Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Old Forge, NY
November 30, 2023 11:33 AM EST (16:33 UTC)
Sunrise 7:06AM Sunset 4:25PM Moonrise 8:04PM Moonset 11:38AM
SLZ022 Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 1248 Am Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Overnight..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy through early afternoon, then becoming partly Sunny.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers.
Friday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east less than 10 knots. A chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Friday night..Light and variable winds. Rain and snow showers in the evening, then rain and snow showers overnight.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers during the day, then a chance of snow and rain showers Saturday night.
Sunday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east. A chance of snow showers during the day, then snow and rain showers likely Sunday night.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Snow showers likely with a chance of rain showers during the day, then a chance of snow showers Monday night.
Overnight..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy through early afternoon, then becoming partly Sunny.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers.
Friday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east less than 10 knots. A chance of rain in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Friday night..Light and variable winds. Rain and snow showers in the evening, then rain and snow showers overnight.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers during the day, then a chance of snow and rain showers Saturday night.
Sunday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east. A chance of snow showers during the day, then snow and rain showers likely Sunday night.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Snow showers likely with a chance of rain showers during the day, then a chance of snow showers Monday night.
SLZ005
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Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 301445 AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 945 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
SYNOPSIS
Clouds will break for sunshine today, allowing for dry weather along with temperatures a little milder than the past few days.
A fast moving storm system will bring some rain to the region for Friday afternoon and evening. The weather will remain unsettled for the weekend into early next week, with a few more chances for precipitation.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
UPDATE
As of 0945 AM EST, low cloud cover continues to erode from the south with an expanding area of clear skies visible on latest satellite imagery as high pressure builds over the Carolina coast. Have updated sky cover forecast to reflect these observations and continued clearing expected through the afternoon. The forecast remains otherwise on track; see previous discussion below...
.PREV DISCUSSION [0630 AM EST]...A weak upper level shortwave and associated surface trough have now moved east of the region into New England. Moisture trapped beneath an inversion is still allowing for fairly widespread clouds cover from the Mohawk Valley and Capital Region on northward. Clearing has already occurred for southern areas and IR satellite trends are starting to show some breaks across the Capital Region and Saratoga Region as well. Over the next few hours, clearing will continue to occur and most areas will be partly to mostly sunny by the late morning hours and into the afternoon.
With the return of sunshine and the upper level flow starting to flatten out, it will be a little milder than the past few days, with valley areas reaching into the 40s by this afternoon.
The low-level flow will be out of the south through the day, helping to bring in some milder air (at least compared to the past few days). While it will be a little breezy, it won't be quite as windy as the past few days as well, with some gusts nearing 20 mph.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
High pressure will be located off the mid Atlantic coast for tonight. Meanwhile, a frontal boundary will be slowly heading towards the area from the Great Lakes. This will allow for a west to southwest flow aloft over the region, with the low-level flow still southerly for tonight. While skies should be fairly clear for much of the area tonight (northwestern areas will start to see some clouds increasing late), there will be a mild southerly breeze through the night. This should help keep temps from getting too cool, with lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. It should stay dry through the overnight hours, as any forcing for precip remains well west of the area.
On Friday, the frontal boundary to the west will be gradually approaching from the area. Clouds will be increasing through the morning hours, with some light rain spreading into the area from west to east for the afternoon hours. The boundary layer will be warm enough for mainly rain thanks to the mild start to the day and a persistent south to southwest flow, which should bring surface temps into the mid to upper 40s (upper 30s to low 40s in the mountains). While wet-bulbing may allow for some wet snow to mix in at the highest parts of central Adirondacks, most of the region will just be seeing a cold rain from storm system. The steadiest rain will be done by Friday evening, but some showers could linger into Friday night, as the frontal boundary stalls out near or just northwest of the area. Most locations will see under a quarter of an inch of rain, although some upslope favored areas of the southern Adirondacks could see close to a half inch of rainfall.
The weather looks to remain unsettled for Saturday into Saturday night. Skies will remain cloudy, as a persistent southwest flow keeps plenty of moisture streaming towards the area. While the main trough will remain back to the west over the Midwest, our will stay in broad southwest flow ahead of this system. The stalled frontal boundary will remain close to the area and another weak wave of low pressure could track along it. Models have been have a hard time with the details over the past few days, but a slight chc to low chc for showers looks to be needed for both Saturday and Saturday night, as some additional light precip looks to occur. Best chance for showers could wind up being northern and western areas closer to the boundary, but some models do show some showers for southern areas too. P-type will continue to be mainly rain, as both temps at the surface and aloft should be above freezing for nearly the entire area, with the exception being the highest terrain of the Adirondacks.
Any additional precip on Sat into Saturday night looks fairly light, although the exact amounts and best timing is still somewhat uncertain right now. Highs should be well into the 40s for most areas on Saturday, with overnight lows on Sat night in the mid to upper 30s.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Guidance continues to favor an unsettled pattern over much of the extended forecast period. However, plenty of discrepancies within recent long range model solutions suggest a fair amount of uncertainty in the evolution of the large-scale flow.
A potentially wet start mainly for areas along and north of I-90 comes Sunday morning as upper energy pulses through prevailing northwest flow along the leading edge of a broad, upper-level trough centered over central CONUS. Throughout the day Sunday, additional showers will spread into the region from southwest to northeast as a series of surface low pressure systems move into the Atlantic Ocean and Mid-Atlantic region and track northeastward toward Cape Cod.
Early morning showers in the Western Adirondacks and Mohawk Valley could start as snow or a rain/snow mix as temperatures will likely fall in the low to mid 30s. However, with persistent southwest flow providing requisite warm air advection, the predominant precipitation type Sunday will be rain.
Uncertainty then increases heading into Monday. Despite guidance beginning to align in the outcome of widespread precipitation at least to start Monday, timing and track discrepancies of the features which will cause that precipitation. The most consistent depictions show a potent shortwave approaching the northern Ohio Valley/southern Great Lakes region in the preliminary hours of Monday, leading to widespread precipitation through at least mid morning. However, there are hints that a coastal low could form near the Mid-Atlantic Coast which could extend precipitation into the afternoon Monday. For now, confidence is highest in Monday featuring widespread precipitation at least through mid morning before becoming scattered and more lake-induced through early Tuesday as upper energy pulses through the still dominant cyclonic flow. At this time, the predominant precipitation type looks to be rain with some snow or a mix of rain and snow at higher terrain. But this will depend on track and timing of disturbances. Will continue to monitor as lead time decreases.
Tuesday looks to be dry for most areas, with the exception of the possibility of some light showers north and west of Albany.
Wednesday will be similar. High temperatures Monday and Tuesday will be fairly similar with 30s and 40s across the area. Highs Wednesday will cool down a bit with widespread 30s and some upper 20s at higher terrain.
AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Through 12z Friday...VFR conditions continue to prevail across the region this morning. Clouds have dissipated at KPOU and are, according to recent satellite imagery scans, beginning to dissipate adjacent to KALB/KGFL/KPSF as well. Once eroded within the next couple of hours, partly to mainly clear skies will ensure VFR conditions continue through the 12z TAF period.
Winds through 12z Friday will prevail mainly out of the southwest at sustained speeds of 4- 8 kt. Breezy conditions are expected to kick up at KALB and KPSF with gusts of 18-21 kt likely.
Outlook...
Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of RA.
Saturday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of RA.
Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
RA.
Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Sunday Night: High Operational Impact. Likely SHRA.
Monday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
SHSN.
Tuesday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 945 AM EST Thu Nov 30 2023
SYNOPSIS
Clouds will break for sunshine today, allowing for dry weather along with temperatures a little milder than the past few days.
A fast moving storm system will bring some rain to the region for Friday afternoon and evening. The weather will remain unsettled for the weekend into early next week, with a few more chances for precipitation.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
UPDATE
As of 0945 AM EST, low cloud cover continues to erode from the south with an expanding area of clear skies visible on latest satellite imagery as high pressure builds over the Carolina coast. Have updated sky cover forecast to reflect these observations and continued clearing expected through the afternoon. The forecast remains otherwise on track; see previous discussion below...
.PREV DISCUSSION [0630 AM EST]...A weak upper level shortwave and associated surface trough have now moved east of the region into New England. Moisture trapped beneath an inversion is still allowing for fairly widespread clouds cover from the Mohawk Valley and Capital Region on northward. Clearing has already occurred for southern areas and IR satellite trends are starting to show some breaks across the Capital Region and Saratoga Region as well. Over the next few hours, clearing will continue to occur and most areas will be partly to mostly sunny by the late morning hours and into the afternoon.
With the return of sunshine and the upper level flow starting to flatten out, it will be a little milder than the past few days, with valley areas reaching into the 40s by this afternoon.
The low-level flow will be out of the south through the day, helping to bring in some milder air (at least compared to the past few days). While it will be a little breezy, it won't be quite as windy as the past few days as well, with some gusts nearing 20 mph.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
High pressure will be located off the mid Atlantic coast for tonight. Meanwhile, a frontal boundary will be slowly heading towards the area from the Great Lakes. This will allow for a west to southwest flow aloft over the region, with the low-level flow still southerly for tonight. While skies should be fairly clear for much of the area tonight (northwestern areas will start to see some clouds increasing late), there will be a mild southerly breeze through the night. This should help keep temps from getting too cool, with lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s. It should stay dry through the overnight hours, as any forcing for precip remains well west of the area.
On Friday, the frontal boundary to the west will be gradually approaching from the area. Clouds will be increasing through the morning hours, with some light rain spreading into the area from west to east for the afternoon hours. The boundary layer will be warm enough for mainly rain thanks to the mild start to the day and a persistent south to southwest flow, which should bring surface temps into the mid to upper 40s (upper 30s to low 40s in the mountains). While wet-bulbing may allow for some wet snow to mix in at the highest parts of central Adirondacks, most of the region will just be seeing a cold rain from storm system. The steadiest rain will be done by Friday evening, but some showers could linger into Friday night, as the frontal boundary stalls out near or just northwest of the area. Most locations will see under a quarter of an inch of rain, although some upslope favored areas of the southern Adirondacks could see close to a half inch of rainfall.
The weather looks to remain unsettled for Saturday into Saturday night. Skies will remain cloudy, as a persistent southwest flow keeps plenty of moisture streaming towards the area. While the main trough will remain back to the west over the Midwest, our will stay in broad southwest flow ahead of this system. The stalled frontal boundary will remain close to the area and another weak wave of low pressure could track along it. Models have been have a hard time with the details over the past few days, but a slight chc to low chc for showers looks to be needed for both Saturday and Saturday night, as some additional light precip looks to occur. Best chance for showers could wind up being northern and western areas closer to the boundary, but some models do show some showers for southern areas too. P-type will continue to be mainly rain, as both temps at the surface and aloft should be above freezing for nearly the entire area, with the exception being the highest terrain of the Adirondacks.
Any additional precip on Sat into Saturday night looks fairly light, although the exact amounts and best timing is still somewhat uncertain right now. Highs should be well into the 40s for most areas on Saturday, with overnight lows on Sat night in the mid to upper 30s.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Guidance continues to favor an unsettled pattern over much of the extended forecast period. However, plenty of discrepancies within recent long range model solutions suggest a fair amount of uncertainty in the evolution of the large-scale flow.
A potentially wet start mainly for areas along and north of I-90 comes Sunday morning as upper energy pulses through prevailing northwest flow along the leading edge of a broad, upper-level trough centered over central CONUS. Throughout the day Sunday, additional showers will spread into the region from southwest to northeast as a series of surface low pressure systems move into the Atlantic Ocean and Mid-Atlantic region and track northeastward toward Cape Cod.
Early morning showers in the Western Adirondacks and Mohawk Valley could start as snow or a rain/snow mix as temperatures will likely fall in the low to mid 30s. However, with persistent southwest flow providing requisite warm air advection, the predominant precipitation type Sunday will be rain.
Uncertainty then increases heading into Monday. Despite guidance beginning to align in the outcome of widespread precipitation at least to start Monday, timing and track discrepancies of the features which will cause that precipitation. The most consistent depictions show a potent shortwave approaching the northern Ohio Valley/southern Great Lakes region in the preliminary hours of Monday, leading to widespread precipitation through at least mid morning. However, there are hints that a coastal low could form near the Mid-Atlantic Coast which could extend precipitation into the afternoon Monday. For now, confidence is highest in Monday featuring widespread precipitation at least through mid morning before becoming scattered and more lake-induced through early Tuesday as upper energy pulses through the still dominant cyclonic flow. At this time, the predominant precipitation type looks to be rain with some snow or a mix of rain and snow at higher terrain. But this will depend on track and timing of disturbances. Will continue to monitor as lead time decreases.
Tuesday looks to be dry for most areas, with the exception of the possibility of some light showers north and west of Albany.
Wednesday will be similar. High temperatures Monday and Tuesday will be fairly similar with 30s and 40s across the area. Highs Wednesday will cool down a bit with widespread 30s and some upper 20s at higher terrain.
AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Through 12z Friday...VFR conditions continue to prevail across the region this morning. Clouds have dissipated at KPOU and are, according to recent satellite imagery scans, beginning to dissipate adjacent to KALB/KGFL/KPSF as well. Once eroded within the next couple of hours, partly to mainly clear skies will ensure VFR conditions continue through the 12z TAF period.
Winds through 12z Friday will prevail mainly out of the southwest at sustained speeds of 4- 8 kt. Breezy conditions are expected to kick up at KALB and KPSF with gusts of 18-21 kt likely.
Outlook...
Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of RA.
Saturday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of RA.
Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
RA.
Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Sunday Night: High Operational Impact. Likely SHRA.
Monday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
SHSN.
Tuesday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Wind History from RME
(wind in knots)Troy
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:21 AM EST -0.40 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:58 AM EST 3.97 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:29 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 01:21 PM EST 0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:22 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 07:03 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 07:07 PM EST 5.33 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:21 AM EST -0.40 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:58 AM EST 3.97 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:29 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 01:21 PM EST 0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:22 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 07:03 PM EST Moonrise
Thu -- 07:07 PM EST 5.33 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Troy, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.4 |
| 1 am |
| -0.3 |
| 2 am |
| -0.2 |
| 3 am |
| 0.8 |
| 4 am |
| 2.1 |
| 5 am |
| 3 |
| 6 am |
| 3.7 |
| 7 am |
| 4 |
| 8 am |
| 3.6 |
| 9 am |
| 2.8 |
| 10 am |
| 2 |
| 11 am |
| 1.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 4 pm |
| 3 |
| 5 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 6 pm |
| 5 |
| 7 pm |
| 5.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 5.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.1 |
Albany
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:11 AM EST -0.40 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:50 AM EST 3.97 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:29 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 01:11 PM EST 0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:22 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 06:59 PM EST 5.33 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:11 AM EST -0.40 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:50 AM EST 3.97 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST Sunrise
Thu -- 10:29 AM EST Moonset
Thu -- 01:11 PM EST 0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:22 PM EST Sunset
Thu -- 06:59 PM EST 5.33 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Albany, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.3 |
| 1 am |
| -0.4 |
| 2 am |
| -0.1 |
| 3 am |
| 1 |
| 4 am |
| 2.2 |
| 5 am |
| 3.1 |
| 6 am |
| 3.8 |
| 7 am |
| 4 |
| 8 am |
| 3.5 |
| 9 am |
| 2.7 |
| 10 am |
| 1.9 |
| 11 am |
| 1.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 4.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 5 |
| 7 pm |
| 5.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 5 |
| 9 pm |
| 4 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 2 |
Montague, NY,
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