our region for Thursday night. This will bring rain showers, and higher elevation snow back into our region for Thursday night.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A rapidly moving...energetic southern stream shortwave ejecting out of the Lower Mississippi valley late Thursday night will cross the Ohio valley to the Mid Atlantic states on Friday. This will support a broad area of low pressure that is forecast to pass well to our south. While there is high confidence that pcpn on the northern side of this system will overspread our region in the process...there is still a fair amount of uncertainty as to the p type. The highest probabilities from this vantage point lean towards a mix of rain snow briefing going over to just rain...but it will certainly be worth watching.

High pressure will quickly build across the Lower Great Lakes in the wake of aforementioned shortwave Friday night. While a changeover back to snow showers is expected...significant drying should encourage the pcpn to taper off and end before any significant snow accumulation can take place.

An amplifying ridge over the Lower Great Lakes Saturday and Saturday night will support an corresponding area of sfc high pressure that should promote fair dry weather for the vast majority of the region for the first half of the weekend.

While mid level energy within the southern stream is expected to approach our area Sunday afternoon and night...the timing and intensity of this feature varies widely within deterministic guidance
As a result
ensembles are painting with a broad brush as to the extent of the associated pcpn. Will maintain chc pops for Sunday afternoon with high chc to likely pops for Sunday night and Monday when phasing of the two jets could promote strong cyclogenesis along the Mid Atlantic-New england coast.

AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Bands of heavy lake effect snow will continue east of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario through this afternoon with VLIFR during the heavier periods of lake effect. Outside of lake effect areas though, mainly VFR will prevail with passing snow showers or flurries at times.

Most of the TAF sites will see little to no impact from the heavy snow, with VFR prevailing most of the time at KBUF and KIAG. KROC will see a few snow showers at times today when brief periods of IFR in light snow is possible. KART will see some light snow early this morning before lake effect consolidates south of the terminal. KJHW will be the most significantly impacted, with periods of snow occasionally reducing the VSBY to near airfield minimums at times through this afternoon.

Outlook...

Wednesday...Mainly VFR/MVFR, with IFR-LIFR in lake effect snow showers.
Thursday...Mainly VFR with lake effect snow ending early.
Friday...Mainly VFR/MVFR with rain showers.
Saturday...Mainly VFR.

MARINE
Strong westerly winds continue. Gale warnings continue on Lake Ontario early this morning. Gale force gusts are likely at times on Lake Erie early this morning with winds on both lakes slowly diminishing the rest of today into tonight.

Even with the diminishing trend in winds though, winds and waves will remain elevated enough through midweek to justify Small Craft Advisories over most of the waters.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NY...Lake Effect Snow Warning until 7 AM EST Wednesday for NYZ006>008-012-019-020-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Wednesday for LEZ040-041.
Gale Warning until 7 AM EST this morning for LOZ042>045-062>065.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 21 mi102 min W 20G29 29°F 29.79
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 24 mi54 min W 19G25 27°F 44°F29.7916°F
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 26 mi54 min 27°F 29.78
YGNN6 - Niagara Coast Guard , NY 31 mi42 min WSW 12G18 28°F 29.80
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 38 mi54 min 28°F 29.81

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Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KBUF BUFFALO NIAGARA INTL,NY 14 sm48 minW 12G1710 smMostly Cloudy25°F12°F58%29.79
KGVQ GENESEE COUNTY,NY 19 sm46 minW 0810 smMostly Cloudy25°F16°F68%29.77
KIAG NIAGARA FALLS INTL,NY 22 sm49 minW 14G2210 smMostly Cloudy27°F12°F54%29.80

Wind History from BUF
(wind in knots)



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Buffalo, NY,



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