Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Elkton, OR
October 10, 2024 10:21 PM PDT (05:21 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 7:20 AM Sunset 6:37 PM Moonrise 2:22 PM Moonset 10:49 PM |
PZZ253 Coastal Waters From Cape Foulweather To Florence Or Out 10 Nm- 728 Pm Pdt Thu Oct 10 2024
Tonight - N wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne late this evening, veering to se after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: N 2 ft at 4 seconds, nw 5 ft at 11 seconds and sw 2 ft at 15 seconds.
Fri - SE wind around 5 kt, veering to sw in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: nw 4 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 14 seconds.
Fri night - S wind around 5 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 11 seconds and sw 2 ft at 14 seconds. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sat - SE wind around 5 kt, veering to S in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 5 to 6 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: sw 6 ft at 10 seconds and sw 2 ft at 13 seconds.
Sat night - S wind around 5 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: W 7 ft at 12 seconds. A chance of showers.
Sun - SE wind around 5 kt, veering to sw around 5 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Wave detail: sw 6 ft at 10 seconds. A chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. Patchy dense fog.
Sun night - S wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 6 ft. Wave detail: W 6 ft at 11 seconds. A chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight.
Mon - S wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft, building to 9 to 10 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds and W 10 ft at 17 seconds. Rain likely.
Mon night - S wind around 5 kt, veering to W after midnight. Seas 9 to 10 ft. Wave detail: W 10 ft at 15 seconds. Rain likely, mainly in the evening.
Tue - NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 8 to 9 ft. Wave detail: W 9 ft at 14 seconds. Rain likely.
Tue night - SW wind 5 to 10 kt. Seas 7 to 8 ft. Wave detail: sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and W 8 ft at 13 seconds. Rain.
PZZ200 728 Pm Pdt Thu Oct 10 2024
Synopsis for the southern washington and northern oregon coast - The high pressure offshore weakens tonight and Friday as low pressure over the north pacific slowly approaches the region. Will see a front approach the waters early next week, bringing increased wave heights to around 10 ft.
NEW! Add second zone forecast
| Florence Click for Map Thu -- 01:02 AM PDT 0.54 feet Low Tide Thu -- 07:25 AM PDT Sunrise Thu -- 08:23 AM PDT 4.59 feet High Tide Thu -- 11:56 AM PDT First Quarter Thu -- 12:30 PM PDT 3.49 feet Low Tide Thu -- 03:24 PM PDT Moonrise Thu -- 06:12 PM PDT 5.76 feet High Tide Thu -- 06:39 PM PDT Sunset Thu -- 11:50 PM PDT Moonset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |
Florence, Siuslaw River, Oregon, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.8 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.7 |
| 3 am |
| 1.3 |
| 4 am |
| 2.1 |
| 5 am |
| 3 |
| 6 am |
| 3.8 |
| 7 am |
| 4.3 |
| 8 am |
| 4.6 |
| 9 am |
| 4.5 |
| 10 am |
| 4.2 |
| 11 am |
| 3.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 3 pm |
| 4.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 4.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 5.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 5.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 5.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 5.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 4.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.4 |
| Gardiner Click for Map Thu -- 01:13 AM PDT 0.54 feet Low Tide Thu -- 07:25 AM PDT Sunrise Thu -- 08:35 AM PDT 4.69 feet High Tide Thu -- 11:56 AM PDT First Quarter Thu -- 12:41 PM PDT 3.49 feet Low Tide Thu -- 03:23 PM PDT Moonrise Thu -- 06:24 PM PDT 5.88 feet High Tide Thu -- 06:40 PM PDT Sunset Thu -- 11:52 PM PDT Moonset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |
Gardiner, Umpqua River, Oregon, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.9 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.7 |
| 3 am |
| 1.2 |
| 4 am |
| 2 |
| 5 am |
| 2.9 |
| 6 am |
| 3.7 |
| 7 am |
| 4.3 |
| 8 am |
| 4.6 |
| 9 am |
| 4.7 |
| 10 am |
| 4.3 |
| 11 am |
| 3.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 4 pm |
| 4.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 5.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 5.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 5.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 5.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 4.7 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.7 |
FXUS66 KMFR 102339 AFDMFR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 439 PM PDT Thu Oct 10 2024
Updated AVIATION discussion
DISCUSSION
Southern Oregon and far northern California remain under west to southwest flow aloft, with generally weak high pressure in control providing dry conditions and temperatures generally at or just above seasonal normals. Some residual high level clouds are still streaming over the area today, but for the most part, the skies are clear. Just offshore, however, satellite imagery shows a large area of clouds heading our way, and this is the next frontal system due to arrive tomorrow.
This trough will approach the area tomorrow, then split into a closed low as it moves onshore right along the CA/OR state line late Friday night into Saturday morning. This will put the main belt of moisture inflow into northern and central California, keeping most of our forecast area dry, with the exception of the coast and portions of Siskiyou and Modoc counties, but even then rainfall amounts will be very light, if measurable at all.
Despite the lack of rain, increased clouds and lower heights aloft will make for a cool Saturday across the forecast area.
After this low passes, we return to generally seasonable temperatures and dry weather under weak high pressure for early next week. Around Tuesday or Wednesday, the next trough arrives, and this one has a good chance to hold together enough to produce at least light rain for the majority, if not all, of the forecast area. The arrival of this system are generally well agreed upon throughout the model suites, actually arriving as two waves/fronts Wednesday and Thursday. There are some questions that need to be answered regarding strength of the event as it moves through, with a wide range of possibilities across those same suites. That being said, it does suggest that we will see an overall pattern change with the arrival of this system, trending towards a somewhat wetter and cooler pattern as we head into late next week.
-BPN
AVIATION
11/00Z TAFs...Clear skies continue to support VFR levels across most of northern California and southern Oregon this afternoon. Haze at Roseburg has lowered visibility to MVFR, but this does not appear to be a long-term concern. For inland areas, VFR levels are expected to continue through the TAF period.
Guidance is showing a possibility of marine stratus developing along the Oregon coast tonight. Models show the stratus developing to the south and moving northward early Friday morning, but the chances are slight (15-30%). Timing has been included in TAFs for reference, but confidence in the actual development is low. Any stratus that does develop should clear out by late Friday morning. -TAD
MARINE
Updated 230 PM PDT Thursday, October 10, 2024...Seas have fallen below advisory level as northerly winds continue to decrease.
These conditions will continue until early Saturday morning, when a cutoff low will bring slight chances for showers (20-40%) to area waters through the day. Elevated south-southwesterly swell will also move with this system, building steep seas in waters beyond 30 nm from shore during the day. A Small Craft Advisory is in place from Friday at 11 PM through Saturday at 5 PM to communicate these conditions.
Stable sea states will return from Saturday evening through Monday morning, when northwesterly swell is forecast to arrive in area waters. This swell looks to be more substantial, possibly building seas of 10 to 12 feet at 15 to 16 seconds across area waters by Monday afternoon. Seas would decrease steadily through Tuesday and Wednesday. Active weather is possible on Tuesday and Wednesday as a low pressure system could bring widespread rainfall to the area.
-TAD
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...None.
CA...None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM PDT this afternoon for PZZ356-376.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 439 PM PDT Thu Oct 10 2024
Updated AVIATION discussion
DISCUSSION
Southern Oregon and far northern California remain under west to southwest flow aloft, with generally weak high pressure in control providing dry conditions and temperatures generally at or just above seasonal normals. Some residual high level clouds are still streaming over the area today, but for the most part, the skies are clear. Just offshore, however, satellite imagery shows a large area of clouds heading our way, and this is the next frontal system due to arrive tomorrow.
This trough will approach the area tomorrow, then split into a closed low as it moves onshore right along the CA/OR state line late Friday night into Saturday morning. This will put the main belt of moisture inflow into northern and central California, keeping most of our forecast area dry, with the exception of the coast and portions of Siskiyou and Modoc counties, but even then rainfall amounts will be very light, if measurable at all.
Despite the lack of rain, increased clouds and lower heights aloft will make for a cool Saturday across the forecast area.
After this low passes, we return to generally seasonable temperatures and dry weather under weak high pressure for early next week. Around Tuesday or Wednesday, the next trough arrives, and this one has a good chance to hold together enough to produce at least light rain for the majority, if not all, of the forecast area. The arrival of this system are generally well agreed upon throughout the model suites, actually arriving as two waves/fronts Wednesday and Thursday. There are some questions that need to be answered regarding strength of the event as it moves through, with a wide range of possibilities across those same suites. That being said, it does suggest that we will see an overall pattern change with the arrival of this system, trending towards a somewhat wetter and cooler pattern as we head into late next week.
-BPN
AVIATION
11/00Z TAFs...Clear skies continue to support VFR levels across most of northern California and southern Oregon this afternoon. Haze at Roseburg has lowered visibility to MVFR, but this does not appear to be a long-term concern. For inland areas, VFR levels are expected to continue through the TAF period.
Guidance is showing a possibility of marine stratus developing along the Oregon coast tonight. Models show the stratus developing to the south and moving northward early Friday morning, but the chances are slight (15-30%). Timing has been included in TAFs for reference, but confidence in the actual development is low. Any stratus that does develop should clear out by late Friday morning. -TAD
MARINE
Updated 230 PM PDT Thursday, October 10, 2024...Seas have fallen below advisory level as northerly winds continue to decrease.
These conditions will continue until early Saturday morning, when a cutoff low will bring slight chances for showers (20-40%) to area waters through the day. Elevated south-southwesterly swell will also move with this system, building steep seas in waters beyond 30 nm from shore during the day. A Small Craft Advisory is in place from Friday at 11 PM through Saturday at 5 PM to communicate these conditions.
Stable sea states will return from Saturday evening through Monday morning, when northwesterly swell is forecast to arrive in area waters. This swell looks to be more substantial, possibly building seas of 10 to 12 feet at 15 to 16 seconds across area waters by Monday afternoon. Seas would decrease steadily through Tuesday and Wednesday. Active weather is possible on Tuesday and Wednesday as a low pressure system could bring widespread rainfall to the area.
-TAD
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...None.
CA...None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM PDT this afternoon for PZZ356-376.
Wind History for Port Orford, OR
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KEUG
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KEUG
Wind History Graph: EUG
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Pacific Northwest
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Medford, OR,
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