Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fremont, WI
March 28, 2024 8:24 AM CDT (13:24 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:39 AM Sunset 7:18 PM Moonrise 11:12 PM Moonset 7:56 AM |
LMZ522 Expires:202403282000;;758204 Fzus53 Kgrb 281137 Nshgrb
nearshore marine forecast national weather service green bay wi 637 am cdt Thu mar 28 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of the shore on lake michigan
lmz521-522-282000- green bay south of line from cedar river to rock island passage and north of a line from oconto wi to little sturgeon bay wi- green bay south of line from oconto wi to little sturgeon bay wi- 637 am cdt Thu mar 28 2024
Today - W wind 10 to 20 kts. A chance of flurries in the morning. Waves 1 to 3 ft.
Tonight - W wind 5 to 10 kts. Mostly clear. Waves 2 ft or less.
Friday - NW wind 5 to 10 kts backing se in the afternoon. Mostly Sunny in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 ft or less.
Friday night - SE wind 5 to 10 kts backing E after midnight. A chance of light rain in the evening, then light rain and snow showers likely after midnight. Waves 2 ft or less.
nearshore marine forecast national weather service green bay wi 637 am cdt Thu mar 28 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of the shore on lake michigan
lmz521-522-282000- green bay south of line from cedar river to rock island passage and north of a line from oconto wi to little sturgeon bay wi- green bay south of line from oconto wi to little sturgeon bay wi- 637 am cdt Thu mar 28 2024
LMZ500
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Area Discussion for - Green Bay, WI
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FXUS63 KGRB 281152 AFDGRB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Green Bay WI 652 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Updated aviation portion for 12Z TAF issuance
KEY MESSAGES
- Winds chills in the single digits and teens this morning. Highs moderate closer to normal today, then slightly above normal on Friday.
- A fast moving shortwave will bring a wintry mix to the forecast area Friday evening through Saturday morning. Confidence is increasing in potential for frozen precip with minor ice and/or snow accumulations across central and northern Wisconsin.
- Another round of wintry precip is possible early next week, although the track and timing for this system is still uncertain.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 337 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Short Term
Today
Tonight...and Friday
Precip / Clouds:
Cyclonic flow across the western Great Lakes has keep low/mid and high clouds (with some breaks as well) and lingering light snow showers/flurries around much of the night, with the most persistent snow showers across northern WI. The light snow activity will wane through the morning hours as low pressure pushes away from the region and drier air advects in from the west. Any minor accumulations (a tenth or two) will be confined to far north-central WI. The cyclonic flow will also keep some clouds over the far north through the day, with more sunshine as you head south. Mid and high clouds will increase from the southwest on Friday as the next system approaches.
Winds / Wind Chills / Temps:
Limited to no CAA overnight and slowly decreasing winds aloft kept gusts to under 20 mph for most of the night. Winds chills in the single digits and teens are expected this morning. Winds will begin to pick up again this morning as mixing increases after sunset. But winds aloft will be weaker today, generally between 20-25 kts. This will hold surface gusts to between 15-25 mph, with a few gusts to 30 mph possible, mainly in east-central WI.
As the surface ridge builds over the area tonight, winds will become light. Southeast winds will slowly pick up during the day on Friday.
Temps will moderate back closer to normal today as the coldest air exits to the east and as weak WAA pushes in from the west. Highs look to be in the 30s across central and north-central WI, and in the low to possibly mid 40s across eastern WI. Lows tonight will drop mainly into the teens and 20s. Continued WAA will allow for temps on Friday to climb into the mid 40s and low 50s, slightly above normal for the end of March. Onshore winds will keep cooler readings near Lake Michigan.
Long Term...Friday Night Through Wednesday
Main concerns for the extended remain on two rounds of wintry precip that are set to impact the forecast area: the first arriving Friday evening and the second arriving Sunday evening.
Confidence is increasing in potential for frozen precip accompanied by some ice accumulation across northeast Wisconsin Saturday morning. There is still some uncertainty in the track of the early week system and hence where precip will set up.
Weekend precip chances... A mid-level shortwave will spin up a surface low across eastern Iowa on the nose of an upper-level jet Saturday morning. The warm sector to our south will come pre- conditioned with deep Gulf moisture which will briefly make its way up into southern Wisconsin. Light precip will begin to lift north across Wisconsin Friday evening out ahead of this warmer air. Precip will likely start as rain south of Highway 29 where surface to 800 mb temperatures remain above freezing. The question remains how far north this warmer air will extend and where the transition from rain to freezing rain will occur. Most medium- range models (NAM and RAP-ext) are showing a strong signal for a warm nose from ~850 to 750 mb with surface temperatures at or below freezing. This type of thermal profile would support periods of moderate freezing rain or even ice pellets mixing in across central to northeast Wisconsin. Whether or not we see ice pellets or sleet depends on how deep the near-surface freezing layer gets and if it will be sufficient to re-freeze precip. Overall, precip type remains a hindrance to the forecast. The recent suite of model runs now seem to be targeting northern Wisconsin, specifically near/along the UP border, for highest QPF amounts of ~0.2 to 0.4". Overall forecast confidence remains low to medium for this event.
Early week precip chances... Active weather will continue into the beginning of the week as another system brings a second round of wintry precip to the region. A robust trough crossing from the west coast to the Rockies will generate a Colorado low that will track northeast into the Great Lakes. The path of this low is still pretty variable, although recent model guidance is hinting at a more southerly track that would keep the warm sector as well as the bulk of the moisture to our south. Rain and snow both look to be possible with this system, although amounts and accumulations are still uncertain. The influence of Hudson Bay high pressure to the north also suggests that there could be a sharp cutoff in the northern extent of precip across the CWA Lake enhancement would also be possible on the back end of the departing low as winds back to northerly and a cold air advection regime settles in. Regardless, changes to the forecast are still ongoing at this stage.
AVIATION
for 12Z TAF Issuance Issued at 652 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A lingering flurry is possible near the MI border this morning.
Otherwise, look for dry conditions through the TAF period. A few MVFR ceilings are possible at times, mainly across north-central WI (RHI) as some model guidance wants to develop a high-end MVFR cloud deck later today into this evening, but confidence too low to include. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected. West winds will gust to around 20 kts today, then winds will become light tonight.
GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Green Bay WI 652 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Updated aviation portion for 12Z TAF issuance
KEY MESSAGES
- Winds chills in the single digits and teens this morning. Highs moderate closer to normal today, then slightly above normal on Friday.
- A fast moving shortwave will bring a wintry mix to the forecast area Friday evening through Saturday morning. Confidence is increasing in potential for frozen precip with minor ice and/or snow accumulations across central and northern Wisconsin.
- Another round of wintry precip is possible early next week, although the track and timing for this system is still uncertain.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 337 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Short Term
Today
Tonight...and Friday
Precip / Clouds:
Cyclonic flow across the western Great Lakes has keep low/mid and high clouds (with some breaks as well) and lingering light snow showers/flurries around much of the night, with the most persistent snow showers across northern WI. The light snow activity will wane through the morning hours as low pressure pushes away from the region and drier air advects in from the west. Any minor accumulations (a tenth or two) will be confined to far north-central WI. The cyclonic flow will also keep some clouds over the far north through the day, with more sunshine as you head south. Mid and high clouds will increase from the southwest on Friday as the next system approaches.
Winds / Wind Chills / Temps:
Limited to no CAA overnight and slowly decreasing winds aloft kept gusts to under 20 mph for most of the night. Winds chills in the single digits and teens are expected this morning. Winds will begin to pick up again this morning as mixing increases after sunset. But winds aloft will be weaker today, generally between 20-25 kts. This will hold surface gusts to between 15-25 mph, with a few gusts to 30 mph possible, mainly in east-central WI.
As the surface ridge builds over the area tonight, winds will become light. Southeast winds will slowly pick up during the day on Friday.
Temps will moderate back closer to normal today as the coldest air exits to the east and as weak WAA pushes in from the west. Highs look to be in the 30s across central and north-central WI, and in the low to possibly mid 40s across eastern WI. Lows tonight will drop mainly into the teens and 20s. Continued WAA will allow for temps on Friday to climb into the mid 40s and low 50s, slightly above normal for the end of March. Onshore winds will keep cooler readings near Lake Michigan.
Long Term...Friday Night Through Wednesday
Main concerns for the extended remain on two rounds of wintry precip that are set to impact the forecast area: the first arriving Friday evening and the second arriving Sunday evening.
Confidence is increasing in potential for frozen precip accompanied by some ice accumulation across northeast Wisconsin Saturday morning. There is still some uncertainty in the track of the early week system and hence where precip will set up.
Weekend precip chances... A mid-level shortwave will spin up a surface low across eastern Iowa on the nose of an upper-level jet Saturday morning. The warm sector to our south will come pre- conditioned with deep Gulf moisture which will briefly make its way up into southern Wisconsin. Light precip will begin to lift north across Wisconsin Friday evening out ahead of this warmer air. Precip will likely start as rain south of Highway 29 where surface to 800 mb temperatures remain above freezing. The question remains how far north this warmer air will extend and where the transition from rain to freezing rain will occur. Most medium- range models (NAM and RAP-ext) are showing a strong signal for a warm nose from ~850 to 750 mb with surface temperatures at or below freezing. This type of thermal profile would support periods of moderate freezing rain or even ice pellets mixing in across central to northeast Wisconsin. Whether or not we see ice pellets or sleet depends on how deep the near-surface freezing layer gets and if it will be sufficient to re-freeze precip. Overall, precip type remains a hindrance to the forecast. The recent suite of model runs now seem to be targeting northern Wisconsin, specifically near/along the UP border, for highest QPF amounts of ~0.2 to 0.4". Overall forecast confidence remains low to medium for this event.
Early week precip chances... Active weather will continue into the beginning of the week as another system brings a second round of wintry precip to the region. A robust trough crossing from the west coast to the Rockies will generate a Colorado low that will track northeast into the Great Lakes. The path of this low is still pretty variable, although recent model guidance is hinting at a more southerly track that would keep the warm sector as well as the bulk of the moisture to our south. Rain and snow both look to be possible with this system, although amounts and accumulations are still uncertain. The influence of Hudson Bay high pressure to the north also suggests that there could be a sharp cutoff in the northern extent of precip across the CWA Lake enhancement would also be possible on the back end of the departing low as winds back to northerly and a cold air advection regime settles in. Regardless, changes to the forecast are still ongoing at this stage.
AVIATION
for 12Z TAF Issuance Issued at 652 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A lingering flurry is possible near the MI border this morning.
Otherwise, look for dry conditions through the TAF period. A few MVFR ceilings are possible at times, mainly across north-central WI (RHI) as some model guidance wants to develop a high-end MVFR cloud deck later today into this evening, but confidence too low to include. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected. West winds will gust to around 20 kts today, then winds will become light tonight.
GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KPCZ WAUPACA MUNI,WI | 9 sm | 29 min | WSW 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 27°F | 14°F | 59% | 30.07 | |
KATW APPLETON INTL,WI | 19 sm | 39 min | WSW 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 27°F | 16°F | 63% | 30.06 |
Green Bay, WI,
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