Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Little Sturgeon, WI

DISCUSSION
Issued at 1130 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

Dry cold front has largely shifted winds to the west/northwest as it continues to track over Lake Michigan early this afternoon.
As such, surface obs show widespread gusts between 20 and 25 mph, highest along the lakeshore in proximity to the front. Wind shift has likewise resulted in lake-induced stratus deck sinking south into portions of north-central Wisconsin, which should stick around through the overnight period.

Above normal temperatures in the mid to upper 50s persist through Tuesday as warming ridge builds over the Plains. Next frontal passage (more adjacent to a wind shift) then remains on track for late Monday into Tuesday. Cold FROPA looks to move through mostly dry during this time, with ensembles generating light QPF Wednesday into Thursday as upper trough digs down from Manitoba into the Great Lakes. Blend retains 20 to 30% PoPs, mainly concentrated in the lake effect belts. Northerly flow regime will result in cold air core working south into the Great Lakes by the middle to end of the week, with 850 mb temperatures plunging to near -10C. Therefore, potential exists for a few flurries to mix in with light rain at times. Steady stream of CAA paired with closed upper low sitting and spinning over the eastern CONUS may be enough to keep the flurry machine going in Vilas co and along the lakeshore through the end of the work week.

Outlook... Solid signal (50 to 70%) exists for above normal temperatures through at least the end of the month with El Nino driving the synoptic pattern. Additionally, omega ridge looks to set up toward the end of the week, which should result in a prolonged period of dry weather to accompany the mild conditions.
With D4 drought in far northern Wisconsin, will have to monitor for fire weather concerns over the next several weeks.

AVIATION
for 18Z TAF Issuance Issued at 1115 AM CST Sun Nov 8 2026

MVFR stratus originating from Lake Superior has continued to sink south throughout the morning, and is progged to make it down to RHI within the next hour or two. Lake effect clouds should then lift back to the north overnight, to be replaced by increasing mid clouds that stick around for the remainder of the TAF period.

Winds have been quick to pick up behind the cold front this morning, with obs showing gusts to at least 20 knots across all terminals. Daytime mixing should increase gusts into the 25 to 30 knot range through the afternoon, before northwest winds eventually subside after sunset.

GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.