Thursday, July2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Constableville, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:25AMSunset 8:47PM Thursday July 2, 2020 6:17 AM EDT (10:17 UTC) Moonrise 5:27PMMoonset 2:11AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 1008 Pm Edt Wed Jul 1 2020
Overnight..Southwest winds less than 10 knots becoming south. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..Light and variable winds. A chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday night..Northwest winds less than 10 knots. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Northeast winds less than 10 knots becoming southwest. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LOZ045 Expires:202007020915;;174488 FZUS51 KBUF 020208 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1008 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2020 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ045-020915-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Constableville, NY
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location: 43.54, -75.64     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 020810 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 410 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. A persistent storm system in the upper atmosphere will cause scattered showers and thunderstorms through Thursday. Temperatures will rise through the weekend as a strong ridge builds toward the Great Lakes.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/.

400 AM Update .

The upper level low that has showers and thunderstorms to parts of the region the last few days is finally heading eastward out into the Atlantic. Surface high pressure and upper level ridge builds into the region today, with much warmer conditions to end the week.

Can't rule out the possibility for an isolated shower or thunderstorm this afternoon and into this evening. There is a weak short wave that drops south out of Canada tonight, but due to the overnight arrival, not expecting more than a few showers due to the lack of instability.

Shower and thunderstorm activity will be on the rise on Friday, especially north and east of the I81 corridor. We will remain on the edge of the westerlies and several perturbations passing through the flow, which increase the threat for those thunderstorms. Instability will be on the rise Friday as well, with forecast soundings indicating over 1000 J/kg of CAPE, however, flow is fairly weak and only seeing about 20 knots of 0-6km bulk shear. SPC has highlighted the region in a Marginal Risk for severe storms, but based on the latest guidance, severe storms will be few and far between, with high instability and a fairly low shear environment.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. Any lingering showers or thunderstorms taper off from west to east Friday evening as the shortwave departs. Otherwise, generally partly cloudy skies are expected with lows likely in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

Independence Day will be partly to mostly sunny with a slight chance for a few afternoon isolated showers or thunderstorms, mainly in the Catskills and Poconos. That being said, the majority of the day will likely end up dry with highs in the 80s.

Any remaining convection ends Saturday evening with the loss of daytime heating, leading to a mostly clear night. Lows will likely be in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

With a continued northwest flow, Sunday will bring another slight chance for a few pop-up afternoon showers or thunderstorms, but the majority of the day likely ends up dry with mostly sunny skies. Highs will be a few degrees warmer than Saturday, mainly in the mid 80s to near 90.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. The upper level ridge over the Central U.S. will shift eastward during the long term forecast period. This will lead to increasing heat and humidity across the area. Daily highs will likely range from the upper 80s to lower 90s. Dew points will be on the increase as well, reaching the mid 60s to lower 70s by Tuesday/Wednesday.

Diurnally-driven scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon. Right now, the greatest chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms look to be during the mid- week. Otherwise, generally mostly sunny skies are expected.

AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. Mostly clear skies across the region with high pressure building in, but some patchy fog will be possible through the early morning hours. VFR conditions return/persist through the day with lower chances for showers and thunderstorms than last few days as upper level low east of the region moves out into the Atlantic.

Outlook .

Friday through Monday . Still a chance for some isolated showers, mainly afternoon, but mostly VFR conditions expected.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NY . None.

SYNOPSIS . MPK NEAR TERM . MPK SHORT TERM . BJG LONG TERM . BJG AVIATION . MPK


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 46 mi47 min SSW 5.1 G 7 69°F 64°F
OBGN6 - 8311030 - Ogdensburg, NY 81 mi47 min 70°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY24 mi24 minE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy62°F59°F90%1012.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRME

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNW3NW3CalmCalmCalmW13W7NW465SE9S4SW4SE5CalmCalmSE3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmE6
1 day agoN4NW55NE6N7N6N7N8NW6NE4NE6N10N4N6E6CalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalm5
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N7NE6N4N3N3N3N5NW3N5NW3NW3NW5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.