NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 1149 Am Est Thu Nov 30 2023
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday afternoon...
This afternoon..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with a few gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft, building to 6 to 9 ft after midnight.
Fri..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft, subsiding to 4 to 6 ft in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the evening.
Sat..NE winds around 5 kt, increasing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..NE winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain after midnight.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. A chance of rain through the day, then rain likely through the night.
Mon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N in the afternoon and evening, then increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Rain likely, then a chance of rain and snow showers after midnight.

ANZ005 1149 Am Est Thu Nov 30 2023
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. A warm front will lift N of the region today. A frontal boundary will approach the waters Fri then cross the waters Fri night. High pres will build across the region Sat. Low pres will cross the region Sun into Mon.

FXUS61 KCAR 301703 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1203 PM EST Thu Nov 30 2023

SYNOPSIS
A warm front will lift north of the region today. A cold front will stall over the area on Friday and remain over the weekend.
Low pressure approaches the region Sunday and moves south of the area on Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Update...
A warm front is lifting north of the region, while an upper level disturbance is exiting across the Maritimes, this afternoon. An isolated snow shower is possible across northern Aroostook county this afternoon. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies north this afternoon with partly/mostly sunny skies Downeast. High temperatures will range from around 30 to the lower 30s north, to the mid to upper 30s interior Downeast with around 40 to the lower 40s along the Downeast coast. Have updated to adjust for current conditions along with expected afternoon temperatures, clouds and snow shower chances.

Previous Discussion...
By tonight, the leading edge of the front will move into the northwest. Vorticity model show the vort max moving across the north around midnight, bring some early scattered snow showers to the North Woods. In addition, S winds will increase across the region ahead of the front, which will help keep temps in the upper 20s in the north and low 30s in the south, with the coast seeing 40.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Friday will be the warmest day in the forecast with highs in the 40s, to include upper 40s towards Bangor and Downeast. A weak northern stream cold front moves into the area and stalls by evening. There will be nominal cold air advection.

A shortwave propagating along the stalled boundary will cross the area on Friday night. The front will cause a wide variety of temperatures on Friday night, ranging from upper 30s on the coast to lower 20 in northwest Aroostook County. Most of the precip will be in the form of rain. The trend in the past 24 hours has been for a bit more QPF and the front is stalling a bit further north. That means warmer lows in the north and the threat of light snow is a bit further north...from Piscataquis County towards southern Aroostook County. In this corridor, an inch of snow is possible. Further south of the front, the low level moisture should be sufficient for patchy fog and a veneer of low stratus clouds.

The front remains stalled across central portions of the forecast area on Saturday with cloudy conditions and cooler temperatures. There will be additional shortwaves moving towards the area in a fast southwesterly upper flow. These shortwaves could produce another inch of snow across northern Piscataquis and Aroostook counties on Saturday. On Saturday night, a sprawling surface high across northern Quebec noses southward into the area with cold air damming setting up.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
While cold air damming sets up on Sunday as the high noses south, there are signs of some baroclinicity setting up and another fast-moving shortwave racing across northern Maine on Sunday. the GFS, GEMS and ECMWF have been showing this feature for the past couple of days. At this point, the expectation is for light snow for northern zones and light rain for Bangor and Downeast.

The forecast for Sunday night and Monday remains a bit of mess in the deterministic models, but it will certainly be a very dynamic situation. The commonalities between the models and ensemble means are a large high pressure system anchored in Quebec, a surface low developing/tracking south of the forecast area on Sunday night into Monday, and colder air arriving behind the system Monday night. While the evolution of surface and even H5 features differs from model to model and run to run, there is higher confidence in a very powerful H3 jet racing south of the area on Monday with the LFQ grazing the area. How the surface low tracks and deepens will be key to snow distributions on Monday. In general, most guidance still favors higher snow totals in northern zones where the cold air will be entrenched. However, if a strong surface low develops south of the Gulf of Maine, cold air will be drawn southward towards the coast with rain changing to snow all the way to the coast.
Winter headlines are certainly a strong consideration for Sunday night and Monday. Exact amounts/distributions remain problematic.

Guidance generally agrees that the system exits the area Monday night and Tuesday with cold air advection, snow showers and gusty north winds developing. Temperature forecasts for Monday night into Wednesday have trended downward. Wind chills will drop off to the teens on Tuesday and depending on how the high sets up by midweek, some subzero nighttime temps may be on tap for northern zones.

AVIATION /17Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
NEAR TERM: VFR/MVFR north this afternoon with isolated snow showers possible. Otherwise, VFR across the region this afternoon. VFR/MVFR north tonight with isolated/scattered snow showers. VFR Downeast tonight. South/southwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots this afternoon.
South/southwest winds 5 to 10 knots tonight. Low level wind shear possible tonight.

SHORT TERM: Friday...MVFR north of PQI, otherwise VFR. Light winds.

Friday night and Saturday...Becoming IFR due to cigs and some snow for locations north of GNR and HUL. Trend will be to MVFR cigs for all sites Saturday afternoon. Light winds.

Saturday night and Sunday...Predominately MVFR tempo IFR cigs and light winds. Chance of vis reductions in snow from GNR/MLT/HUL northward.

Sunday night into Monday...Mostly IFR due to cigs and vis in snow. North winds 10 to 15 kt.

MARINE
NEAR TERM: A Small Craft Advisory is in effect this afternoon through tonight for much of the waters, with the exception of the intra-coastal waters. On the intra-coastal waters, a Small Craft Advisory will start tonight.

SHORT TERM: An SCA will be in place Friday morning. Fairly quiet conditions for December are expected for the weekend. Another SCA is expected Monday into Tuesday night. Cannot rule out a period of gale conditions depending on how a low pressure system develops during this time.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Friday for ANZ050-051.
Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday for ANZ052.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Corea Harbor
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:20 AM EST     10.23 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:13 AM EST     1.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:13 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 12:20 PM EST     11.59 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:54 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:55 PM EST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Corea Harbor, Maine, Tide feet

Green Island
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:17 AM EST     10.31 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:09 AM EST     1.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:13 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 12:17 PM EST     11.69 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:53 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:51 PM EST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Green Island, Petit Manan Bar, Maine, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Caribou, ME,