Monday, August26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North East, PA

Version 3.4
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7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 8:08PM Monday August 26, 2019 3:00 AM EDT (07:00 UTC) Moonrise 12:57AMMoonset 4:34PM Illumination 19% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ169 Expires:201908260815;;211126 Fzus61 Kcle 260118 Glfle Open Lake Forecast For Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 918 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019 For Waters Beyond Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Erie Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum.
Synopsis..High pressure 30.50 inches over the canadian maritimes will remain influential over the eastern lakes. Low pressure 29.20 inches over northwestern ontario will extend a warm front north across the lake on Monday, followed by a cold front on Tuesday night. High pressure 30.00 inches will build in from the southwest on Wednesday and remain south of the lake for the end of the week. Lez061-168-169-260815- lake erie open waters from ripley to buffalo ny- lake erie open waters from geneva-on-the-lake to conneaut oh- lake erie open waters from conneaut oh to ripley ny- 918 pm edt Sun aug 25 2019
Overnight..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Monday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Monday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of light rain in the evening, then light rain likely with a chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 15 to 25 knots. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
Tuesday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Showers and Thunderstorms likely. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Thursday..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers Friday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ169


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North East , PA
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location: 43.17, -80.47     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 260510
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
110 am edt Mon aug 26 2019

Synopsis
High pressure over eastern quebec will drift eastward through
the night as low pressure moves toward the upper great lakes.

This low will meander across ontario into mid week with a cold
front crossing the area Tuesday afternoon into the evening.

High pressure move up the ohio river valley Wednesday into
Thursday.

Near term through today
Update... Forecast on track. No changes for the late evening
update.

Original... High pressure will continue to move away from the
area as low pressure moves across the southern prairie of
canada. As this low deepens the surface pressure gradient will
increase with southeast winds becoming southerly. This will
slowly add low level moisture to the region on Monday. There may
be an area of light rain that can move into the west Monday
afternoon. The instability is lacking so have only placed a
chance of thunder mention in the forecast for now.

Downsloping flow across the east and the increasing surface
pressure gradient will keep temperatures warmer overnight. Lows
tonight will be in the mid 50s to around 60. Highs Monday
afternoon should be in the mid to upper 70s. However a couple
of the better downsloping locations from cleveland to erie could
touch 80 if the cloud cover does not increase too fast.

Warm advection isentropic lift will increase Monday evening with
light rain spreading eastward through the overnight. Rainfall
amounts look like they will be very light. There will be some
middle level instability with the potential of an
isolated scattered thunderstorm. However this potential is very
uncertain. Increased low level moisture and cloud cover should
allow for a warmer night with lows in the 60s.

Short term tonight through Wednesday night
An upper trough over the central CONUS will continue to deepen over
the region and eject a wave of energy across the forecast area. The
wave will support a surface cold front which will cross the area on
Tuesday into Tuesday night. Have likely pops with the frontal
passage. The area will be worked over quite a bit from overnight
clouds and rain, but the jet dynamics over the region are favorable
for a thunder chance in the forecast. The upper trough propagates
east of the area and northwest flow will briefly set up over the
region. High pressure will build in from the southwest and dry the
area out. Some residual rain may remain in NW pa on Wednesday with
the NW flow, but the trend is dry. Temperatures for the period
remain seasonable.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
The upper flow begins to flatten over the region for the end of the
week, while high pressure wobbles south of the forecast area.

Overall, Thursday and Friday will be dry with no forcing for
convection over the region. A weak impulse attempts to amplify the
flow a bit over the region and will support a weak front at the
surface. This front could generate some scattered showers on
Saturday and will keep a low pop in the forecast. High pressure
appears to return for Sunday will keep the area dry. Temperatures
remain seasonable.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
With high pressure east of the region now, southeast flow will
increase today and bring deeper moisture to the western
terminals along with showers for later this afternoon. There
will be sharp cutoff to the MVFR conditions and those further
east that will hang on to theVFR conditions (especially with
the southeast downslope flow). It will not be until after 00z
tue that the non-vfr conditions will begin to spread eastward
but struggle to make it all the way east until after 06z tue.

Showers will be most widespread for tol fdy late this
afternoon early evening, but become more scattered as they shift
eastward Monday night. Very limited thunder threat. Southeast
winds will gust 20 to 25 knots today and likely carry on like
that into Monday night. Stronger winds to 30 knots for eri
Monday night.

Outlook... Areas of non-vfr Monday night through Tuesday night,
lingering across far eastern oh NW pa into Wednesday.

Marine
High pressure over the canadian maritimes remains in control over
the eastern great lakes region this afternoon, allowing for light
and variable conditions on the lake. This high will continue to
wobble east of the area as low pressure and an associated cold front
move east towards the great lakes region. Winds will increase out of
the southeast tomorrow ahead of the front. Offshore flow should keep
waves to a minimum in the nearshore waters, and a small craft
advisory probably won't be needed. The cold front will cross the
lake on Tuesday and winds will shift around to the southwest behind
the front. With high pressure building in from the southwest for the
middle of the week, southwest winds will be favored for much of the
week, but should not be all that strong.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mm
near term... Tk mm
short term... Sefcovic
long term... Sefcovic
aviation... Oudeman
marine... Sefcovic


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 75 mi60 min SSE 6 G 8.9 63°F 1022.6 hPa (+0.0)
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 77 mi54 min 63°F 1023.2 hPa

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Erie, Erie International Airport, PA77 mi69 minSE 510.00 miFair62°F52°F70%1021.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KERI

Wind History from ERI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5SE7S7S8SE7S6SE6SE9SE9S9
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1 day agoNE8E4E5E4CalmCalmE6E9E9
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NE13NE15NE14NE13NE12NE12E8E5E4E5SE6S4
2 days agoN6N6N7N5S4CalmN5N6N8N7N9N12N9N8N9N7N7NE6NE6CalmS3SE4E6NE10

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.