Sunday, April11, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Albion, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 7:52PM Sunday April 11, 2021 12:28 AM EDT (04:28 UTC) Moonrise 5:48AMMoonset 6:30PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ042 Niagara River To Hamlin Beach Along Lake Ontario- 1053 Am Edt Sat Apr 10 2021
This afternoon..East winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 3 feet.
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Rain overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east. Rain in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..East winds 5 to 15 knots diminishing to 10 knots or less. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LOZ042 Expires:202104102115;;334867 FZUS51 KBUF 101453 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1053 AM EDT Sat Apr 10 2021 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ042-102115-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Albion, NY
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location: 43.37, -78.19     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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FXUS61 KBUF 110235 AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1035 PM EDT Sat Apr 10 2021

SYNOPSIS. A front will slowly cross the region from southwest to northeast late tonight and Sunday with periods of rain and possibly a few scattered thunderstorms. A slow moving upper level low will then bring unsettled weather at times for much of next week along with cooler and more seasonable temperatures.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Our region remains dry this evening, with building cirrus above. Rain is not too far off at this hour . just to the southwest of Erie PA. This rain will reach our far southwestern zones late this evening.

Later tonight and Sunday a compact mid level closed low will move from Illinois to northern Indiana, with a surface low becoming vertically stacked with time. A cold front spreading downstream of the system will become increasingly occluded as it moves into the eastern Great Lakes. Moisture convergence along the nose of a 40 knot LLJ and deep moisture along the frontal zone will be aided by DPVA ahead of a mid level shortwave, resulting in a widespread area of rain moving into Western NY tonight, reaching the Genesee Valley Sunday morning, before finally reaching the eastern Lake Ontario region Sunday afternoon. Still some timing differences in how quick this surge of rain moves across. Still could be just enough elevated instability associated with this to support embedded thunder as well.

Later Sunday afternoon modest insolation just behind the advancing area of widespread rain will result in SBCAPE of around 500J/kg across portions of Western NY, the Genesee Valley, and eventually Central NY. This will support increasing coverage of showers during the afternoon and evening to the west of the initial area of showers, and may also support a few scattered thunderstorms. Weak instability, poor lapse rates, and weak shear will keep the risk of any strong convection low, but a few storms may produce heavy downpours. On Sunday night, conditions will remain unsettled as weak trough remains overhead while rounds of decaying convection lift across. Very uncertain on the details, but could also see fog later on if there is any sizable break in the convection on Sunday night given light flow and plenty of moisture in low-levels. The rain will be beneficial, with much of the area now classified as moderate drought. Rainfall amounts into Sunday night will average 0.25"- 0.75", but embedded areas of thunder will modulate this and result in locally higher amounts for a few areas.

Otherwise, development of weak low pressure area along sfc trough to the east of western Great Lakes low will result in winds becoming northeast off Lake Ontario in the afternoon. Result was to lower temps some across Niagara frontier with most areas staying in the lower to perhaps mid 60s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. A closed stacked low will rotate over the central Great Lakes Monday and Monday night. A south-southeast flow will continue across the eastern Great Lakes while moisture rotates around the low. Periods of showers are expected as shortwave troughs rotate around the parent low. The closed low will become dislodged Tuesday into Wednesday as an upper level ridge over the northern Atlantic flattens and moves east. Low pressure over Michigan will track to the south Tuesday and quickly merge with a coastal low Tuesday night. The chance for showers continues during this time as the upper level low moves overhead.

Temperatures will remain above normal Monday and Tuesday with highs in the low 60s. Uncertainty exists with temperatures early in the week as showers and a mix of sun and clouds move through the region. Cold air advection will bring temperatures down to the low to mid 50s Wednesday.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. An upper level low will push off the New England coastline early this period, taking moisture and any low chances for a shower with it. An upper level ridge between this feature and another closed upper level low to the west will bring a likely dry period Friday and possibly through Saturday.

Temperatures at 850 hPa will average in the low single digits Celsius this period, which will translate into highs around 60F, and lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s.

AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. VFR flight conditions start this 00Z TAF package. Rain associated with an occluding frontal boundary will sweep across our region late this evening and through the morning hours of Sunday. Steadiest rain will also include IFR flight conditions in visibility and/or ceiling height.

Slow improvements will be seen just after 12Z from west to east as the steady rain ends and flight conditions start to improve. After a break, with MVFR/VFR flight conditions through midday Sunday afternoon destabilization could bring a few showers towards the last hours of this TAF cycle.

There will be a southeast wind ahead of this front, that will bring low end LLWS to the WNY TAF sites. This will be for a few hours, ending just after the rain starts.

Outlook .

Sunday night through Wednesday . VFR/MVFR with spotty showers each time period. Thursday . Mainly VFR.

MARINE. Southeast downslope winds will bring 15-20 knot winds to the Lake Erie shoreline tonight. The offshore wind direction will keep the greater wave action out near the international border. On Lake Ontario, ENE winds will increase to around 15 knots late this afternoon into tonight to the west of Rochester, producing some choppy conditions. Otherwise relatively light offshore winds will continue through early next week with no Small Craft Advisory conditions anticipated.

FIRE WEATHER. Widespread wetting rain is anticipated for late tonight through Sunday. Cooler weather with higher humidity is then expected for all of next week.

BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. NY . None. MARINE . None.



SYNOPSIS . Hitchcock/Thomas NEAR TERM . Hitchcock/JLA/Thomas SHORT TERM . HSK LONG TERM . Thomas AVIATION . Thomas MARINE . Hitchcock/JLA FIRE WEATHER . Hitchcock/JLA


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 28 mi89 min SE 4.1 G 7 1002.7 hPa (-1.0)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 31 mi59 min 66°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 32 mi89 min SSE 11 G 15 67°F 1004.4 hPa (-0.7)
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 48 mi59 min 67°F 1002.2 hPa

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rochester, Greater Rochester International Airport, NY33 mi35 minS 810.00 miOvercast64°F48°F56%1003.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KROC

Wind History from ROC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9S9S8S8SW7SW7S7SW8SW9S84SE6SE6SE8SE8SE9
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1 day agoS12
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S9S10S10SE10SE12SE8S6S12SE10SE9S9S8S8S7S7S6
2 days agoE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S5SE7SE7SE7E10E11
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SE8S7S9S9S3

Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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