Hamlin, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hamlin, NY

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June 8, 2023 3:11 PM EDT (19:11 UTC)
Sunrise 5:28AM   Sunset 8:49PM   Moonrise  12:00AM   Moonset 9:11AM 

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Marine Forecasts
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LOZ042 Niagara River To Hamlin Beach Along Lake Ontario- 437 Am Edt Thu Jun 8 2023
Today..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Haze with areas of smoke. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. Haze in the evening. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..North winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers Sunday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
LOZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hamlin, NY
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location: 43.37, -78.03


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 081838 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 238 PM EDT Thu Jun 8 2023

SYNOPSIS
Low pressure spinning over New England will bring scattered rain showers through Friday. There will be a better chance for more widespread rain early next week. There will be gradual improvement to the concentration and coverage of wildfire smoke into this weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
Continuity or persistence will be the forecast through the period as there is little change to the overall pattern. Low pressure spinning over northern New England will move little through Friday. Moisture advecting back across the region will support the development of at least scattered mainly diurnal showers.

This afternoon, seeing coverage of showers increasing away from the lakes. The day started out cloudy and has pretty much remained that way into the afternoon. This has limited the instability with very meager SBCAPES this afternoon, so any thunder if any will be very isolated. Clouds and scattered showers have also held down temperatures in this already cooler airmass and only getting into the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Coverage of showers will decrease this evening and overnight as the air mass stabilizes, although some isolated activity can not be completely ruled out. Overnight low temperatures generally in the 40s.

Friday likely to be a similar day to today with showers developing again by the afternoon. Coverage may be a bit better with the help an approaching shortwave that might be able to focus more activity. The greater coverage of showers likely to be again inland from the lakes. Some elevated instability showing up on forecast soundings, so will maintain the mention of some isolated thunder. It will be another cool day with high temperatures in the 60s.

As far as the eastern Canada wildfire smoke in concerned, there has been a notable improvement today, especially as far as visibilities are concerned. The highest concentration of smoke has shifted to the west with the westward drift of the northern New England low. Though visibilities have improved there still remains some lingering fine particulate matter across the region. The New York State Department of Environmental Conservation continues an air quality alert for ALL of western and north central New York through midnight tonight. The latest modeling suggests that the improving trend will continue across the region Friday, especially across the eastern portion of the area. Some air quality issues may continue to linger across the western counties, so the latest forecast from the NYS DEC has extended the air quality alert for JUST western New York through midnight Friday night.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
The large upper low that has been spinning over the Northeast for a good part of this past week will finally loosen its grip on our area as it slowly pulls east into the Canadian Maritimes through the weekend. This will cause a shift in the general steering flow across the region, which will turn from north to northwesterly Friday night and put an end to any lingering smoke issues by the second half of the weekend.

Otherwise, a couple more weak mid level waves will rotate about the western periphery of the upper low as it drifts eastward. This will continue the chance for a few more showers Friday night and Saturday, along with the slight chance for a few storms Saturday afternoon. This activity will mainly be confined to areas from the Finger Lakes eastward. Dry weather expected Saturday night as the upper low pulls east and upper ridging builds in from the west.

Another cutoff low slowly drifting southward across the western Great Lakes from Ontario Province Sunday through Sunday night will spur the development of a surface low across the mid-Mississippi Valley, which will quickly begin to occlude as it moves northeast takes aim at the eastern Great Lakes. This will bring a long-awaited widespread rain to the region, the leading edge of which is expected to reach WNY late Sunday night...Though there could be a few showers starting Sunday evening ahead of a warm front stemming from the low.

Airmass will start to modify as the upper low across the northeast at the beginning of the period pulls east. The result will be increasing temperatures, with daytime highs rising into the low to mid 70s Saturday, and mid/upper 70s Sunday with a few spots across the Lake Plains and interior valleys surpassing 80. Comfortable overnight lows with mid 40s to low 50s Friday night, upper 40s to mid 50s Saturday night, and even warmer Sunday night with upper 50s and low 60s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
A surface low will pull north and occlude over the upper Great Lakes Monday into Monday night. Meanwhile, an attendant cold/occluded front will slowly press eastward toward our area.
Deep moisture pooling ahead of this boundary will lead to the likelihood of our region receiving some much needed widespread beneficial rains as the front crosses western and northcentral NY to start the new work week.

Deeper mid and upper level moisture will get stripped away in the wake of the frontal passage, however will keep chance PoPs in the forecast for Tuesday through Wednesday with the influence of the upper low keeping a generally unsettled pattern in place. That said, there will likely be at least a brief period of dry time in the wake of the frontal passage, which at this point would look to occur sometime later Monday night and/or Tuesday before the the upper low tracks into our area toward mid week. Stay tuned as future forecast packages refine the evolution of this event.

Temperatures will trend from at or just above average to start off the new work week, to a bit below average by mid week.

AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
Smoke/haze continuing to be non-impactful at the terminals this afternoon with vsbys remaining AOA 6 SM. Widespread cigs in the 4-6K foot range will continue into tonight with scattered showers mainly inland from the lakes, but these will be mainly light and likely only bringing brief local vsbys restrictions.

Mainly VFR weather is anticipated for tonight.

Outlook...

Friday...Mainly VFR. Chance of showers.
Saturday and Sunday...Mainly VFR.
Sunday night and Monday...Restrictions likely in showers and possible thunderstorms.
Tuesday...Restrictions possible in scattered showers.

MARINE
Generally quiet conditions are expected on the both Lake Erie and Lake Ontario into this weekend as a weak gradient persist across the lower Great Lakes. The will allow for a daily cycle of weak onshore/offshore breezes. Stronger southerly component winds will develop on the lakes by early next week.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NY...None.
MARINE...None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 23 mi53 min 58°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 24 mi71 min N 4.1G5.1 57°F 29.81
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 37 mi71 min E 4.1G5.1 58°F 29.79
45012 - Lake Ontario Buoy - 20NM North Northeast of Rochester, NY 38 mi41 min W 7.8G7.8 55°F 29.7852°F

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Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KROC26 sm17 minN 099 smOvercast63°F48°F59%29.77

Link to 5 minute data for KROC

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Wind History from ROC (wind in knots)

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GEOS Local Image of north east    EDIT
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