Marine Weather and Tides
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.
|Sunrise 7:25AM||Sunset 5:11PM||Tuesday January 26, 2021 11:46 PM EST (04:46 UTC)||Moonrise 2:57PM||Moonset 6:03AM||Illumination 99%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Haven, NYHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KBUF 270253 AFDBUF
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 953 PM EST Tue Jan 26 2021
SYNOPSIS. A weak area of low pressure will move across New York state overnight and then exit into southern New England on Wednesday. Snow will taper off to snow showers overnight with colder air building into the region behind the system. The pattern turns colder for the rest of the week and into the weekend with a chance for a little lake effect snow.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. At 9 p.m. low pressure was centered just south of Rochester. Colder air aloft has moved in behind this system, with colder cloud tops better supporting dendritic snow growth. As a result, precipitation is mainly snow west of Rochester. There's still patchy freezing drizzle south and east of Rochester, which will change over to snow during the next couple hours.
Otherwise, steady snow will continue east of Lake Ontario late this evening before tapering off to snow showers after midnight. Meanwhile, the northwesterly flow behind the departing low will push moisture across western Lake Ontario across the Niagara Frontier which will produce a final round of upslope enhanced snow late this evening and into the early morning hours. Additional snow accumulation will be modest, with maybe another inch across Western New York, and 1-2 inches east of Lake Ontario.
On Wednesday, northerly flow of cold moist air will upslope and maintain plenty of low clouds. A cap around 5kft though will limit lake snow accumulations. There will be fairly steady snow showers southeast of Lake Ontario which will taper off and become more scattered in nature by Wednesday afternoon.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/. Arctic front slips through Thursday with H850T falling to -18/-20C over the course of the day. With ongoing CAA and support from a mid- level shortwave dropping southeast through the NW'erly flow, scattered lake effect snow showers will then become more numerous with some accumulating snows Thursday night. Shortwave trough departs to our southeast and then out to sea on Friday. Subsidence in its wake and a drier air mass filtering in will then limit lake effect snows Friday with diminishing returns. Lake snows finally wrap up Friday night with sfc high pressure build southeast into the Lower Lakes overnight.
Otherwise, cold both days with highs anticipated in the teens Thursday areawide. A bit colder Friday with single digits expected across the North Country, teens elsewhere.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. Light lake effect snow will continue Saturday morning with temperatures at 850 hPa in the negative teens. Northerly flow will favor areas along the southern Lake Ontario shoreline . with perhaps a few flurries early southeast of Lake Erie before surface high pressure and a drier airmass crosses into our region. The light winds will restrict any accumulations closer to the shorelines.
The 12Z GFS, and the better half of their ensemble members continue to not be as strong with this surface high pressure when compared to the 12Z deterministic of the ECMWF and Canadian. Will favor the stronger surface high pressure with this forecast package . which will delay the approaching mid level trough and surface low and its associated precipitation until Sunday night and Monday.
The slower arrival of this trough will allow for another chilly night Saturday night with temperatures east of Lake Ontario dropping well below 0F and single digit lows common across WNY.
It will not be as cold Monday and Tuesday of next week with ample cloud cover around.
AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Mainly IFR flight conditions at TAF sites at 03Z, mainly due to low cigs and snow east of Lake Ontario. Expect a final burst of snow south of Lake Ontario through around 08Z in the northwesterly upslope enhanced flow behind low pressure departing eastward across New York state. Otherwise, expect mainly IFR flight conditions due to low cigs through around 12Z.
Wednesday morning will start of with a mix of IFR/MVFR conditions, but snow will taper off and cigs will lift leaving mainly MVFR flight conditions by Wednesday afternoon.
Thursday . MVFR/VFR with a chance of snow showers. Friday . MVFR conditions with the likelihood of lake snow showers. Saturday . Mainly VFR but MVFR possible early in Rochester. Sunday . VFR.
MARINE. Low pressure will move across New York state overnight. High pressure remaining to the north of the Great Lakes will result in a period of stronger east- northeast winds on the lakes, which requires small craft headlines for most of Lake Ontario. Small craft headlines then drop off from west to east Wednesday morning. Following a brief break Wednesday afternoon, northwest winds will pick up again Wednesday night.
BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM EST Wednesday for NYZ005>008. Winter Weather Advisory until 1 AM EST Wednesday for NYZ001>004-010-011-014. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for LOZ042-043. Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 10 AM EST Wednesday for LOZ044.
SYNOPSIS . Apffel/RSH NEAR TERM . Apffel/RSH SHORT TERM . AR LONG TERM . Thomas AVIATION . Apffel/RSH MARINE . Apffel/RSH/TMA
Weather Reporting StationsEDIT (on/off)  Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
|Stations||Dist||Age||Wind||Air Temp||Water Temp||Waves||Pressure||DewPt|
|OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY||14 mi||527 min||SE 7 G 15||26°F||1009 hPa (-2.8)||24°F|
|RPRN6 - Rochester, NY||47 mi||527 min||E 16 G 18||28°F||1007.5 hPa (-2.3)|
|RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY||49 mi||527 min||29°F|
Wind History for Oswego, NY(wind in knots) EDIT (on/off)  Help
Airport ReportsEDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
|Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY||17 mi||53 min||SE 6||3.00 mi||Light Snow Fog/Mist||27°F||24°F||89%||1008.6 hPa|
Link to 5 minute data for KFZY
Wind History from FZY (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||SE||SE||SE||SE||SE||S||Calm||SE||SE||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm|
|2 days ago||NW||NW||NW||NW||NW||NW||N||E||Calm||Calm||S||Calm||NW||NW||NW||N||NW||NW||W||S||Calm||Calm||Calm||Calm|
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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