Old Forge, NY Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Old Forge, NY

June 18, 2024 4:49 PM EDT (20:49 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:16 AM   Sunset 8:41 PM
Moonrise 5:41 PM   Moonset 2:34 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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SLZ022 Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 426 Am Edt Tue Jun 18 2024

Today - Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms this morning.

Tonight - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. Mainly clear through the early overnight, then becoming partly cloudy.

Wednesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Wednesday night - Southwest winds 10 knots or less. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.

Thursday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms.

Friday - North winds less than 10 knots becoming northeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Friday night.

Saturday - Northeast winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

SLZ005
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Old Forge, NY
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Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 182025 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 425 PM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
A mid-June heat wave is officially underway with the anticipation of today's preliminary round of dangerous, near-record heat and elevated humidity to continue through at least Thursday, especially at lower elevations. While much of the region will remain dry during this period, each day will hold isolated to scattered chances for showers and thunderstorms. A respite from ugly heat will come in time for the weekend with a cold front set to pass through the region Friday. Temperatures will then return to seasonably warm levels.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/
**Heat Advisories are now in effect across all of eastern New York and western New England through 8 PM Thursday**

Our mid-June heat wave officially kicked into high gear today as temperatures currently sit well within the mid/upper 80s to low 90s across much of the area. The exceptions to this are pockets of low to mid 80s in higher terrain regions of the Southwest Adirondacks and Eastern Catskills where isolated showers have cooled things off a bit. However, conditions are likely still fairly uncomfortable in these areas due to dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s driving apparent temperatures into the 90s.

KENX radar and MRMS lightning data indicate a couple of very localized, non-severe thunderstorms within the Eastern Catskills and Upper Hudson Valley courtesy of upper energy in the form of a shortwave traversing along the international border just to our north and west and moderate instability contributing to sufficient buoyancy to overcome the overall lack of forcing. These storms have been relatively short-lived, again due to lack of forcing and the additional lack of shear, but moderate to locally heavy downpours have been noted as a resultant of these storms.

Throughout the night tonight, the current 594 dam closed high currently spanning a large portion of the East Coast including much of eastern New York and western New England, will look to amplify slightly as it tracks further north into the Northeast.
With the loss of daytime heating, any showers and thunderstorms that have developed this afternoon will quickly die off yielding a dry but muggy night with low temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/
**Heat Advisories continue through 8 PM Thursday for all of eastern New York and western New England**

By tomorrow morning, the upper high looks to become centered over the Mid-Atlantic at about 597 dam. The amplification, though modest, will ensure 850 mb temperatures increasing to near 20 C/km in most valley areas and about 18 C/km at higher elevations. With forecast soundings indicating mixing up to 900 to 850 mb and the anomalously high upper-level ridging in place, high temperatures tomorrow will fair a few degrees warmer than today with mid/upper 80s anticipated above 1000 ft and mid to possibly upper 90s in valley areas. Dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s will make for dangerous heat indices of up to 95 degrees in mountainous areas and 95 to 104 degrees at lower elevations. Isolated heat index values of 105 degrees are possible in the Hudson Valley, but the lack of coverage, anticipated brevity of such conditions, and overall high confidence in remaining largely below 105 degree apparent temperatures warranted the continuation of the Heat Advisory instead of an upgrade to an Excessive Heat Warning. That's not to say that this couldn't change during the overnight period should new sources of guidance indicate a more widespread, longer duration of heat indices of 105 degrees or greater.
However, with models having come to a strong consensus in temperatures remaining largely within the mid 90s with pockets of upper 90s in the Hudson Valley where these indices would be more common, it is looking less and less likely that such a product would be needed. It is important to note that the conditions forecast for tomorrow, though not meeting Excessive Heat criteria, are still incredibly dangerous if caution is not heeded. Drink plenty of water, limit time outdoors, and familiarize yourself with the signs and symptoms of heat illness.

With dominating high pressure, conditions tomorrow will primarily be dry, though some isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible as upper energy pulses about the northwestern periphery of the high. At this time, no severe thunderstorms are expected. Low temperatures tomorrow night will be similar to tonight with upper 60s to low 70s across the region.

Thursday's conditions will be fairly similar to tomorrow with the strength of the upper high remaining relatively stagnant.
High temperatures will once again range from the mid/upper 80s to low/mid 90s with pockets of low 80s above 1500 ft. Heat index values will reach the low to mid 90s in high elevations with 95 to 104 degrees in valley areas. Therefore, the Heat Advisory will be allowed to persist through Thursday evening. Additional isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, some of which could become severe, are possible once again Thursday due to a surface trough tracking through the region. At this time, wind looks to be the primary threat with any severe storms that arise. Once daytime heating is lost Thursday night, showers and thunderstorms will taper off to yield another night of mid/upper 60s to low 70s.

Though Friday will be warmer than typical mid-June standards, we will finally begin to get a respite to oppressive heat thanks to a surface cold front tracking through the region from northwest to southeast. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible across much of the region as a result of this boundary progression.
Highs Friday will range from the upper 70s to upper 80s with pockets of low 90s in the lower Mid Hudson Valley.



LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
The extended forecast period begins with a frontal boundary stalling near the Pennsylvania and New York border with isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms ending mainly south of Interstate 90. High pressure will be building in from southern Quebec and northern New England with a brief period of slightly cooler and drier weather to open the weekend. Lows will fall into the 50s to around 60F over the higher terrain Friday night with mid and upper 60s in the valleys. The frontal boundary will lift back north as a warm front Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. Some scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop along and near the boundary during the afternoon. Max temps will will run a little above normal with 70s to lower 80s over the higher terrain and mid and upper 80s in the valleys. The mid and upper level flow goes from zonal to southwesterly Saturday night into Sunday ahead of mid and upper level trough approaching from southern Ontario and the Great Lakes Region. The forecast area returns to a warm sector and the air mass become more humid and unstable. Lows Saturday night will be muggy in the 60s with a few upper 50s over the mountains.

Sunday into Monday...A prefrontal trough may focus some bands or clusters of strong thunderstorms to close the weekend. The better low to mid level height falls and the cold front don't move across the region until Sunday night into Monday. PWATS will run above normal, so some locally heavy rain may occur Sunday night into Monday. We kept PoPs in the likely to high chance range to close the weekend and open next week. Highs Monday may get into the mid 80s to around 90F in the valleys and upper 70s to lower 80s over the mtns. Lows Sunday night will be still sticky in the 60s to around 70F. The clouds and pcpn may keep may temps down a bit on Monday with 70s to lower/mid 80s. Some places in the Adirondacks may hold in the 60s.

Monday night into Tuesday...High pressure builds into the area in the wake of the cold front with a brief respite potentially of slightly drier and pleasant early summer weather. Lows fall into the 50s to around 60F. Max temps will return slightly above normal for Tuesday. CPCs Day 8 to 14 outlook for the last week of June into early July is calling for above normal temps and near normal pcpn across eastern NY and western New England.

AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Through 18z Wednesday...Mainly VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the 24 hour TAF period. Just some diurnally drive FEW-SCT cumulus clouds and high level cirrus clouds will drift through. There is a low probability (~20 percent) of a brief SHRA/TSRA, but coverage is likely to be too sparse to mention in TAFs. Given sufficient clearing and winds decoupling, patchy radiation fog may develop at KGFL overnight. Will mention MVFR vsby for now starting at 08Z, with periods of brief IFR possible through around 11z. Other sites should remain VFR.

Winds will be south-southwest around 5-10 kt, weakening to around 6 kt or less tonight. Winds on Wednesday will be south-southwest around 5-10 kt again.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Friday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Friday Night: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Saturday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.

CLIMATE
Record High Temperatures:

Tuesday, June 18: Albany - 97 (1957, 2018)
Glens Falls - 95 (1907)
Poughkeepsie - 94 (2018)

Wednesday, June 19: Albany - 94 (1995)
Glens Falls - 97 (1995)
Poughkeepsie - 92 (1941, 1943, 1993, 2016)

Thursday, June 20: Albany - 97 (1953)
Glens Falls - 97 (1923)
Poughkeepsie - 96 (2012)

Friday, June 21: Albany - 97 (1938)
Glens Falls - 96 (2012)
Poughkeepsie - 97 (1949)

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for CTZ001-013.
NY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for NYZ032-033-038>043- 047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084.
MA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for MAZ001-025.
VT...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for VTZ013>015.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KRME48 sm56 minN 0510 smClear88°F72°F59%30.17
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Wind History graph: RME
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Troy, Hudson River, New York
   
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Troy
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:32 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:10 AM EDT     5.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:56 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:20 PM EDT     3.79 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:02 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Troy, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
2.8
1
am
3.9
2
am
4.6
3
am
5
4
am
4.8
5
am
4
6
am
3.1
7
am
2.4
8
am
1.6
9
am
0.7
10
am
0.3
11
am
0.8
12
pm
1.9
1
pm
2.8
2
pm
3.4
3
pm
3.8
4
pm
3.7
5
pm
3
6
pm
2.2
7
pm
1.6
8
pm
1.1
9
pm
0.5
10
pm
0.1
11
pm
0.6


Tide / Current for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:02 AM EDT     5.01 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:46 AM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:12 PM EDT     3.79 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:52 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Albany, New York, Tide feet
12
am
3
1
am
4
2
am
4.7
3
am
5
4
am
4.7
5
am
3.9
6
am
3
7
am
2.3
8
am
1.4
9
am
0.6
10
am
0.3
11
am
1
12
pm
2
1
pm
2.9
2
pm
3.5
3
pm
3.8
4
pm
3.6
5
pm
2.9
6
pm
2.1
7
pm
1.6
8
pm
1
9
pm
0.4
10
pm
0.1
11
pm
0.7


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Montague, NY,




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