Sunday, September27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sodus Point, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 6:55PM Sunday September 27, 2020 8:01 PM EDT (00:01 UTC) Moonrise 4:32PMMoonset 1:24AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202009271515;;437644 Fzus51 Kbuf 271037 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 637 Am Edt Sun Sep 27 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-271515- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 637 Am Edt Sun Sep 27 2020
Today..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Partly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 knots or less. Showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. The water temperature off rochester is 64 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sodus Point, NY
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location: 43.27, -76.99     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 272348 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 748 PM EDT Sun Sep 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. A cold front crossing the Upper Great Lakes will slowly push across our area Monday . and this will bring an end to a somewhat prolonged period of late summer weather. The front will usher in notably cooler weather with temperatures day to day lowering right through the end of the work week. The more seasonable temperatures will be accompanied by some badly needed showers.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/. Another warm night with low temperatures generally in the lower to mid 60s, but a bit cooler in the Southern Tier with some fog in the deeper valleys.

One last warm and breezy day on Monday. The encroachment of an upstream cold front will bring additional cloud cover through the day, with the potential for a few spotty showers late in the day across western New York. High temperatures will reach the near 80F closer to Lake Erie and over the Southern Tier, but could reach the mid 80s across the Genesee Valley to the Finger Lakes and even lower elevations of North Country.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. Major pattern change during this period as a strong cold front will usher in a much colder air mass with the potential for some lake effect rain showers.

Rapidly intensifying sfc low pressure (999mb to 983mb by 12Z Tuesday) will pass by to our west across lake Huron as it steams north and northeast into Ontario Canada overnight Monday. While this occurs, it associated cold front will head east arriving across far Western NY during the late evening hours. Forcing along the front and close proximity to the right entrance region of a +140 knot H250 jet will support a line of showers, possibly even a few rumbles of thunder as guidance does show some elevated instability. Otherwise, ahead of the front it will be mild and breezy. Lows will be found in the mid and upper 50s behind the front(Western NY), with 60s mainly ahead of it by daybreak Tuesday.

Complex system evolves on Tuesday as a potent mid-level shortwave jettison off into Canada. Meanwhile, a second shortwave drops underneath rounding out the bottom of the trough over the deep south. While this occurs, a subtle wave ejects northeast along the aforementioned cold front of which will be in the process of slowly inching east before stalling out across CNY. This feature will bring the first wave of steady rainfall across our far eastern counties from roughly the Finger Lakes east and northeast into the North Country. Lesser amounts are expected across far Western NY as the best forcing and lift will likely remain well to our east along the tightly pack baroclinic zone where the aforementioned waves will track.

Tuesday night, the next wave lifts out of the deep south and tracks north and northeast up across the Mid-Atlantic states. Deep moisture drawn northward with this feature will bring about another round of continual widespread rainfall across CNY. Again our region will be on the western peripheral with our far eastern counties seeing the best chance of precipitation into early Wednesday morning. On the backs side of this system, colder air will continue to filter in across Western NY under west-southwesterly flow. With H850 temps falling to +4C/+5C increasing over lake instability will encourage some measure of a lake response off Lake Erie impacting locations northeast of the lake overnight.

Wednesday, weak wave of low pressure slowly tracks past the region to our east with precipitation then tapering off over our far eastern counties. Meanwhile, lake effect rain showers will continue and then expand to lake Ontario by Wednesday night as colder air deepens and filters in across the entire region.

In terms of temperatures, highs on Wednesday will peak in the low/mid 60s. Lows Wednesday night will generally be found in the 40s across the region.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. A large trough will be in place for most of the long term period, causing a cool and active period of weather. A cold front will cross the region on Thursday morning helping to increase shower coverage during its passage. Cooling temperatures aloft will support lake effect rain off of both lakes at different times during the long term period when larger synoptic scale weather features aren't the primary weather producer.

A large portion of the area will have chance POPs through Saturday morning, with likely POPs for Friday afternoon as another cold front crosses the region. Behind this passing front, 850H temps will cool to around -2C, where they will mostly stay through Sunday morning.

High pressure moving in from the west will start to cut down on the lake response starting Saturday afternoon. There may be a brief period on Saturday night where lake showers will be possible as the winds shift to the west and and then west-northwest and have a more favorable fetch for a little while over Lake Ontario.

Temperatures the day will be in the low 50s to low 60s for each day from Thursday to Sunday, with Thursday being slightly the slightly warmer day. Night time temperatures will be in the upper 30s to mid 40s for Thursday night and then cool to the mid 30s to low 40s for Friday, Saturday and Sunday nights.

AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. VFR conditions will remain in place through Monday. The exception could be some MVFR vsbys in fog across parts of the Srn Tier after 08z.

Outlook .

Tuesday and Wednesday . VFR/MVFR with a chance of showers. Thursday and Friday . MVFR with a chance of showers.

MARINE. The gusty south-southwest winds will drop to 15 knots or less this evening.

A cold front will arrive Monday night and Tuesday. Boating conditions will deteriorate at that time with numerous opportunities for small craft conditions for the remainder of the week. Waterspout potential will increase as well.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . RSH NEAR TERM . TMA SHORT TERM . AR LONG TERM . SW AVIATION . RSH MARINE . TMA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 29 mi44 min SSE 6 G 8.9 77°F 1008.9 hPa59°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 32 mi62 min NW 8.9 G 8.9 69°F
45012 - Lake Ontario Buoy - 20NM North Northeast of Rochester, NY 33 mi32 min N 3.9 G 3.9 69°F 67°F1008.5 hPa67°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 34 mi44 min 71°F 1007.9 hPa
45135 - Prince Edward Pt 36 mi62 min S 12 G 14 72°F 67°F1 ft1008.1 hPa (+0.2)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY32 mi68 minN 010.00 miFair75°F59°F58%1009.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFZY

Wind History from FZY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalm4S4S4343S64CalmSE333S6S8S13S11S16
G22
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S6S3Calm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalm3SE3SE4433SE4Calm33S7S95S10
G15
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S9S6S735
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalm3S3SW4SW5SW4SW5W453N6Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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