Ludlow, VT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ludlow, VT

June 24, 2024 8:18 AM EDT (12:18 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:09 AM   Sunset 8:39 PM
Moonrise 11:12 PM   Moonset 7:34 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ludlow, VT
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Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 241141 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 741 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

SYNOPSIS
An area of low pressure passes over the region today and causes a cooler and showery day. This low moves out tonight and high pressure builds in for tomorrow. This will lead to a sunny and much warmer day. A cold front approaches on Wednesday and brings the possibility for strong storms and heavy rainfall.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 629 AM EDT Monday... The rain has been slow to move in from Canada so had to lower PoPs across northern New York. The rain will still eventually make it but the early morning hours should now be mostly dry across the North Country. Even if the stratiform rain struggles to make it, diurnal heating will cause some instability and therefore showers will develop during the day. Dew points have also been dropping faster than forecast so had to lower those as well. Other than that, no significant changes were made.

Previous Discussion...The center of a 996 mb low is located over the international border but despite that, the region is dry save for a couple isolated showers. There have been a few areas of clearing and this has led to some very patchy fog formation tonight. The low will move to the southeast tonight, and stratiform precipitation on the backside over Canada will enter the region after the center passes through. The surface cold front is still just over the international border, but it will slowly pass through tonight and into the day today.
Northwest winds behind the front will clear out any fog. The upper levels will cool more than the surface tomorrow so diurnal heating will cause marginal instability, and this will enhance this stratiform precipitation a little. There is the chance of a very isolated thunderstorm but there is no severe threat. The convection will be very low topped, and the stratiform precipitation and dense cloud cover will severely limit any diurnal heating. There will be a sharp inversion just above 5,000 FT so the instability would only form below that height.
The cooler airmass and frequent showers will keep temperatures in the 60s and 70s, and they will generally fall into the 50s overnight. This area of precipitation moves out tonight and leads to a dry day on Tuesday. Ridging builds in and with southwesterly flow at the surface, temperatures will warm dramatically. 925 mb temperatures will rise into the low 20s celsius and temperatures look to rise into the 80s at the surface. The warmest spots could make a run at 90. Humidity should remain on the lower side with dew points generally in the 50s. The day will start out clear before high clouds stream in from the west during the afternoon.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
As of 335 AM EDT Monday...Another active day expected on Wednesday as low pressure well to our north brings a series of fronts through the region. A warm front will lift north across our area Tuesday night, and the associated showers will bring light rainfall amounts to mainly northern NY and northwestern portions of VT. Moisture will surge northward as flow turns to the south/southwest behind the warm front. There will be a brief break in the precipitation Wednesday morning, but expect showers and thunderstorms to develop during the afternoon and evening hours as the cold front moves through the region. As has been noted, model soundings still indicate a warm layer around 800 mb, limiting CAPE values. NAM is also indicating quite a bit of dry air at mid-levels, which would potentially cause convection to hold off until later in the day. Still, SB CAPE of 500-1200 J/kg looks reasonable, and when combined with 35-45 kt of shear, should storms develop, they could become strong or severe. At the least, locally heavy rain looks to be a threat as PWATs surge back above 1.50 inches. Showers and thunderstorms will persist into the evening hours, until a secondary front moves through late Wednesday night, ushering in drier air. After a somewhat muggy night with lows in the 60s, highs on Wednesday will be in the upper 70s to upper 80s. Wednesday night should be a bit more refreshing behind the secondary front; lows will be in the 50s to around 60F.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 335 AM EDT Monday...High pressure will build across the region Thursday and Friday, keeping conditions mostly dry. An upper trough will skirt along the international border Thursday, which may allow some showers to pop up, especially over the higher terrain. Both days will be cooler than earlier in the week; highs will range from the mid 60s to mid/upper 70s both days. The weekend is looking showery as a series of fronts will bring the threat of showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will be seasonable, with daytime highs in the 70s and 80s and overnight lows in the 50s and 60s.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Through 12Z Tuesday...A cold front will slowly pass through the region from northwest to southeast during the day today. It will bring showers, change winds to northwesterly, and bring lower ceilings behind it. It has already passed MSS and is in the process of passing through SLK. It should pass BTV, PBG, EFK and MPV by 18Z, and RUT by 00Z. Behind the front, ceilings will drop to MVFR at all terminals but IFR is possible for a couple hours at any of them. There will be on and off showers during most of the day and a couple of them may be heavy enough to lower visibilities to MVFR. There is a low risk of lightning from any of these showers but it cannot be completely ruled out in one or two of them. The vast majority of showers will not contain lightning though. Clouds will break tonight and every terminal should be VFR by the end of the night.

Outlook...

Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday: VFR. Likely SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...None.
NY...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KVSF HARTNESS STATE (SPRINGFIELD),VT 10 sm24 minvar 0310 smOvercast68°F57°F68%29.52
KRUT RUTLAND SOUTHERN VERMONT RGNL,VT 16 sm22 minWSW 10G1910 smOvercast66°F55°F68%29.54
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Tide / Current for Troy, Hudson River, New York
   
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Troy
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Mon -- 01:47 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:34 AM EDT     5.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:35 PM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:53 PM EDT     4.08 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:37 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Troy, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
0.7
1
am
0.3
2
am
0.1
3
am
0.8
4
am
2.2
5
am
3.8
6
am
4.9
7
am
5.4
8
am
5.5
9
am
4.8
10
am
3.6
11
am
2.3
12
pm
1.4
1
pm
0.6
2
pm
-0.1
3
pm
-0.2
4
pm
0.7
5
pm
2.1
6
pm
3.3
7
pm
3.9
8
pm
4.1
9
pm
3.7
10
pm
2.8
11
pm
1.7


Tide / Current for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Mon -- 01:37 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:26 AM EDT     5.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:25 PM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:45 PM EDT     4.08 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Albany, New York, Tide feet
12
am
0.6
1
am
0.2
2
am
0.2
3
am
1
4
am
2.5
5
am
4
6
am
5
7
am
5.5
8
am
5.4
9
am
4.6
10
am
3.4
11
am
2.2
12
pm
1.3
1
pm
0.5
2
pm
-0.2
3
pm
-0.1
4
pm
1
5
pm
2.3
6
pm
3.4
7
pm
3.9
8
pm
4.1
9
pm
3.6
10
pm
2.6
11
pm
1.6


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Burlington, VT,




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