Wednesday, March3, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
North East, PA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 6:14PM Wednesday March 3, 2021 6:30 AM EST (11:30 UTC) Moonrise 11:44PMMoonset 9:25AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ169 Expires:202103031530;;399370 Fzus61 Kcle 030853 Glfle Open Lake Forecast For Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 353 Am Est Wed Mar 3 2021 For Waters Beyond Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Erie Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum.
Synopsis.. A cold front will move south across the lake today. A trough averaging 30.00 inches will remain over the eastern lakes through Thursday morning. High pressure 30.40 inches will gradually move south over the great lakes region Thursday night through Sunday. A cold front will move south across the lake Friday night. Lez061-165>169-031530- ripley to buffalo ny extending from 5nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- vermilion to avon point oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- avon point to willowick oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border-willowick to geneva-on-the- lake oh beyond 5nm off shoreline to us-canadian border-geneva-on- the-lake to conneaut oh beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- conneaut oh to ripley ny beyond 5 nm off shoreline to us- canadian border- 353 am est Wed mar 3 2021
Today..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Waves in ice free areas 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of flurries from late evening on. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of flurries. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers Friday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet, then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Waves 2 feet or less. Wave heights are for ice free areas.
LEZ169


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North East , PA
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location: 43.17, -80.47     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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FXUS61 KCLE 030840 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 340 AM EST Wed Mar 3 2021

SYNOPSIS. A clipper low pressure system was located over southern Ontario early this morning. It will continue to weaken as it moves southeast through the day. Its cold front will stall over the region this evening, leaving a weak trough to linger over the eastern Great Lakes into Thursday morning. High pressure ridges into the region from the Northern Plains Thursday night into early Saturday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. The clipper low weakens as it reaches northern NY state this afternoon. Its weakening cold front will sag across the lake late this afternoon into the evening before stalling/dissipating. There is enough convergence along it to generate some light precipitation as it crosses the lake this evening. All precipitation becomes snow overnight as cooler air spills across the lake keeping snow showers going. These snow showers will mainly be over the higher terrain but flurries will be possible across much of the central and eastern lakeshore areas through the night and continue into Thursday. Snow amounts will be light with a dusting to maybe half an inch possible. There will likely be a few places that overachieve into Thursday but worst case scenario would get a couple places up to around 2 inches.

Highs early this afternoon will range from the around 40 across NW PA to the lower to mid 50's southwest of a line from Cleveland to Youngstown. Cooler in the wake of the front tonight with lows in the mid 20's. Thursday should see highs that range from the mid 20's across NW PA to around 40 across NW OH.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. Amplified upper level ridge over the central Plains states will become more elongated with time during this forecast period. This is in response to a trough moving east into the West Coast of the United States by Saturday. Upper level trough will dig deep into the Caribbean by the end of this period and place the forecast area practically in the axis of the upper level trough. Surface high pressure will dive south from northern Canada into the southern and central portions of Ontario, Canada. Surface trough will also extend south from Nova Scotia to the northern Appalachians. This set-up will result in cold air advection that will take place across the area as an Arctic cold front settles south across the area. Even though inversion sits around 5000 feet through this period, there appears to be enough low level synoptic moisture in combination with lake effect moisture to support a slight chance to chance for snow across the northeast portions of the forecast area. Otherwise, it looks like it will be dry through this period across the rest of the area. Low temperatures will change very little Thursday night through Saturday night with lows in the 20s in the cold air advection flow. Highs Friday and Saturday will be in the lower 40s west where cold pool over the east produces a glancing blow. Areas in the east will be in the upper 20s to lower 30s for highs since they are closer to the cold pool.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Upper level ridge will finally shift east during this period as another ridge pushes east through the Central Plains States. An upper level trough will shift east across the area Monday as the ridge in the west continues to amplify. High pressure will dominate the local area at the surface through Monday. An upper level trough will shift east of the area allowing the ridge to build in resulting in the passage of a warm front Tuesday night. Minimal moisture associated with the front will extend into the local area. Can't rule out the possibility for a few rain showers Tuesday night into Wedneday across the area. Otherwise, expecting fair weather across the rest of the area through this forecast period. A gradual warming trend will take place each day. Highs Sunday will climb into the middle 30s east to middle to upper 40s west. Monday will see highs in the middle 40s east to middle 50s west. Tuesday's highs will be in the lower 50s east to middle 50s central and lower 60s west in the warm air advection flow.

AVIATION /06Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/. Clipper low pressure system is moving southeastward across Ontario early this morning. So far its only impacts are to slightly increase the winds. Southwesterly winds of 8 to 12 knots will be common. Winds are approaching 40 knots across the Toledo area at around 2000 feet so have added some low level wind shear through 13Z.

Otherwise expect VFR conditions into the afternoon. As a weakening cold front moves across the lake into the region ceilings will lower. MVFR and maybe some patchy IFR will develop along and in the wake of the front from the Mid Ohio region eastward to NW PA. There will be some snow showers where the lower cloud cover exists. Any accumulations will be light. Westerly winds may briefly become gusty ahead of the front. 15 to 20 knots look to be the high side for the gusts. Winds will shift to the northwest and north as the front passes but should remain under 12 knots.

Outlook . Periods of non-VFR possible with snow showers possible into Thursday afternoon across NE OH and NW PA. A few non-VFR snow showers will be possible across NE OH into NW PA Friday afternoon through Saturday evening.

MARINE. Winds are expected to be brisk on the lake today at 15 to 25 knots but will diminish tonight to 10 knots or less tonight into Thursday morning. Otherwise, northwest flow sets up for the latter part of the week as an Arctic cold front moves south across the area Friday night. Winds do diminish to 10 knots or less after the frontal passage into Sunday.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. OH . None. PA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MM NEAR TERM . MM SHORT TERM . Lombardy LONG TERM . Lombardy AVIATION . MM MARINE . Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Erie, Erie International Airport, PA77 mi39 minSSW 1110.00 miOvercast36°F18°F48%1014.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KERI

Wind History from ERI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5NW7NW5NW5S4N5SW8SW10NW8W7NW5W3SW5SW4S10SW14
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SW14S11SW13SW10SW11SW10SW10SW11
1 day agoNW13
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2 days agoSE8SE11
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N7E7CalmS10S17
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S11SW11
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SW5W8W11W9
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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