Monday, August26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Machias, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:48AMSunset 7:25PM Monday August 26, 2019 3:47 AM EDT (07:47 UTC) Moonrise 12:59AMMoonset 4:47PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 1240 Am Edt Mon Aug 26 2019
Rest of tonight..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon and evening, then becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
ANZ005 1240 Am Edt Mon Aug 26 2019
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pressure will remain across the region into Wednesday. A cold front will move through Thursday followed by high pressure Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Machias, ME
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location: 44.62, -67.75     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 260447
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1247 am edt Mon aug 26 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will remain across the region into Wednesday. A
cold front will cross the region Thursday with high pressure
building in Friday.

Near term through today
1245am update: river valley and lake steam fog will occur again
through sunrise. For Monday, some cirrus will back in from the
east with the developing storm system south of nova scotia.

Slight warm advection will be cancelled by the high clouds in
terms of today's high temp forecast. Thus, the map looks similar
to yesterday... Except a bit cooler in washington county due to
a flow from the bay of fundy. The high clouds will tend to
become thicker in the afternoon into the evening... And persist
into Monday night. As a result, raised Monday night lows and cut
out mention of patchy fog.

Orgnl disc: strong high pressure overhead this afternoon with
light winds, dry air, seasonal temperatures, and barely a cloud
thanks to strong subsidence. Good radiational cooling expected
again tonight with high pressure persisting. Not quite as cool
in the north due to a slight moderation in the airmass, but as
cool or perhaps a touch cooler downeast because the center of
the high pressure is building south a bit tonight toward
downeast. Expect patchy fog again tonight, mainly in river
valleys and near lakes.

For Monday, surface high pressure persists, just migrating a bit
sw to SW maine. Again, look for low humidity and highs in the
low to mid 70s. However, looking for more clouds Monday than
Sunday due to a strong low pressure system passing east of us
from south to north through the canadian maritimes. A lot of
uncertainty still with the track of the low. Worst case
(furthest west) scenario would bring up to a quarter inch of
rain in eastport. Operational GFS is close to this solution.

However, GFS is an outlier and vast majority of models keep rain
easily east of the maine new brunswick border. Introduced just
a slight chance of rain for eastport with no pops elsewhere. Do
believe the low in the canadian maritimes will at least send a
shield of high clouds west into at least the eastern half of the
forecast area, and adjusted sky forecast up a bit to account
for this.

Short term tonight through Wednesday
No significant weather is expected during this period with
surface ridging in control. Monday night will be another cool
night although it will trend up a few degrees due to the
increased cloud cover from the canadian maritime low. Cloud
cover will decrease during the overnight hours from west to east
as the low pulls off to the east. Another nice day on Tuesday
as a 500mb shortwave ridge axis crests over the region with
mostly clear skies and temperatures running a good 5 to 8
degrees above normal. Warming trend continues Tuesday night into
Wednesday with lows mostly in the 50s as heights continue to
rise. Southerly return flow is expected by Wednesday as a weak
pre-frontal trough approaches from quebec province. The forecast
challenge during this period over the last few periods was in
regards to the potential tropical moisture off the atlantic
being advected into the region ahead of the pre- frontal trough.

Confidence is still low with some solutions still having the
potential, but the ECMWF and operational GFS have trended
further east with the moisture plume. This means confidence has
decreased overall.

Long term Wednesday night through Sunday
Period will be dominated by broad cyclonic flow with near normal
temperatures and below average precipitation. Wednesday night
through Thursday the pre-front trough and surface cold front
will push through the state. This will bring a period of showers
with QPF amounts expected to remain below .25" at this time but
this could trend higher depending on the coastal tropical
moisture fetch. Quiet weather on Friday with the potential for
an additional cold front Friday night into Saturday with more
light rain showers. Potential still exists for another shortwave
trough later in the weekend and showers. Every trough and
surface cold front will trend temperatures down a few degrees
with a general cooling pattern from Thursday through Sunday.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
Near term:VFR into the evening with very light winds. Patchy
valley fog late tonight could lead to MVFR or perhaps ifr at taf
sites typically more susceptible to fog... For example kpqi,
khul, and kbgr. Kpqi and khul had the fog Sunday morning, but
not right near kbgr. However, kbgr will have lighter winds
tonight than last night, so believe fog more likely tonight at
kbgr than last night.

Fog dissipates quickly Monday morning, withVFR and light winds
expected during the day Monday.

Short term:VFR conditions expected Monday night through
Wednesday with high pressure firmly in control. Next chance for
MVFR CIGS vis won't be until Thursday as a surface cold front
brings showers to the area.

Marine
Near term: conditions remaining below small craft. Northeast
breeze up to 15 kt today weakens tonight. No fog.

Short term: conditions will remain below small craft during this
period. Confidence has continued to trend down on a tropical
wave moving up the atlantic coast this week. Currently any
tropical development seems very low, thus not expecting any
large swells from an offshore system later this week. High
pressure will be the dominate feature over the coastal waters
until Thursday when a weak cold front approaches.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Vjn
short term... Dumont
long term... Dumont
aviation... Vjn dumont
marine... Vjn dumont


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 29 mi48 min NW 2.9 G 4.1 55°F 57°F1025.9 hPa (-0.6)
CFWM1 - Cutler Farris Wharf, ME (8411060) 29 mi48 min Calm G 1.9 49°F 55°F1025 hPa (-0.5)
44027 33 mi58 min NNE 5.8 G 7.8 56°F 57°F1 ft1025.2 hPa (-0.8)56°F
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 41 mi104 min NNE 7.8 G 9.7 55°F 54°F2 ft1025.7 hPa
PSBM1 - 8410140 - Eastport, ME 45 mi48 min Calm G 1 53°F 55°F1026.2 hPa (-0.0)

Wind History for Cutler Farris Wharf, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME35 mi4.9 hrsN 010.00 miFair54°F53°F97%1027.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBHB

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN3Calm3N5N7NE5E5E643E5E6E5E6E4CalmCalmW4CalmCalmCalmNW3NW3Calm
1 day ago3N4NW4N5N7N13
G21
N13NE10N12N11N7N7NE10N9N6N4CalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmS3W35W6NW5W7W9
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Tide / Current Tables for Addison, Pleasant River, Maine
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Addison
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:35 AM EDT     0.90 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:46 AM EDT     10.80 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:47 PM EDT     1.56 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:46 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:01 PM EDT     12.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.51.112.14.16.6910.510.8108.35.93.521.62.54.57.2101212.712.210.47.8

Tide / Current Tables for Milbridge, Narraguagus River, Maine
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Milbridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:00 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:26 AM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:26 AM EDT     10.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:38 PM EDT     1.48 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:46 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:41 PM EDT     12.16 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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211.12.34.46.99.110.210.19.27.45.131.71.62.74.87.610.211.812.111.29.36.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.