Elberta, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Elberta, MI

June 15, 2024 5:49 AM CDT (10:49 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:05 AM   Sunset 8:37 PM
Moonrise 2:12 PM   Moonset 1:24 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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LMZ346 Manistee To Point Betsie Mi- 343 Am Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Today - Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the morning, then becoming variable 10 knots or less in the afternoon. Sunny early in the morning then becoming partly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.

Tonight - Southeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Slight chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.

Sunday - South wind 10 to 20 knots. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet.

Sunday night - South wind 10 to 15 knots. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
winds and waves higher in the vicinity of Thunderstorms.
see the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.

LMZ300
No data


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elberta, MI
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Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
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FXUS63 KAPX 150947 AFDAPX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 547 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

KEY MESSAGES

- Shower chances return late tonight.

- Increasing potential of dangerous/extreme heat bulding across the region next week. Chances of showers and storms are expected to continue at times through the entirety of the long term forecast period.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 359 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Pattern Synopsis:

Troughing continues to slide east of the Great Lakes and over New England today as ridging works overhead. Subsidence provided at the ridge/trough inflection point will keep building surface high pressure centered over the Great Lakes eastward as well. A weak shortwave lifting across the Midwest later this evening/tonight looks to provide sufficient forcing aloft to support an area of relatively low surface pressure that will trek west of Lake Michigan into Sunday morning.

Forecast Details:

Shower chances return late tonight -- Quiet weather is in store for northern Michigan once again today with high pressure centered overhead, leading to sunny skies through the afternoon. Cloud cover will begin to spread from west to east across the area this evening as the aforementioned shortwave and associated precip lifts across the Midwest. Low confidence exists at this time, but slight chance PoPs are included in tonight's forecast as some showers from this system may work into Michigan overnight and saturate dry profiles sufficiently for some rain to reach the ground before more better rain chances arrive after the period. Otherwise, temperatures look to warm into the upper 70s and low 80s for many areas today with cooler temperatures in the low 70s anticipated across northeast lower and the eastern U.P.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Issued at 359 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Shortwave midlevel troughing over the northeastern CONUS will continue to move downstream while upstream longwave ridging continues to builds across the rest of North America. Attention for the long term period remains next week as aforementioned ridging will drive high temperatures across the Great Lakes region well above normal. Midlevel height disturbances riding along the baroclinic zone will continue chances of showers and storms at times next week potentially impacting the severity of heat across the CWA

Primary Forecast Concerns/Key Messages:

-Increasing potential of dangerous/extreme heat bulding across the region next week. Chances of showers and storms are expected to continue at times through the entirety of the long term forecast period: A well advertised heat wave is set to commence next week at the start of the long term and continue through the entirety of the forecast period. Southwest flow will advect a hot humid air mass from the Gulf and build temperatures into the mid/upper 80s next week, with the warmest days expected to be Monday and Tuesday (with highs potentially reaching well into the 90s). Convection driven by lingering atmospheric moisture and some height disturbances along the aformentioned ridge is expected to develop from time to time this week. The baroclinic zone is expected to remain well to the northwest of the CWA, but convection can still fire off from potential outflow boundaries or lake breezes. Subsequent thunderstorms leave some uncertainty with daytime high temperatures as low level mixing along with cloud cover could inhibit diurnal heating. Nevertheless, the majority of the long term will remain well above normal and uncomfortably warm.

AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 546 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

VFR conditions are anticipated across northern Michigan through the vast majority of the issuance period. Any lingering FG/BR at mbL should diminish shortly after sunrise. Otherwise, mainly light south- southeast winds around 5-10 mph are expected today with the potential for lake breeze formation to push inland this afternoon.
Sunny skies will be in place through this afternoon before clouds begin to spread from west to east across the area this evening and tonight. Slight chances for showers exist later tonight, but too low of confidence exists for inclusion in the TAF at this time.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
MEEM4 - Manistee Harbor, MI 27 mi70 minE 1G1.9 55°F
BSBM4 - Big Sable Point, MI 42 mi70 minE 1.9G5.1 54°F 30.17
LDTM4 - 9087023 - Ludington, MI 48 mi50 minE 4.1G5.1


Wind History for Ludington, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KFKS FRANKFORT DOW MEMORIAL FIELD,MI 3 sm14 mincalm10 smClear48°F45°F87%30.17
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Wind History graph: FKS
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Tide / Current for
   
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Gaylord, MI,




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