Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Winchester Bay, OR
November 5, 2024 11:48 AM PST (19:48 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:56 AM Sunset 5:04 PM Moonrise 11:31 AM Moonset 7:38 PM |
PZZ350 Coastal Waters From Florence To Cape Blanco Or Out 10 Nm- 841 Am Pst Tue Nov 5 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through this evening - .
Rest of today - NE wind 5 to 10 kt, rising to 10 to 15 kt this afternoon. Seas 9 to 12 ft, subsiding to 8 to 10 ft this afternoon. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 4 seconds and nw 11 ft at 14 seconds. A slight chance of rain.
Tonight - NE wind 10 to 15 kt, easing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 7 to 8 ft, subsiding to 5 to 7 ft after midnight. Wave detail: nw 2 ft at 3 seconds and nw 8 ft at 12 seconds. A slight chance of rain.
Wed - NE wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: N 3 ft at 3 seconds and nw 6 ft at 12 seconds.
Wed night - NE wind 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, easing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: N 3 ft at 4 seconds, nw 5 ft at 12 seconds and nw 2 ft at 19 seconds.
Thu - E wind around 5 kt, backing to nw in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: nw 4 ft at 12 seconds and nw 4 ft at 17 seconds.
Thu night - E wind around 5 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. Wave detail: W 7 ft at 15 seconds and nw 4 ft at 12 seconds. A slight chance of rain after midnight.
Fri - SE wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 7 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and W 7 ft at 14 seconds. A chance of rain.
Fri night - S wind 10 to 15 kt, rising to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft, building to 8 to 10 ft after midnight. Wave detail: sw 5 ft at 6 seconds and W 9 ft at 15 seconds. Rain.
Sat - S wind 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 to 10 ft, building to 9 to 12 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 5 seconds and W 12 ft at 14 seconds. Rain.
Sat night - N wind 5 to 10 kt, veering to E after midnight. Seas 10 to 12 ft. Wave detail: N 3 ft at 4 seconds and W 12 ft at 13 seconds. Rain likely.
PZZ300 841 Am Pst Tue Nov 5 2024
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - Elevated, steep seas will persist through tonight with conditions hazardous to small craft. Northerly winds then return midweek as a thermal trough develops and steep seas are possible, especially south of cape blanco starting Wednesday.
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Entrance Click for Map Tue -- 03:06 AM PST 5.38 feet High Tide Tue -- 06:58 AM PST Sunrise Tue -- 07:30 AM PST 3.85 feet Low Tide Tue -- 11:30 AM PST Moonrise Tue -- 01:26 PM PST 6.92 feet High Tide Tue -- 05:01 PM PST Sunset Tue -- 07:37 PM PST Moonset Tue -- 08:47 PM PST -0.13 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Entrance, Umpqua River, Oregon, Tide feet
12 am |
3.3 |
1 am |
4.4 |
2 am |
5.1 |
3 am |
5.4 |
4 am |
5.2 |
5 am |
4.8 |
6 am |
4.2 |
7 am |
3.9 |
8 am |
3.9 |
9 am |
4.3 |
10 am |
4.9 |
11 am |
5.7 |
12 pm |
6.4 |
1 pm |
6.9 |
2 pm |
6.8 |
3 pm |
6.2 |
4 pm |
5.1 |
5 pm |
3.7 |
6 pm |
2.1 |
7 pm |
0.9 |
8 pm |
0.1 |
9 pm |
-0.1 |
10 pm |
0.3 |
11 pm |
1.2 |
Gardiner Click for Map Tue -- 03:57 AM PST 5.21 feet High Tide Tue -- 06:58 AM PST Sunrise Tue -- 08:36 AM PST 3.19 feet Low Tide Tue -- 11:30 AM PST Moonrise Tue -- 02:17 PM PST 6.71 feet High Tide Tue -- 05:01 PM PST Sunset Tue -- 07:37 PM PST Moonset Tue -- 09:53 PM PST -0.11 feet Low Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Gardiner, Umpqua River, Oregon, Tide feet
12 am |
2 |
1 am |
3.3 |
2 am |
4.3 |
3 am |
5 |
4 am |
5.2 |
5 am |
5 |
6 am |
4.4 |
7 am |
3.7 |
8 am |
3.3 |
9 am |
3.2 |
10 am |
3.6 |
11 am |
4.4 |
12 pm |
5.4 |
1 pm |
6.2 |
2 pm |
6.7 |
3 pm |
6.6 |
4 pm |
6 |
5 pm |
4.9 |
6 pm |
3.5 |
7 pm |
2.1 |
8 pm |
0.9 |
9 pm |
0.1 |
10 pm |
-0.1 |
11 pm |
0.3 |
Area Discussion for Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 051757 AFDMFR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 957 AM PST Tue Nov 5 2024
DISCUSSION
/Issued 407 AM PST Tue Nov 5 2024/ The forecast separates into three parts. First, today into Wednesday morning, we will be in the transition zone between a departing trough and arriving ridge. This will produce variable amounts of low, mid, and high level clouds, but generally quite a bit of cloud cover, including areas of late night into morning valley low clouds and fog, while remaining dry. It is not entirely out of the question for the far northern fringe of our area to receive some sprinkles or a light shower this morning into this evening. But, the probabilities will be higher in northern Oregon and western Washington.
Second, Wednesday afternoon through Friday afternoon, we will have a warming and drying trend with plenty of sunshine, and a wide diurnal range of temperatures. Lows will range from the teens on the east side to the 30s on the west side (except lower 40s at the coast). High temperatures will be to 5 to 15 degrees above normal for Thursday and Friday, with readings in the mid 50s to lower 60s on the east side, and mostly in the 60s on the west side.
Third, as early as Friday night, the first of a couple of broad upper level troughs may send a wet cold front to the coast. There remains a high degree of variability between model solutions, but a broad brush mention of moderate to high probabilities of precipitation is appropriate for the first system Saturday into early Sunday, and the second frontal system later Sunday into Monday night. Snow levels look to remain relatively high, above 6000 feet, through Sunday night, then passes may be impacted Monday into Monday night. It is just too early to tell the extent of impactful weather, but we will monitor it closely.
Uncertainty increases for Day 7/Tuesday but the two largest clusters of solutions look to differ between a showery day on the back side of the trough, or a more progressive, drier introduction of ridging into the area. -DW
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 957 AM PST Tue Nov 5 2024
DISCUSSION
/Issued 407 AM PST Tue Nov 5 2024/ The forecast separates into three parts. First, today into Wednesday morning, we will be in the transition zone between a departing trough and arriving ridge. This will produce variable amounts of low, mid, and high level clouds, but generally quite a bit of cloud cover, including areas of late night into morning valley low clouds and fog, while remaining dry. It is not entirely out of the question for the far northern fringe of our area to receive some sprinkles or a light shower this morning into this evening. But, the probabilities will be higher in northern Oregon and western Washington.
Second, Wednesday afternoon through Friday afternoon, we will have a warming and drying trend with plenty of sunshine, and a wide diurnal range of temperatures. Lows will range from the teens on the east side to the 30s on the west side (except lower 40s at the coast). High temperatures will be to 5 to 15 degrees above normal for Thursday and Friday, with readings in the mid 50s to lower 60s on the east side, and mostly in the 60s on the west side.
Third, as early as Friday night, the first of a couple of broad upper level troughs may send a wet cold front to the coast. There remains a high degree of variability between model solutions, but a broad brush mention of moderate to high probabilities of precipitation is appropriate for the first system Saturday into early Sunday, and the second frontal system later Sunday into Monday night. Snow levels look to remain relatively high, above 6000 feet, through Sunday night, then passes may be impacted Monday into Monday night. It is just too early to tell the extent of impactful weather, but we will monitor it closely.
Uncertainty increases for Day 7/Tuesday but the two largest clusters of solutions look to differ between a showery day on the back side of the trough, or a more progressive, drier introduction of ridging into the area. -DW
.AVIATION (18Z TAFs)...
IFR/LIFR ceilings linger in the valleys this morning. One can see the east to north east winds eating away at these ceilings with some ripples in the top of the layers on satellite. In any case, look for clear skies and VFR conditions later this afternoon as high pressure continues to build. Guidance suggests more fog and LIFR ceilings in the valleys later this evening.
-Smith
.MARINE (Updated at 800 AM)...
Steep, northwest seas will persist through tonight with conditions hazardous to small craft across all of the waters. Seas are expected to gradually lower after tonight. However, northerly winds return Wednesday as a thermal trough develops, especially south of Cape Blanco where steep seas could become hazardous to smaller craft.
-Guerrero/Smith
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR
CA
None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for PZZ350-356-370-376.
IFR/LIFR ceilings linger in the valleys this morning. One can see the east to north east winds eating away at these ceilings with some ripples in the top of the layers on satellite. In any case, look for clear skies and VFR conditions later this afternoon as high pressure continues to build. Guidance suggests more fog and LIFR ceilings in the valleys later this evening.
-Smith
.MARINE (Updated at 800 AM)...
Steep, northwest seas will persist through tonight with conditions hazardous to small craft across all of the waters. Seas are expected to gradually lower after tonight. However, northerly winds return Wednesday as a thermal trough develops, especially south of Cape Blanco where steep seas could become hazardous to smaller craft.
-Guerrero/Smith
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR
CA
None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for PZZ350-356-370-376.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR | 24 mi | 72 min | ENE 2.9G | 63°F | 30.36 | |||
SNTO3 | 28 mi | 78 min | 0 | 48°F | 30.42 | 48°F |
Wind History for Port Orford, OR
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Airport Reports
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KOTH
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(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Pacific Northwest
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Medford, OR,
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