Thursday, July2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Haven, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:28AMSunset 8:52PM Thursday July 2, 2020 6:23 AM EDT (10:23 UTC) Moonrise 5:31PMMoonset 2:16AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:202007020315;;168149 Fzus51 Kbuf 012308 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 708 Pm Edt Wed Jul 1 2020 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-020315- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 708 Pm Edt Wed Jul 1 2020
Tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..West winds 5 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday night..West winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday night..Northwest winds less than 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Northeast winds less than 10 knots becoming southwest. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Southwest winds less than 10 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southwest winds less than 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. The water temperature off rochester is 66 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Haven, NY
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location: 43.32, -76.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 020723 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 323 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. Generally uneventful weather will continue through the rest of the week as high pressure remains across the region. Heat continues to build today, before a cold front passes tonight and Friday, sending temperatures back to more comfortable summer levels for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. A warmer day expected today with building heights as the upper low starts to track east of New England. Most high temperatures in the mid 80s to lower 90s. Surface dewpoints pushing into the mid 60s along the Lake Ontario lake plain getting the warmest heat index values in the 90-94F range.

Forecast soundings showing atmosphere will be well capped through at least early afternoon. A weak disturbance approaching northern New York may support an isolated storm or two across the eastern Lake Ontario late in the day.

A cold front approaching the Saint Lawrence Valley will bring a better chance of convection to the eastern Lake Ontario region during the evening. There will likely still be enough available instability with ample shear to support a few storms capable of producing stronger wind gusts.

The cold front will only drop towards the central waters of Lake Ontario and points eastward tonight. Leaving another warm night in the mid 60s to around 70F.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. A mid level shortwave will be the trigger for showers/thunderstorms across the eastern CWA on Friday otherwise expect dry conditions through the period. Temperatures continue above normal with highs both Friday and Saturday five to ten degrees above normal.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. . Daily Apparent Temperatures in the 90s Through the Period .

Ridging over the western Conus will pump +18 to +20c H85 air across the Lower Great Lakes each day. It will be hot and moderately humid with little in the way of any pcpn. Heat advisories may be warranted with this scenario . especially as we push deeper into the week. Aimed higher than the majority of temp forecasts . especially given the dry conditions.

AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Mainly clear skies and light winds allowing for river valley fog across the Western Southern Tier early this morning with IFR flight conditions possible at KJHW. Fog also possible at KART given the weak onshore flow and fog development the previous night.

Widespread VFR flight conditions today. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected by late this afternoon and this evening, ahead of a cold front approaching from southeast Canada. Bulk of the convection is expected to be north and east of KART.

Outlook .

Friday . A chance for thunderstorms east of Lake Ontario with associated MVFR flight conditions. Friday Night through Monday . Mainly VFR.

MARINE. A weak pressure gradient will maintain light winds and negligible waves on the lower Great Lakes through the rest the week. West winds will pick up a bit this afternoon ahead of a cold front, though winds and waves will remain below small craft thresholds.

Mariners on the Saint Lawrence River and near the eastern Lake Ontario shoreline will need to watch for some stronger storms arriving from the northwest this evening, some which may have strong wind gusts.

Otherwise, expect an onshore flow each afternoon as lake breeze circulations set up through the remainder of the week.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . Apffel/Thomas/TMA NEAR TERM . TMA SHORT TERM . Levan LONG TERM . RSH AVIATION . TMA MARINE . Apffel/Thomas/TMA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 14 mi53 min SSW 5.1 G 7 69°F 64°F
45135 - Prince Edward Pt 33 mi83 min WNW 7.8 G 9.7 70°F 69°F1 ft1011.1 hPa (+0.2)
45012 - Lake Ontario Buoy - 20NM North Northeast of Rochester, NY 42 mi33 min W 7.8 G 9.7 70°F 68°F1 ft1011.5 hPa67°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 47 mi23 min WSW 8.9 G 16 72°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 49 mi53 min 70°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY17 mi29 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds64°F60°F87%1011.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFZY

Wind History from FZY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNW7N8N7N8NW8NW10NW9NW8NW9NW5NW8NW6NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalm
1 day agoN4NE11NE8N8N5N9N12N10NE10N8N9N12N10--N4N3NE3N4NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmNW4N9NW7NW9NW10
G15
NW10NW8N8NW10NW8N7N5N4N5NE5N4N4N3N3N3N6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.