Wednesday, March3, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
West Rutland, VT

Version 3.4
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1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:22AMSunset 5:44PM Wednesday March 3, 2021 7:21 AM EST (12:21 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:53AM Illumination 77% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near West Rutland, VT
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location: 43.54, -73     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 031119 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 619 AM EST Wed Mar 3 2021

SYNOPSIS. Light snow this morning will become mainly terrain focused today as winds shift to the northwest. Several more inches of snowfall is likely for the mountains of northern New York into northern and central Vermont by evening. Temperatures will warm to near normal levels, before slightly cooler air arrives for Thursday and continues for the rest of the work week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 608 AM EST Wednesday . Water vapor shows s/w energy and pocket of enhanced mid lvl moisture moving quickly along the international border this morning. Radar indicates additional snow shower activity associated with this feature along with developing upslope flow, so have continued with likely/cat pops in the mtns and chc/likely in the valleys thru 15z. Back edge is moving acrs the dacks now and expect precip to become mainly trrn focused aft 15z associated with developing northwest upslope flow. The snow cam at Stowe does indicate some areas have over produced this morning with 5 to 6 inches, while others based on web cams have a dusting to maybe an inch or two. Expect amounts to vary based on elevation and location, with highest accumulations over the northern dacks/slv and parts of the northern Green Mountains, while much less in valleys. Still watching the potential for some freezing drizzle to develop aft 15z, as better moisture with s/w trof quickly shifts to our east. Good news more energy arrives toward 00z this evening with better moisture, so anticipate another round of light upslope snow showers to develop. Temps warm into the mid 20s to l/m 30s today with winds shifting to the northwest by midday.

Previous Discussion below: Water vapor shows initial s/w energy and ribbon of enhanced moisture is sinking acrs our central cwa and becoming sheared apart in the fast confluent flow aloft. Meanwhile, an additional weaker 5h vort is located just north of Ottawa and wl swing acrs the region today. Radar has shown persist light to occasional moderate snow overnight, with Stowe Mountain snow cam showing a solid 4 to 5 inches at 3300 ft, while other web cams show a general 1 to 4 inches acrs mtns of northern NY and parts of VT. Based on this information have continued winter wx advisory for northern NY zones, for a general 3 to 5 inches. As initial s/w drops south, expect a decrease in areal coverage of snow early this morning, but combination of additional energy, weak sfc trof, and developing upslope flow, wl result in the snow shower activity becoming mainly trrn focused by mid- morning. Some uncertainty on depth of moisture, especially in the favorable snow growth zone btwn 15z-20z today, so some pockets of freezing drizzle possible acrs the higher trrn. Given the limited deep layer moisture associated with developing northwest flow and lowering pw values, additional snowfall accumulations will be generally in the 1 to 2 inch range acrs the mtns today. Temps will warm into the mid 20s to l/m 30s depending upon elevation.

This evening a quick redevelop of some light snow showers may occur btwn 00z-03z for the high peaks into central Green Mtns with additional energy passing to our south. Snowfall would be light and generally under an inch. Drier air develops on northwest 850mb winds of 25 to 35 knots overnight, along with modest llvl caa. Progged 925mb temps drop btwn -12c and -14c by 12z Thurs, supporting chilly overnight lows and below normal daytime high temps on Thurs. Thurs will start mostly sunny, but additional mid lvl moisture rotates toward northern VT by 18z, with some very light upslope snow possible toward 00z Friday. Have mention some chc pops in the northern mtns.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 329 AM EST Wednesday . No change to the overall pattern; the upper low will continue to retrograde into eastern Canada on Friday with the surface low blocked over the Newfoundland/Labrador area. Meanwhile, high pressure will exist upstream of the Great Lakes, producing an enhanced pressure gradient across the area. For such reasons, stiff northwest winds will persist Thursday night through Friday with sustained speeds of 15 to 20 mph. Winds will be gusty as well, especially along the eastern slopes of the Adirondacks and Green Mountains, with gusts up to 35 mph. Otherwise, cooler temperatures will continue with lows Friday morning in the single digits and daytime highs in the mid teens to low 20s. Very cold winds chills are expected Friday morning as well. Chances for light snow showers across the Adirondacks and Green Mountains will continue Thursday night through Friday, aided by orographic lift and passing energy embedded within the northwest flow aloft. Accumulations will generally be an inch or less, with up to 2 inches possible atop mountain summits.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 329 AM EST Wednesday . More of the same is expected for the start of the weekend; temperatures on Saturday will again be in the 20s with persistent northwest winds and lingering mountain snow showers. The stagnant pattern will finally begin to break up as we head into the start of next week, but not before a shortwave embedded in the flow aloft traverses the area late Saturday into Sunday. A weak surface front looks to accompany its passage which may induce a final shot of snow showers across the mountains before high pressure begins to build in late Sunday. With that said, mostly sunny skies are expected for Monday in addition to warming temperatures, with highs in the mid to upper 30s. The warming trend will continue thereafter as low level flow becomes southwesterly, with highs Tuesday and Wednesday creeping into the mid to upper 40s. Global model guidance indicates a chance of precipitation sometime Tuesday, but at this time, appears insignificant.

AVIATION /11Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. Through 12Z Thursday . Light snow should decrease in areal coverage by 15z with any lingering ifr vis at btv/slk and mpv becoming mvfr/vfr. Meanwhile, clouds will continue acrs most taf sites with a mix of mvfr/vfr cigs likely for most of the day. Some additional mainly trrn focused snow showers are possible again late this aftn with intervals of ifr conditions at mpv/slk. Conditions improve to vfr aft 06z tonight at all taf sites with south winds this morning becoming northwest at 5 to 15 mph. Some areas of wind shear/turbulence still possible this morning associated with low level jet at 4000 to 5000 feet of 35 to 40 knots from the west.

Outlook .

Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: VFR. Chance SHSN. Friday: VFR. Slight chance SHSN. Friday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN. Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . None. NY . Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for NYZ029- 030.

SYNOPSIS . Taber NEAR TERM . Taber SHORT TERM . Hammond LONG TERM . Hammond AVIATION . Taber


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rutland-Southern Vermont Regional Airport, VT3 mi25 minN 310.00 miMostly Cloudy20°F11°F68%1010.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRUT

Wind History from RUT (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
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Wed -- 02:23 AM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:26 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:04 AM EST     5.61 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:57 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 02:55 PM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:47 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:15 PM EST     5.07 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:14 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.5-00.11.22.94.45.35.65.34.32.91.91.10.50.20.82.23.74.75.14.94.12.8

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Wed -- 02:13 AM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:26 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:56 AM EST     5.61 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:57 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 02:45 PM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:47 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:07 PM EST     5.07 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:14 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.4-00.21.53.24.65.35.65.24.12.81.810.40.212.53.94.85.14.83.92.6

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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