Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ellsworth, ME

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Update...
A few showers continue to rotate out of New Brunswick province into northern Maine. As low pressure continues to move away from the region today any lingering showers will diminish. Just tweaked temps/dew point slightly, otherwise no other changes.

previous discussion Surface and upper level low pressure will continue to exit to the east of Nova Scotia today. Any lingering early morning showers will diminish, as higher pressure and drier air begins to build in. Mainly cloudy skies are expected today but some breaks in the clouds are possible by afternoon. North to northeast flow will continue, keeping afternoon highs below normal for the date. Highs are only expected to be in the lower to mid 50s. High pressure will continue to build in from the north tonight with mostly to partly cloudy skies expected. Lows will range from the upper 30s across the north to the lower 40s for the Bangor region and Downeast.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
High pressure to our north nudging south across the area will bring a dry day on Wednesday. However, moisture lingering in the lowest mile of the atmosphere will result in varying amounts of stratocumulus clouds with just a few breaks of sunshine. Highs in the mid to upper 50s will be running around 10 degrees below normal.
A partly to mostly cloudy, dry and chilly night will follow Wednesday night with lows from the upper 30s to near 40.

High pressure to our northeast over Labrador will maintain dry and cool, but mostly cloudy conditions on Thursday. Our focus then turns to a new low pressure system developing along the Mid-Atlantic coast supported by a jet rounding the bottom of a trough centered over the Great Lakes. This low will slowly intensify and track toward Southern New England Thursday night spreading rain from south to north across our area. The developing low contrasting with high pressure well to our north will bring an increasing east to northeasterly wind across the region with the strongest winds along the coast.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Low pressure will continue slowly tracking north up to the Maine coast on Friday as it begins to occlude and gradually weaken.
Occasional rain and a chilly northeast wind will continue Friday.
The rain will diminish to showers and drizzle Friday night into Saturday as the low continues to weaken and track toward the Maritimes.

Low pressure will continue moving away to the east across the Maritimes and slowly weakening on Sunday. Wrap around moisture will maintain lots of clouds with scattered showers continuing.
Sunday will remain cool but not as chilly as previous days with highs around 60 inland.

A weak ridge of high pressure will gradually build over the area Monday bringing partial sunshine and inland highs in the mid to upper 60s.

As we go into midweek next week, a weak upper trough will linger over the northeast possibly supported by yet another low off the Mid Atlantic coast. This could bring more rain Wednesday night into Thursday as this new low tracks off our coast and a new shortwave lifts out of the trough toward our region.

AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
NEAR TERM: MVFR conditions will persist this morning before giving way to VFR this afternoon and tonight. N to NE wind 10 to 15 kt through tonight.

SHORT TERM: Wednesday, MVFR, possibly improving to VFR over the south. Light NE wind.

Wednesday night, MVFR north. VFR south. Light NE wind.

Thursday...VFR to MVFR north. MVFR south. Increasing E wind.

Thursday night...IFR south. MVFR dropping to IFR north. East wind.

Friday...IFR. E to NE wind.

Friday night...IFR. NE wind.

Saturday...IFR. N wind.

MARINE
NEAR TERM: A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the outer waters through tonight. A few gusts up to 25 kt will be possible for the intra coastal waters today as well.

SHORT TERM: A SCA is likely Thursday night into Friday from northeast winds around low pressure approaching the coast. Seas could build up to 8 ft in response to the winds. The winds and seas should be below SCA for the remainder of the week.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ050-051.