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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Old Forge, NY

February 17, 2025 2:45 PM EST (19:45 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:49 AM   Sunset 5:32 PM
Moonrise 11:59 PM   Moonset 9:49 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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SLZ022 Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 935 Am Est Sun Jan 5 2025

This afternoon - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly Sunny.

Tonight - Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Partly to mostly cloudy.

Monday - North winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly to mostly Sunny.

Monday night - Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy.

Tuesday - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers during the day.

Wednesday - West winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers Wednesday night.

Thursday - West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers during the day.
the saint lawrence seaway has closed for the 2024 season, therefore the forecast for the saint lawrence river has been discontinued. The forecast will resume this spring when the river opens for navigation.
SLZ005
No data

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Old Forge, NY
   
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Tide / Current for Troy, Hudson River, New York
  
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Troy
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Mon -- 02:35 AM EST     0.14 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:19 AM EST     4.93 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:46 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 03:04 PM EST     0.64 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:17 PM EST     4.45 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:52 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Troy, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
12
am
1.4
1
am
0.8
2
am
0.3
3
am
0.2
4
am
1.1
5
am
2.5
6
am
3.7
7
am
4.5
8
am
4.9
9
am
4.8
10
am
4
11
am
3.1
12
pm
2.3
1
pm
1.7
2
pm
1
3
pm
0.6
4
pm
1.1
5
pm
2.2
6
pm
3.4
7
pm
4.1
8
pm
4.4
9
pm
4.3
10
pm
3.7
11
pm
2.6

Tide / Current for Albany, New York
  
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Albany
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Mon -- 02:25 AM EST     0.14 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:11 AM EST     4.93 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:47 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 02:54 PM EST     0.64 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:29 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:09 PM EST     4.45 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:52 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Albany, New York, Tide feet
12
am
1.3
1
am
0.7
2
am
0.2
3
am
0.3
4
am
1.3
5
am
2.7
6
am
3.8
7
am
4.6
8
am
4.9
9
am
4.7
10
am
3.9
11
am
2.9
12
pm
2.2
1
pm
1.6
2
pm
0.9
3
pm
0.6
4
pm
1.2
5
pm
2.4
6
pm
3.5
7
pm
4.2
8
pm
4.4
9
pm
4.3
10
pm
3.5
11
pm
2.5

Area Discussion for Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 171754 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1254 PM EST Mon Feb 17 2025

SYNOPSIS
Strong winds will continue through this afternoon, with colder temperatures and lake effect snow expected into Wednesday.
Winds will gradually decrease Tuesday into Wednesday as high pressure builds in from the west. Max temperatures will run about 15 to 20 degrees below normal into Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Key Messages:

- Strong winds continue through this afternoon with maximum wind gusts of 50 to 65 mph.

- Lake effect snow will continue through tonight with locally heavy amounts especially for the western Mohawk Valley and southwest Adirondacks.

- Bitter cold temperatures with increasing confidence in wind chills or "feels like" temperatures below -10 to -25 F tonight especially for higher elevations.

Discussion:

UPDATE as of 1250 pm EST
Low pressure continues to deepen and intensify to 962 hPa near the Gulf of St Lawrence based on the latest RAP this hour. A strong sfc pressure gradient continues across the forecast area this afternoon between the intense sfc low to the northeast and high pressure over the central Canadian prairies and northern Plains.

Radar and obs indicate a narrow (only a couple miles wide) but intermittently intense lake effect snow band is impacting the northern Catskills, Helderbergs into the western Capital Region and northern Taconics. It has become fragmented at times and we continue to issue some focused SPS's on this activity for snow rates up to an inch an hour. The band should back slightly to north heading into tonight and impact the w-central Mohawk Valley and western Adirondacks where we have an assortment of Lake Effect Snow Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories in place.

Gusty winds continue across the forecast area with frequent gusts of 35-50 mph (in the NYS Mesonet). If we mix to about 2 kft AGL we should see more wind gusts of 50-65 mph based on the Bufkit profiles from the 3-km NAM. North Adams (KAQW) gusted to 63 mph earlier this morning, the Searsburg, VT gauge on RTE 9 gusted with 58 mph and the Albany ASOS 52 mph, KPOU ASOS 51 mph and the NYS Mesonet site at Medusa 49 mph. We have had numerous winds gusts in the 35-45 mph range. The High Wind Warning and Wind Advisories remain in place into this evening.

We made some adjustments to PoPs/WX and skycover again based on the lake effect snow showers activity. All head lines remain in place and we expect the lake effect snow to lift slowly northward as we head into the early evening again. Temps will only slightly rise into the teens and 20s today. Some minor tweaks to max temps in the frigid and blustery air mass!

.PREV DISCUSSION[0401]...
Lake effect snow will continue today as a multi- lake upstream connection is established by this afternoon along with a deepening mixed layer. Forecast soundings indicate equilibrium heights rising from ~850 mb in the morning to 700 mb during the afternoon. With ~280 degree flow trajectory, lake effect snow bands will set up across the N. Mohawk Valley and SW.
Adirondacks(central Herkimer/SW. Hamilton/N. Fulton counties)
this afternoon into this evening with max snowfall rates of 1-2"/hour. Narrow bands or fragments could also extend east into northern parts of the Capital District bringing a quick 1-2" in some spots with decent inland extent. The flow trajectory shifts to more of a 285-290 degree direction tonight, which will allow for lake effect bands to migrate south into the S.
Herkimer, S. Fulton and Montgomery Counties, where a Lake Effect Snow Warning remains in effect.

With regards to winds, it will remain very windy through the daylight hours from the west. Forecast soundings indicate winds speeds around 60-65 kt at the top of the mixed layer, which would represent maximum wind gusts. Generally within the High Wind Warning, max gusts of 55-65 mph are expected, and 45-55 mph in the Wind Advisory area. Main change with this update is to upgrade to a High Wind Warning for N. Fulton, Hamilton, N.
Warren, N. Saratoga and E. Columbia. Snow/ice on trees will enhance damage potential. Wind headlines expire at 7 pm this evening, although it will still be breezy through the night with peak gusts of 30-45 mph.

Otherwise, today will be cold with highs only ranging from the 10s(mountains) to 20s(valley). Bitter cold expected tonight with gusty winds persisting (although not as strong as during the day). Actual temperatures will range from slightly below zero to around 10 above. Combined with the wind, this will result in feels-like temperatures ranging from around -5 to as low as -25 in the coldest spots(mountains). Based on Cold Weather Advisory criteria, will issue an Advisory for the most of the western/southern Adirondacks, southern Greens and eastern Catskills.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Key Messages:

- Lake effect snow will continue through Tuesday night with locally heavy amounts for the western Mohawk Valley and southwest Adirondacks.

- Bitter cold temperatures with increasing confidence of feels like temperatures below -10 to -25 F again Tuesday night especially for higher elevations.

Discussion:

Lake effect snow continues on Tue, with an expected 290-295 degree flow trajectory favoring far S. Herkimer, S. Fulton and Montgomery Counties where a Lake Effect Snow Warning remains in effect. Storm total snowfall expected to be between 8-16 inches in the most persistent bands. With a decent pressure gradient still in place and fairly strong winds aloft (~50 kt at top of the mixed layer), W-NW winds will be quite gusty again. At this time, peak gusts of 35-45 mph expected. A Wind Advisory may eventually be needed if confidence in gusts > 45 mph increases.
Will continue to monitor trends. It will be quite cold again, with highs only ranging from the single digits to lower 20s.

Lake effect snow finally dissipates by Wed morning as surface ridging extends farther east into our area resulting in inversion heights lowering significantly. The combination of bitter cold temperatures (lows -10 to single digits) and a persistent NW breeze will likely lead to feels-like temperatures of 0 to -25 so an additional Cold Weather Advisory may be needed for mainly some higher terrain areas.

Dry and tranquil conditions expected on Wed, with a small area of high pressure in place across the region. Winds will be lighter compared the previous few days (peak gusts 15-25 mph).
Temperatures will moderate slightly, but highs will still be below normal with 10s in the mountains and 20s in lower elevations.

It will be cold again Wed night(-5 to 10 above), but with less wind than the prior few nights so additional Cold Weather Advisories are not anticipated. Clouds will increase associated with a developing coastal storm emerging off the N. Carolina coast, but will likely be too far away for snow in our area.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Key Messages:

- Bitter cold temperatures to persist through Thursday before moderating through the end of the week and into the weekend.

- Coastal system for Thursday continues to track further south of the region

Discussion:

Thursday...
Deterministic and ensemble guidance continues to show a coastal low developing across the southeastern U.S., with a track now favored just south of the Mid Atlantic states. A surface high will be located just to our northeast across Nova Scotia, which will provide dry and cool northerly flow into the region.
Dprog/Dts of latest guidance continues to favor this system taking a track further south of the region, with most favoring the system going out to sea somewhere near the Virgina/North Carolina coast. NBM probs, while a bit lagging due to ingestion of previous model runs, remain in favor of a low chance (10-30%)
of advisory level snows for the Capital District south and east. Will continue to monitor this trend in subsequent forecasts.

Regardless, the parent shortwave trough that will be driving this system is progged to pass across the Northeast. Despite the drier air, enough lift will accompany the system to produce scattered snow showers, especially in the lake effect belts.
Heading into the weekend, most should see dry conditions with weak high pressure building across the Mid Atlantic behind the departing low. There is a potential for scattered snow showers late in the weekend with several embedded shortwaves riding in the northwest flow, though model disagreement on track and strength is high.

Regarding temperatures, it will be a cold start to the long term period with highs in the teens/20s and lows in the single digits or just below zero. We will warm up into the weekend slightly with weak ridging in the low levels, which will allow for highs in the 30s for most Sunday into Monday.

AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The narrow bands of lake effect snow in the vicinity of KALB and KPSF continues to weaken in intesity this afternoon, becoming more lighter bands of lake effect snow through 18/00z. LIFR conditions continue for KPSF through this afternoon due to strong winds blowing snow to create visibilities less than 1/4 mile. Conditions for KPSF improve to MVFR and VFR between 20z and 22z. Otherwise, VFR conditions continue for KGFL and KPOU through the TAF period.

West winds continue to gust between 35 and 50 knots through this afternoon and evening for KPSF. For KALB, winds continue to gust between 35 and 45 knots through 00z then decreasing to between 25 and 35 knots for the overnight hours. Winds continue to be less stronger, but still gusty at KGFL/KPOU with gusts between 30 to 40 kts. A 50 to 60 knot low level jet overhead, low level wind shear continues to be observed at all TAF sites through 12z. Winds decrease tomorrow morning and afternoon to less than 25 knots.

Outlook...

Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. Slight Chance of SHSN.
Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SN.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SN.
Friday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for CTZ001-013.
NY...Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for NYZ032-043-059- 060-064>066-083-084.
High Wind Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for NYZ033- 038>042-047>054-058-061-063-082.
Lake Effect Snow Warning until 6 AM EST Wednesday for NYZ032- 038>040.
Cold Weather Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 11 AM EST Tuesday for NYZ032-033-042-058-063.
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 AM EST Wednesday for NYZ033- 082.
MA...High Wind Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for MAZ001-025.
VT...High Wind Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for VTZ013>015.
Cold Weather Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 11 AM EST Tuesday for VTZ013-014.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
   
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KRME48 sm34 minWNW 18G281/4 sm-- Snow Freezing Fog 19°F16°F86%29.80

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east  
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Montague, NY,





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