South Burlington, VT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for South Burlington, VT

June 15, 2024 12:38 AM EDT (04:38 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:05 AM   Sunset 8:41 PM
Moonrise 2:17 PM   Moonset 1:32 AM 
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Burlington, VT
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Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 1041 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

A gorgeous weekend is in store with high temperatures in the 60s and 70s and low humidity. This will be short-lived as a long-duration heat event moves in next week. Combined with high humidity, it will cause heat indexes to approach 100 degrees. Warm overnight lows will prevent any nighttime relief so heat related impacts will occur.

As of 1041 PM EDT Friday...Main change with this update was to adjust sky cover through the rest of the night, with skies going clear from northwest to southeast where they currently are overcast. Satellite imagery is suggesting that while post- frontal shallow clouds may develop for a short time, the story overnight will be clearing skies and advection of refreshing air. Gusts are developing upstream near Montreal with the push of drier air. A few piddly showers have developing over the last hour or two across Vermont amidst some upper level divergence, a moist 850-700 millibar level, and steeper lapse rates below.
Think this activity will fade away/exit to the east in the next hour or so as the trough axis slides eastward.

Previous Discussion...A couple showers will develop later this afternoon in southern Vermont and there is the chance of an isolated severe storm. However, shower development has been unimpressive this afternoon so far and the coverage will likely be more limited than previously expected. The cold front responsible for these showers is currently tracking its way southeast and it should be out of the region this evening.
Cooler and drier weather will move in behind this front.
Therefore, lows should fall into the 40s and 50s tonight. Some boundary layer winds will continue so any fog formation is unlikely. Skies will clear out tonight and the day tomorrow should be be basically cloudless. Highs will be in the 60s and low 70s with low humidity. Winds will go calm tomorrow night and this will lead to efficient radiational cooling. Temperatures will fall into the 40s across the region but they should fall into the mid to upper 30s in the coldest hollows of the Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom. Enjoy the cooler weather because a long- duration heat event will occur next week.

As of 318 PM EDT Friday...We've arranged a great day for all the Fathers in our CWA Sunday. QPF forecasts are calling for no more than trace in Northern New York. It's possible we might see a stray cloudburst, as shown with our widespread 10-15% pops. Temperatures will be pleasant as well with valley locations reaching into the mid to upper 70s. This should all provide for a wonderful weekend prior to the heat building in starting Monday.

As of 318 PM EDT Friday...A strong heat dome will build in next week, bringing the most severe heat wave to hit Vermont and Northern New York in a few years. Models are in good agreement that 500mb heights will approach 600Dm allowing temperatures to soar into the mid-80s by Monday and the mid-90s Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. At this point, we can't rule out reaching triple digits one of these days.
On the other hand, there are model solutions that show the development of ridge runner thunderstorms developing which would of course increase cloud cover and decrease temperatures. With that said, even if our temperatures underperform the forecast we will still experience a major heat event. Using our experimental Heat Risk products, almost our entire CWA is reaching Major or Extreme risk from Tuesday through Thursday. Please take time this weekend to prepare for the threat by rescheduling outdoor activities, locating cooling centers, ensuring you have a hydration plan.

Through 00Z Sunday...VFR conditions will persist through the period. A secondary front behind the cold front that has already passed through may lead to a brief increase in cloud cover and winds in the 02Z to 04Z period, with a few 25 knot gusts possible at BTV. Otherwise, few or no clouds is expected to be largely the rule along with breezy north/northwest winds gusting 20 to 25 knots from about 09Z through the daytime hours on Saturday. Winds will diminish towards sunset.


Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Monday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

Hot temperatures will result in values near records by the middle of next week. Below are some of the records under threat of being broken.

Record High Temperatures:

June 18: KMPV: 93/1994 Forecast 92

June 19: KPBG: 93/2001 Forecast 93 KMSS: 94/1955 Forecast 94 KSLK: 93/1994 Forecast 92 KMPV: 95/1995 Forecast 94

June 20: KBTV: 95/2012 Forecast 97 KMPV: 90/2020 Forecast 93 KMSS: 92/2012 Forecast 91 KPBG: 94/1964 Forecast 92

Record Low Temperatures:

June 16: KSLK: 32/2020 Forecast 34

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

June 19: KPBG: 70/1949 Forecast 69

June 20: KPBG: 70/1953 Forecast 70 KSLK: 68/2012 Forecast 64


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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBTV BURLINGTON INTL,VT 6 sm44 minNNW 14G2210 smOvercast66°F52°F60%29.94
KPBG PLATTSBURGH INTL,NY 19 sm45 minNNW 1210 smMostly Cloudy63°F48°F59%29.95
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Burlington, VT,

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