Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Dallas, OR
March 28, 2024 2:40 AM PDT (09:40 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:56 AM Sunset 7:36 PM Moonrise 10:39 PM Moonset 7:14 AM |
PZZ255 Coastal Waters From Cascade Head To Florence Or Out 10 Nm- 847 Am Pdt Tue Sep 13 2022
.dense fog advisory in effect until 10 pm pdt this evening - .
Rest of today - SW wind to 5 kt. Wind waves sw 1 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 2 ft at 9 seconds. Widespread dense fog and a chance of showers in the morning, then areas of dense fog in the afternoon.
Tonight - N wind to 5 kt. Wind waves N 1 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 3 ft at 9 seconds. Areas of dense fog in the evening. Patchy dense fog after midnight.
Wed - N wind 5 kt. Wind waves N 1 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy dense fog in the morning.
Wed night - NW wind 5 kt. Wind waves W 1 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 3 ft at 9 seconds.
Thu - SE wind 5 kt, veering to W in the afternoon. Wind waves se 1 ft at 4 seconds, shifting to the W at 4 seconds in the afternoon. NW swell 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Thu night - N wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves N 1 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 3 ft at 10 seconds.
Fri - N wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. NW swell 3 ft.
Sat - NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. NW swell 4 ft.
PZZ200 224 Pm Pdt Wed Mar 27 2024
Synopsis for the southern washington and northern oregon coast - A sub-980mb low pressure currently spinning off vancouver island will slowly shift towards the pacific northwest while simultaneously weakening through late Thursday. This low pressure will still bring gusty winds and large seas to the waters through Thursday night. A more summer-like gusty northerly wind pattern develops over the weekend.
Area Discussion for - Portland, OR
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FXUS66 KPQR 280500 AFDPQR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Portland OR 1000 PM PDT Wed Mar 27 2024
SYNOPSIS
Post-frontal showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms continuing through Thursday evening as a low pressure system spins offshore. Conditions begin to improve on Friday, with high pressure bringing another period of warm and dry weather this weekend into early next week.
SHORT TERM
Now through Friday Night...Satellite imagery shows a well defined 980mb low over the NE Pacific and frontal clouds beginning to clear from west to east as of 1PM Wednesday.
Precipitation has begun to become more showery through the region as the front continues to move east over the Cascades.
Thereafter, widespread showery conditions will continue through late Thursday night as the low makes slow progress towards the coast. With southwest flow, the bulk of the precipitation is expected to fall over the coast and Coast Range. QPF guidance indicates an additional 1.00-1.50 inch of rain in these areas through Thursday evening. Rainfall amounts will remain more modest over the valley through Thursday, but could still see another quarter to half inch with higher amounts in heavier showers and thunderstorms. Hydro concerns remain minimal as guidance continue to depict probabilities of 5 percent or less to reach action stage on area rivers.
A chance of thunderstorms for most locations west of the Cascades through Wednesday evening as the advancing low pressure system steepens lapse rates. With good shear conditions through Wednesday evening, small hail within stronger showers is possible. Thursday morning through Thursday night, thunderstorm chances will decrease but will still remain possible as lapse rates will remain increased.
Snow levels of 4000 to 4500 feet will gradually decrease to 2500 feet by early Thursday morning, keeping light snow limited to Cascade passes and above. Through Thursday evening, passes are expected to receive at most 4 inches of snow within 12 hours (20-30% chance to exceed 4"). As for snow totals through Thursday evening, a total of 6 to 12 inches of snow is expected.
Breezy conditions also persist through Thursday evening as the low center nears the coast and maintains a tight pressure gradient. As a result, southerly winds gusting to 40 mph along the coast (50-60% chance to exceed 40 mph) and 35 mph inland (60-70% chance to exceed 35 mph) through Thursday afternoon.
Otherwise, conditions will show an improving trend Thursday night into Friday as the low offshore begins to drop south and weaken. This low will then be absorbed into a new dominant low that rides the trough towards California coastal waters. As a result, benign conditions with a few lingering showers for Friday, with high temperatures warming into the high 50s to low 60s during the afternoon.
-JH
LONG TERM
Saturday through Tuesday...Guidance continues to indicate warm and dry conditions returning this weekend into early next week as the upper low moves south into southern California and is replaced by a strong ridge building over the Pacific Northwest. This is reflected by NBM forecast temperatures which show high confidence in highs in the mid 60s Saturday through Monday (60-80% chance to exceed 65 F). WPC cluster analysis depicts about 85 percent of individual ensemble members keeping the ridge over the region through Tuesday before temperatures drop back down towards seasonal normals later in the week.
-JH/CB
AVIATION
Threat of thunderstorms has passed, and VFR conditions dominate until at least 11z Thu. Less than 10% chance for any passing showers to drop any terminals into MVFR until then. High resolution model guidance does suggest the probability of MVFR conditions increases between 11-16z Thursday across the region, with likely 40-70% chance of MVFR afterwards through the TAF period.
Winds will also become gustier around that time, with gusts up to 26- 28 kts possible at all terminals at that time. Given the pattern, would still expect many sites to bounce up and down between MVFR and VFR during that time, though.
* Note: The observations out of KONP are generally limited to wind and pressure at this time. Periodically cloud cover, vis, and present wx are reported but are unreliable.
PDX AND APPROACHES...VFR conditions continue through 13z, and any passing showers are not expected to drop ceilings to MVFR criteria.
Currently around a 50-70% chance of MVFR conditions from 13z onwards. /JL
MARINE
A cold front is now pushing inland across the Pacific Northwest. Expect wind gusts of 20 to 25 kt across the waters tonight with seas temporarily subsiding through this evening.
However, the surface low pressure responsible for the cold front pushing across the region this morning will gradually shift eastward towards western Washington tonight into Thursday and weaken substantially. Nonetheless, it will bring a return to stronger southwest winds and showers that will occasionally mix stronger winds from aloft down to the surface of the ocean. There is an ~80% chance for at least a few wind gusts of 35 to 40 kt to mix down to the surface of the ocean from time to time on Thursday across the waters. A large westerly swell will push into the waters during this time as well with seas climbing into the 16-20 ft range. Seas will most likely peak sometime during the late afternoon and early evening hours on Thursday before falling back down into the mid teens by midnight and below 10 ft sometime during the second half of Friday.
Weather models are in general agreement high pressure will shift across the waters and Pacific Northwest this weekend. This will produce a more summer-like northerly wind pattern. The waters off the central coast of Oregon will generally experience stronger winds and steeper seas than waters off the south Washington coast.
There is an 50% chance that wind gusts climb back up into the 30-35 kt range towards next Wednesday as a front may slide southeastward across the region. /Neuman
PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...None.
WA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ210.
Hazardous Seas Warning from 2 AM to 8 PM PDT Thursday for PZZ210.
Hazardous Seas Warning until 5 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ251>253- 271>273.
Gale Warning from 5 AM to 8 PM PDT Thursday for PZZ251>253- 271>273.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Portland OR 1000 PM PDT Wed Mar 27 2024
SYNOPSIS
Post-frontal showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms continuing through Thursday evening as a low pressure system spins offshore. Conditions begin to improve on Friday, with high pressure bringing another period of warm and dry weather this weekend into early next week.
SHORT TERM
Now through Friday Night...Satellite imagery shows a well defined 980mb low over the NE Pacific and frontal clouds beginning to clear from west to east as of 1PM Wednesday.
Precipitation has begun to become more showery through the region as the front continues to move east over the Cascades.
Thereafter, widespread showery conditions will continue through late Thursday night as the low makes slow progress towards the coast. With southwest flow, the bulk of the precipitation is expected to fall over the coast and Coast Range. QPF guidance indicates an additional 1.00-1.50 inch of rain in these areas through Thursday evening. Rainfall amounts will remain more modest over the valley through Thursday, but could still see another quarter to half inch with higher amounts in heavier showers and thunderstorms. Hydro concerns remain minimal as guidance continue to depict probabilities of 5 percent or less to reach action stage on area rivers.
A chance of thunderstorms for most locations west of the Cascades through Wednesday evening as the advancing low pressure system steepens lapse rates. With good shear conditions through Wednesday evening, small hail within stronger showers is possible. Thursday morning through Thursday night, thunderstorm chances will decrease but will still remain possible as lapse rates will remain increased.
Snow levels of 4000 to 4500 feet will gradually decrease to 2500 feet by early Thursday morning, keeping light snow limited to Cascade passes and above. Through Thursday evening, passes are expected to receive at most 4 inches of snow within 12 hours (20-30% chance to exceed 4"). As for snow totals through Thursday evening, a total of 6 to 12 inches of snow is expected.
Breezy conditions also persist through Thursday evening as the low center nears the coast and maintains a tight pressure gradient. As a result, southerly winds gusting to 40 mph along the coast (50-60% chance to exceed 40 mph) and 35 mph inland (60-70% chance to exceed 35 mph) through Thursday afternoon.
Otherwise, conditions will show an improving trend Thursday night into Friday as the low offshore begins to drop south and weaken. This low will then be absorbed into a new dominant low that rides the trough towards California coastal waters. As a result, benign conditions with a few lingering showers for Friday, with high temperatures warming into the high 50s to low 60s during the afternoon.
-JH
LONG TERM
Saturday through Tuesday...Guidance continues to indicate warm and dry conditions returning this weekend into early next week as the upper low moves south into southern California and is replaced by a strong ridge building over the Pacific Northwest. This is reflected by NBM forecast temperatures which show high confidence in highs in the mid 60s Saturday through Monday (60-80% chance to exceed 65 F). WPC cluster analysis depicts about 85 percent of individual ensemble members keeping the ridge over the region through Tuesday before temperatures drop back down towards seasonal normals later in the week.
-JH/CB
AVIATION
Threat of thunderstorms has passed, and VFR conditions dominate until at least 11z Thu. Less than 10% chance for any passing showers to drop any terminals into MVFR until then. High resolution model guidance does suggest the probability of MVFR conditions increases between 11-16z Thursday across the region, with likely 40-70% chance of MVFR afterwards through the TAF period.
Winds will also become gustier around that time, with gusts up to 26- 28 kts possible at all terminals at that time. Given the pattern, would still expect many sites to bounce up and down between MVFR and VFR during that time, though.
* Note: The observations out of KONP are generally limited to wind and pressure at this time. Periodically cloud cover, vis, and present wx are reported but are unreliable.
PDX AND APPROACHES...VFR conditions continue through 13z, and any passing showers are not expected to drop ceilings to MVFR criteria.
Currently around a 50-70% chance of MVFR conditions from 13z onwards. /JL
MARINE
A cold front is now pushing inland across the Pacific Northwest. Expect wind gusts of 20 to 25 kt across the waters tonight with seas temporarily subsiding through this evening.
However, the surface low pressure responsible for the cold front pushing across the region this morning will gradually shift eastward towards western Washington tonight into Thursday and weaken substantially. Nonetheless, it will bring a return to stronger southwest winds and showers that will occasionally mix stronger winds from aloft down to the surface of the ocean. There is an ~80% chance for at least a few wind gusts of 35 to 40 kt to mix down to the surface of the ocean from time to time on Thursday across the waters. A large westerly swell will push into the waters during this time as well with seas climbing into the 16-20 ft range. Seas will most likely peak sometime during the late afternoon and early evening hours on Thursday before falling back down into the mid teens by midnight and below 10 ft sometime during the second half of Friday.
Weather models are in general agreement high pressure will shift across the waters and Pacific Northwest this weekend. This will produce a more summer-like northerly wind pattern. The waters off the central coast of Oregon will generally experience stronger winds and steeper seas than waters off the south Washington coast.
There is an 50% chance that wind gusts climb back up into the 30-35 kt range towards next Wednesday as a front may slide southeastward across the region. /Neuman
PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...None.
WA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ210.
Hazardous Seas Warning from 2 AM to 8 PM PDT Thursday for PZZ210.
Hazardous Seas Warning until 5 AM PDT Thursday for PZZ251>253- 271>273.
Gale Warning from 5 AM to 8 PM PDT Thursday for PZZ251>253- 271>273.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
NWPO3 - Newport, OR | 46 mi | 41 min | S 17G | 46°F | ||||
TLBO3 - 9437540 - Garibaldi, Tillamook Bay, OR | 49 mi | 53 min | 52°F | 29.73 |
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No data
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KSLE MCNARY FLD,OR | 19 sm | 44 min | SSE 09G20 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 46°F | 37°F | 71% | 29.77 |
Nestucca Bay entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:39 AM PDT 7.31 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:02 AM PDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:16 AM PDT Moonset
Thu -- 09:39 AM PDT 0.25 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:42 PM PDT 5.79 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:39 PM PDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:18 PM PDT 2.19 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:41 PM PDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:39 AM PDT 7.31 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:02 AM PDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:16 AM PDT Moonset
Thu -- 09:39 AM PDT 0.25 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:42 PM PDT 5.79 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:39 PM PDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:18 PM PDT 2.19 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:41 PM PDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Nestucca Bay entrance, Oregon, Tide feet
12 am |
4.9 |
1 am |
6.2 |
2 am |
7.1 |
3 am |
7.3 |
4 am |
6.7 |
5 am |
5.5 |
6 am |
4 |
7 am |
2.5 |
8 am |
1.2 |
9 am |
0.4 |
10 am |
0.3 |
11 am |
0.9 |
12 pm |
2.1 |
1 pm |
3.6 |
2 pm |
4.8 |
3 pm |
5.6 |
4 pm |
5.8 |
5 pm |
5.3 |
6 pm |
4.5 |
7 pm |
3.5 |
8 pm |
2.7 |
9 pm |
2.2 |
10 pm |
2.4 |
11 pm |
3.1 |
Kernville
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:08 AM PDT 5.72 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:02 AM PDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:17 AM PDT Moonset
Thu -- 10:20 AM PDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:11 PM PDT 4.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:39 PM PDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:59 PM PDT 1.59 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:40 PM PDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:08 AM PDT 5.72 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:02 AM PDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:17 AM PDT Moonset
Thu -- 10:20 AM PDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:11 PM PDT 4.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:39 PM PDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:59 PM PDT 1.59 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:40 PM PDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Kernville, Siletz River, Oregon, Tide feet
12 am |
3 |
1 am |
4.3 |
2 am |
5.3 |
3 am |
5.7 |
4 am |
5.5 |
5 am |
4.9 |
6 am |
3.8 |
7 am |
2.6 |
8 am |
1.5 |
9 am |
0.6 |
10 am |
0.2 |
11 am |
0.3 |
12 pm |
1 |
1 pm |
2.1 |
2 pm |
3.3 |
3 pm |
4.1 |
4 pm |
4.5 |
5 pm |
4.4 |
6 pm |
3.9 |
7 pm |
3.1 |
8 pm |
2.4 |
9 pm |
1.8 |
10 pm |
1.6 |
11 pm |
1.9 |
Portland, OR,
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