Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Crystal Downs Country Club, MI
 | Sunrise 6:11 AM Sunset 7:31 PM Moonrise 3:58 AM Moonset 1:59 PM |
Marine Forecasts
NOTE: Zones were updated 3/20/2025. If your report is out of date, please click Edit
LMZ364 Expires:202604130930;;272422 Fzus63 Kmkx 130201 Glflm
open lake forecast for lake michigan national weather service milwaukee/sullivan wi 901 pm cdt Sun apr 12 2026
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan.
waves are provided as a range of significant wave heights, which is the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave, along with the average height of the highest 10% of the waves which will occasionally be encountered.
Synopsis -
a broad area of low pressure around 29.4 inches from western lake superior to southern hudson bay, becoming deeper over southern hudson bay tonight. This will bring breezy south winds to all of lake michigan, but with gales developing over the north third this evening into early Monday morning. A gale warning is in effect.
winds will weaken later Monday morning as the low quickly moves away and the trailing cold front stalls over central lake michigan. Then, a couple passing low pressure system along the stalled front will lead to intermittent showers and Thunderstorms through the middle of the week. Areas of dense fog will likely occur at times due to a relatively mild and humid airmass over the cold waters.
lmz261-362-364-366-563-565-130930- lake michigan from seul choix point to rock island passage 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan south of a line from seul choix point to the mackinac bridge and north of a line from charlevoix mi to south fox island 5 nm offshore- lake michigan from charlevoix to point betsie mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from point betsie to manistee mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from rock island passage to sturgeon bay wi- lake michigan from sturgeon bay to two rivers wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- 901 pm cdt Sun apr 12 2026
two rivers wi to manistee mi north - .
.gale warning in effect until 3 am cdt Monday - .
Rest of tonight - South winds to 30 kt becoming southwest gales to 35 kt. Areas of fog. Scattered rain showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms through early evening, then scattered rain showers overnight. Waves 8 to 11 ft occasionally to 14 ft building to 8 to 12 ft occasionally to 16 ft, then subsiding to 8 to 11 ft occasionally to 14 ft.
Monday - West winds 20 to 25 kt diminishing to 10 to 20 kt late in the morning, then veering to north 10 to 15 kt early in the afternoon veering to east 10 to 20 kt late. Patchy fog in the morning. Waves 6 to 9 ft occasionally to 12 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft.
Monday night - East winds 10 to 20 kt becoming southeast. Rain showers with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 ft building to 3 to 5 ft.
Tuesday - Southwest winds 10 to 20 kt becoming south 10 to 15 kt. Chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 5 ft.
Tuesday night - Northeast winds 10 to 15 kt becoming north 10 to 20 kt. Chance of rain showers. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Wednesday - Northeast winds 10 to 20 kt diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Chance of rain showers. Waves 1 to 3 ft.
Wednesday night - East winds 10 to 20 kt. Rain showers likely. Waves 2 to 4 ft building to 4 to 6 ft occasionally to 8 ft.
Thursday - South winds 10 to 20 kt becoming southwest. Chance of rain showers. Waves 4 to 6 ft occasionally to 8 ft.
Friday - Southeast winds 10 to 20 kt becoming south. Waves 3 to 5 ft building to 4 to 7 ft occasionally to 9 ft.
open lake forecast for lake michigan national weather service milwaukee/sullivan wi 901 pm cdt Sun apr 12 2026
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan.
waves are provided as a range of significant wave heights, which is the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave, along with the average height of the highest 10% of the waves which will occasionally be encountered.
a broad area of low pressure around 29.4 inches from western lake superior to southern hudson bay, becoming deeper over southern hudson bay tonight. This will bring breezy south winds to all of lake michigan, but with gales developing over the north third this evening into early Monday morning. A gale warning is in effect.
winds will weaken later Monday morning as the low quickly moves away and the trailing cold front stalls over central lake michigan. Then, a couple passing low pressure system along the stalled front will lead to intermittent showers and Thunderstorms through the middle of the week. Areas of dense fog will likely occur at times due to a relatively mild and humid airmass over the cold waters.
lmz261-362-364-366-563-565-130930- lake michigan from seul choix point to rock island passage 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan south of a line from seul choix point to the mackinac bridge and north of a line from charlevoix mi to south fox island 5 nm offshore- lake michigan from charlevoix to point betsie mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from point betsie to manistee mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from rock island passage to sturgeon bay wi- lake michigan from sturgeon bay to two rivers wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- 901 pm cdt Sun apr 12 2026
two rivers wi to manistee mi north - .
LMZ300
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Crystal Downs Country Club, MI
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS63 KAPX 122326 AFDAPX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 726 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- Flooding concerns through at least midweek, particularly across eastern upper and far northern lower Michigan where snowpack meltoff may agitate already elevated water levels.
- Rain and thunder, heavy at times, to continue overspreading the region and lasting through tonight.
- Another round of showers and thunderstorms Monday night into Tuesday. Heavy rain possible again. Potential for severe thunderstorms later Monday night and again Tuesday.
- Above normal temperatures through the week, trending back below normal next weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 353 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Pattern Synopsis: The majority of the forecast period continues to be dominated by a relatively shallow trof west/ridge east configuration across much of North America. The flow is split at times, though when this occurs forecast area is still under the influence of the warmer southern branch. The southwesterly upstream flow this week will transport an unseasonably moist air mass into the area, with embedded disturbances bringing periodic chances of showers and some thunderstorms.
Forecast Details: Impressive rainfall has been falling across much of northern Lower Michigan for most of the day and continues at this hour. Water vapor imagery shows a good tropical connection of moisture streaming up from the Gulf in deep southerly flow.
Precipitable water values over the area are an unseasonably moist 1.5" or so. There should be a brief lull in the heavier rainfall this evening as a disturbance departs the area, but an MCV moving out of the Mid-Mississippi Valley will be quickly on its heels tonight.
A bigger lull in the shower/storm risk is anticipated for most of Monday/Monday evening as short wave ridging builds across the area.
Intense convection is expected to develop over the upper Midwest late Monday, moving across the forecast area in a weaker state after midnight Monday night/early Tuesday. That being said, significant elevated instability will have stronger storms capable of producing severe hail. This convection will likely push a stalled southwest/northeast oriented frontal boundary southeast into Lower Michigan which will serve as a focus for additional convection later Wednesday into Thursday.
Another break in the rainfall threat is anticipated Thursday night into Friday. The next disturbance arrives by Saturday with a renewed risk for widespread rainfall.
Expanded Flood Watch to encompass the entire forecast area into Wednesday morning. This is to account for the rain that has just fallen as well as what is expected into midweek. There have already been reports of localized flooding and river/stream levels are notably rising across much of the area.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 722 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
More MVFR to IFR conditions expected tonight under low cigs and areas of mist. Another round of showers will spread across most northern lower Michigan taf locations this evening, with these showers ending later tonight into Monday morning. Some improvement Monday afternoon as cigs rise and scatter out.
Winds, at times gusty, will steadily veer to southwest tonight, with west to southwest winds continuing Monday. Low level wind shear will continue through the early overnight.
APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for MIZ016>018-020>036- 041-042-086>088-095-096-099.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Monday for LHZ345>349.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Monday for LMZ323-341-342- 344>346.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Monday for LSZ321-322.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 726 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- Flooding concerns through at least midweek, particularly across eastern upper and far northern lower Michigan where snowpack meltoff may agitate already elevated water levels.
- Rain and thunder, heavy at times, to continue overspreading the region and lasting through tonight.
- Another round of showers and thunderstorms Monday night into Tuesday. Heavy rain possible again. Potential for severe thunderstorms later Monday night and again Tuesday.
- Above normal temperatures through the week, trending back below normal next weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 353 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
Pattern Synopsis: The majority of the forecast period continues to be dominated by a relatively shallow trof west/ridge east configuration across much of North America. The flow is split at times, though when this occurs forecast area is still under the influence of the warmer southern branch. The southwesterly upstream flow this week will transport an unseasonably moist air mass into the area, with embedded disturbances bringing periodic chances of showers and some thunderstorms.
Forecast Details: Impressive rainfall has been falling across much of northern Lower Michigan for most of the day and continues at this hour. Water vapor imagery shows a good tropical connection of moisture streaming up from the Gulf in deep southerly flow.
Precipitable water values over the area are an unseasonably moist 1.5" or so. There should be a brief lull in the heavier rainfall this evening as a disturbance departs the area, but an MCV moving out of the Mid-Mississippi Valley will be quickly on its heels tonight.
A bigger lull in the shower/storm risk is anticipated for most of Monday/Monday evening as short wave ridging builds across the area.
Intense convection is expected to develop over the upper Midwest late Monday, moving across the forecast area in a weaker state after midnight Monday night/early Tuesday. That being said, significant elevated instability will have stronger storms capable of producing severe hail. This convection will likely push a stalled southwest/northeast oriented frontal boundary southeast into Lower Michigan which will serve as a focus for additional convection later Wednesday into Thursday.
Another break in the rainfall threat is anticipated Thursday night into Friday. The next disturbance arrives by Saturday with a renewed risk for widespread rainfall.
Expanded Flood Watch to encompass the entire forecast area into Wednesday morning. This is to account for the rain that has just fallen as well as what is expected into midweek. There have already been reports of localized flooding and river/stream levels are notably rising across much of the area.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 722 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2026
More MVFR to IFR conditions expected tonight under low cigs and areas of mist. Another round of showers will spread across most northern lower Michigan taf locations this evening, with these showers ending later tonight into Monday morning. Some improvement Monday afternoon as cigs rise and scatter out.
Winds, at times gusty, will steadily veer to southwest tonight, with west to southwest winds continuing Monday. Low level wind shear will continue through the early overnight.
APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for MIZ016>018-020>036- 041-042-086>088-095-096-099.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Monday for LHZ345>349.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Monday for LMZ323-341-342- 344>346.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Monday for LSZ321-322.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| NPDW3 - Northport Pier at Death's Door WI | 34 mi | 85 min | 29.63 | |||||
| FPTM4 - Fairport, MI | 46 mi | 45 min | SSE 19G | 53°F |
Wind History for Menominee, MI
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