Friday, July1, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Elba, MN

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:25AMSunset 8:55PM Friday July 1, 2022 8:39 AM CDT (13:39 UTC) Moonrise 6:29AMMoonset 10:07PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elba, MN
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location: 44.05, -92     debug


Area Discussion for - La Crosse, WI
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FXUS63 KARX 011139 AFDARX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service La Crosse WI 639 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022

DISCUSSION. (Today through Thursday) Issued at 347 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022

Key Messages:

- Quiet Today and This Evening - Late Tonight and Saturday Rain Chances - Saturday Night Rain Chances Uncertain

Quiet Today and This Evening:

High pressure will provide mainly sunny skies and generally light winds. Soundings are in general agreement that most areas will mix up to around 850 mb. With drier soils, this will result in high temperatures ranging from the mid-70s to around 80 along and north of Interstate 94 and in the lower and mid-80s for the remainder of the area.

For those with firework displays, it will be a nice night with mostly clear skies and light winds. Temperatures will be in the lower and mid- 60s along and north of Interstate 94 and around 70 for the remainder of the area.

Late Tonight and Saturday Rain Chances:

For late tonight, a shortwave trough will move out of the South Dakota and through the region on Saturday morning and early afternoon. Ahead of this wave, there will be some showers and scattered storms. While there is strong 0-6 km shear along and north of the Interstate 94 corridor, the 0-1 km mixed-layer CAPES are less than 200 J/kg. As a result, not anticipating any severe storm there. Elsewhere, the 0-1 km mixed-layer CAPES range from 250 to 750 mb with 0-6 km shear ranging from 25 to 40 knots. This is also not favorable for severe storms. With the CAMs still differing on the placement of these showers and storms, opted to keep the precipitation chances low for now. Once there is better agreement, we will likely have to raise the chances up much higher.

Saturday Night Rain Chances Uncertain:

The 01.00z models continue to struggle with the timing and placement of a shortwave trough on Saturday night. Both the operational NAM and ECMWF have some showers and storms over parts of the area. Meanwhile, the GFS keeps the area dry. Due to this, kept the rain chances on the low side.

Shower/Storm Chances Next Week:

Mid-level ridging is expected to build into the Plains through the start of the week. Off to the west troughing will persist along the coast, with the local area under a zonal/slightly northwest flow. The focus this forecast period will be over the holiday, as shortwave energy ejected from the western trough along with increasing WAA and moisture, is expected to contribute to increasing rain and storm chances across the area Monday into Tuesday. There is still quite a bit of disagreement among model guidance on the placement of this shortwave energy, with details likely not coming into agreement until the short term. This will have an impact on the timing and location of highest precipitation chances, which is reflected in the variability among EPS and GEFS solutions. Although some uncertainty remains, 30.12Z EPS guidance continues to signal the potential for higher rain amounts across parts of the area. It is worth a mention that WPC included parts of our southern counties in a slight risk in their latest experimental excessive rainfall outlook.

Latest EPS solutions suggest a slight increase in high/low temperatures above normal Monday and Tuesday across the forecast area. However, there is still much spread in the data with rain and cloud coverage likely to impact these temperatures. Through the rest of the week temperatures are expected to be near or slightly above normal.

AVIATION. (For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning) Issued at 638 AM CDT Fri Jul 1 2022

High pressure will build across the area today. The high clouds will decrease late this morning and then increase late tonight as a shortwave trough approaches the region from South Dakota.

ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. WI . NONE. MN . NONE. IA . NONE.

DISCUSSION . Boyne/EMS AVIATION . Boyne


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Winona, Winona Municipal Airport-Max Conrad Field, MN16 mi45 minNW 310.00 miFair63°F61°F94%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KONA

Wind History from ONA (wind in knots)
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Last 24 hr00S4SW6NW13
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0NW30000000NW3N3NW300000NW3W3
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Tide / Current Tables for
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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