Monday, October26, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Sodus Point, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:33AMSunset 6:06PM Monday October 26, 2020 5:35 PM EDT (21:35 UTC) Moonrise 3:32PMMoonset 1:25AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario- 720 Am Edt Mon Oct 26 2020
Today..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers early, then showers with areas of drizzle from late morning on. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. A chance of showers with areas of drizzle in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming north. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Thursday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers during the day, then rain showers likely Thursday night. Waves 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Friday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest and diminishing to less than 10 knots. A chance of rain showers during the day. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
LOZ044 Expires:202010261515;;864359 FZUS51 KBUF 261120 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 720 AM EDT Mon Oct 26 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ044-261515-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sodus Point, NY
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location: 43.27, -76.99     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 262116 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 516 PM EDT Mon Oct 26 2020

SYNOPSIS. A front will stall to the south of the region tonight through Tuesday night. Several weak waves of low pressure will move along the front, producing periods of light rain and drizzle. It may even be just cold enough to allow a few wet snowflakes to mix in across higher terrain late tonight and Tuesday night. Mainly dry weather will return Wednesday as high pressure builds into the eastern Great Lakes. Temperatures will remain below normal through the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. The most widespread rain through early this evening will be found east of Lake Ontario where moisture transport and forcing is maximized ahead of a weak frontal wave moving through PA and NY. Across the rest of the area, abundant low level moisture will combine with weak frontogenesis and low level convergence along the stalled frontal zone to produce areas of drizzle and light rain. Some patchy fog will also continue on the hills where the low stratus is intersecting the terrain.

For the rest of tonight the frontal zone will move slowly to the southeast, ending up in Central PA and southeast NY by Tuesday morning. The synoptically driven light rain will slowly taper off from northwest to southeast as the front and associated frontogenesis moves away. This is already beginning to occur over Niagara county. Abundant low level moisture and northerly component low level flow will still support some drizzle overnight, especially in upslope areas. Some lake effect rain showers will also develop late tonight south of Lake Ontario from Rochester to Oswego County as cold advection deepens the cold air and allows lake induced equilibrium levels to rise. The only location that may get cold enough to allow for wet snowflakes to mix in late tonight would be the Tug Hill Plateau, but most, if not all of the precipitation will be over by that time.

Tuesday morning through early afternoon lake effect rain showers will continue south and southeast of Lake Ontario, mainly from Orleans to southern Oswego counties. A few showers may also develop off Lake Erie across Chautauqua County. All of this will remain disorganized given the weak and sheared boundary layer flow. Otherwise the rest of the area will be mainly dry through the first half of Tuesday with plenty of cloud cover lingering.

During the late afternoon and evening on Tuesday a mid level trough will cross the eastern Great Lakes. Associated DPVA and deeper moisture with the trough will produce another round of showers for most of the region. The synoptic showers will taper off from west to east late in the evening. Modest cold advection in the wake of the trough will drop 850MB temps down to -2C to -4C overnight, allowing lake induced equilibrium levels to rise to around 8K feet. Well aligned flow down the long axis of the lakes will support some lake response, with bands of lake effect rain showers developing overnight. Off Lake Erie WSW flow will direct this into the Buffalo Southtowns, and Off Lake Ontario SW flow will direct this into Jefferson County. Forecast soundings stay warm enough for all rain in most locations. The Tug Hill Plateau may get just cold enough to support a few wet snowflakes, but most of the lake effect precipitation will remain north of that area and across lower elevations.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. An area of surface high pressure will extend across the upper Ohio Valley into the Great Lakes Wednesday, before pushing northeastward late Wednesday resulting in a short period of dry weather Wednesday through Wednesday night.

Meanwhile, a closed upper level low is progged to track across the southeast. This will cause the post tropical storm zeta to track northeast from the Gulf Coast into the Mid-Atlantic Wednesday night and Thursday before exiting the Mid-Atlantic coast sometime Friday. That being said, rain shower chances will increase late Wednesday night into Thursday as ascent increases and moisture is advected into the region. The better rainfall amounts Thursday appear to fall across the southern portions of the state.

As the aforementioned surface low continues to track east, a cooler and drier air mass will make its way southeastward across Ontario late Thursday night into Friday. With the cooler air filtering into the region, rain showers will transition into a mix of snow and rain (for the lower elevations) or all snow (across the higher terrain) late Thursday night into Friday morning. Snow accumulations (of 1-2 inches) will be confined along the higher terrain in the Southern Tier and areas east of Lake Ontario. After dawn on Friday, radiational heating will transition showers back to all rain. With the low exiting the Atlantic coast Friday and the drier air filtering in from the north Friday, shower activity will mainly lie along the southern portions of the state and shift eastward throughout the day.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. A broad area of surface high pressure extending across the central Plains into southern Canada will push eastward Friday night. This will end any shower activity from earlier in the day. A period of cool dry weather will then last throughout the weekend as the high pressure remains overhead.

The next upper level trough is expected to track across the Great Lakes Sunday through Monday. As such its surface low will track northeast across Canada Sunday and Monday. That said the associated cold front is progged to cross the area late Sunday night into the first half of Monday with dry weather to follow as another broad area of high pressure pushes into the region.

AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. A mix of IFR and MVFR CIGS will continue early this evening, with more widespread IFR found across the higher terrain. Some patchy fog/mountain obscuration will also continue this afternoon across the higher terrain where the low stratus is intersecting the hills. Areas of drizzle and light rain will continue through this evening, with occasional reductions in VSBY to MVFR and IFR in the misty rain.

There will be slow and gradual improvement to CIGS/VSBY this evening from northwest to southeast as the frontal zone drifts to the southeast. Already seeing the drizzle taper off in Niagara county. This will bring the lower elevations to a mix of MVFR and low end VFR, with MVFR and IFR across higher terrain. The drizzle and light rain will gradually taper off from northwest to southeast in most areas. Lake effect rain showers will develop south and east of Lake Ontario overnight, including near KROC. Lake effect rain showers will continue Tuesday morning south of Lake Ontario. Another weak trough will move through the region during the late afternoon and evening with another period of more widespread showers. CIGS will drop back down to MVFR at lower elevations and IFR higher terrain as this trough crosses the region.

Outlook . Wednesday . Local MVFR northeast of the lakes in the morning with lake effect rain showers, otherwise VFR. Thursday and Friday . Areas of MVFR with a chance of showers, possibly mixed with a little wet snow Thursday night and Friday. Saturday . VFR.

MARINE. Northwest winds will persist tonight before going back to northeast again Tuesday. Winds are generally expected to run below 15 knots through the period, keeping waves below Small Craft Advisory criteria. A period of somewhat stronger southwest winds will develop Wednesday, and may result in a period of Small Craft Advisory conditions on Lakes Erie and Ontario.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . Hitchcock NEAR TERM . Hitchcock/JLA SHORT TERM . EAJ LONG TERM . EAJ AVIATION . Hitchcock/JLA MARINE . Hitchcock/JLA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 29 mi47 min WNW 17 G 19 49°F 1019 hPa47°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 32 mi35 min WNW 7 G 9.9 47°F
45012 - Lake Ontario Buoy - 20NM North Northeast of Rochester, NY 33 mi35 min NW 9.7 G 12 48°F 57°F1018.9 hPa (+0.9)46°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 34 mi47 min 47°F 1018.3 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY32 mi41 minWNW 71.75 miLight Rain Fog/Mist48°F46°F93%1019.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFZY

Wind History from FZY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN3N3NE3NE3E3E344Calm3455--35SE53SE4SE4SE3W4W3W7
1 day agoW4SW3CalmCalmSE3NE5CalmCalmNE3NE3NE8NE9NE8NE6NE4Calm3NE34--E53N6N5
2 days agoS9S10
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W14W10NW11NW11NW10N11
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.