Richford, VT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Richford, VT

April 15, 2024 9:57 PM EDT (01:57 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:03 AM   Sunset 7:40 PM
Moonrise 11:03 AM   Moonset 2:50 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Richford, VT
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Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 152335 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 735 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
A few showers will move through the region this evening before tapering off later in the night. Dry and pleasant spring weather is on tap on for tomorrow and Wednesday with temperatures close to normal. Widespread showers return to end the work week but they should move out by the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
As of 726 PM EDT Monday...The forecast is in solid shape. It had the idea of showers crossing the St. Lawrence Valley into the region. Given it's there and on radar, simply increased the PoPs for the next few hours. Due to dry near surface air, these showers are producing cool, breezy outflows. Massena, New York even observed a gust up to 38 mph. With the setting Sun, these showers will lose some strength and nocturnal stabilization will also limit additional gusts. With the rain falling over Massena and probably parts of the Adirondacks, indicated the potential of patchy fog, mainly in cold hollows and near Massena. All else is in excellent shape. Have a great night!

Previous discussion...
A few showers are currently in the southern parts of the region but they should exit by this evening. In any of the heaviest showers, there is the slight chance of pea sized hail. Behind the showers, there will be a few hours of dry weather and there should even be some breaks in the clouds. However, another shortwave will pass through later this evening and it will bring another round of scattered showers. These should be mostly confined to northern areas though. After these showers move out, skies will begin to clear later in the night into tomorrow morning. If the clearing can happen quick enough, there is the chance that fog develops in the some of the sheltered hollows as there is abundant low-level moisture remaining. Winds should be light enough that the boundary later will be able to decouple at least in the sheltered areas. Lows will be close to normal, with temperatures generally falling into the 30s across the region. A colder airmass will move in for the day tomorrow so daytime heating will lead to convective clouds, particularly over northeast Vermont, and an isolated sprinkle cannot be completely ruled out. However, highs should still be able to rise to around normal, with temperatures generally maxing out in the 50s. Ridging will start to build in Tuesday night and combined with the end of diurnal heating, the clouds should mostly clear out. This should allow temperatures to drop down below normal, with lows in the 20s and 30s across the region.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
As of 338 PM EDT Monday...Anticyclonic flow will promote dry air and a sunny start to the day with the ridge axis centered over western New York. Said ridge will gradually shift into eastern New York through the day with high clouds streaming in but there won't be any chance of significant/opaque clouds with the strong ridging in place in our region. So have backed off from the NBM sky cover percentage thinking a sunny sky, rather than partly sunny, will prevail across northern New York in the morning and perhaps across Vermont all day long looking at various forecast soundings. Although humidity will remain low, dew points will tend to rise in the later part of the day with modest low level moisture advection from the northwest.
Clouds should push further eastward and thicken somewhat overnight ahead of a weakening, occluded front. Some precipitation may fall out of these clouds, and once they moisten the low level air enough some showers may reach the ground by daybreak Thursday in our far southwestern areas, with best chances of measurable rain in southern St. Lawrence County. The cloud cover will probably support a night where temperatures fall off early and then become steady. So expect some variability in low temperatures that generally fall on the milder side, in the mid 30s to low 40s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 338 PM EDT Monday...Three distinct, minor precipitation events from Thursday through Saturday are expected followed by dry conditions for early next week.

No further clarity on Thursday's weather details, unfortunately, with regards to timing of precipitation. What we do know is the rain will be generally light; even the 90th percentile 24 hour precipitation amounts in the wettest scenario is under 0.5" and only in our western areas. High temperatures Thursday likewise remain highly uncertain owing to the differences in eastward progress of rain and thicker cloud cover, so no significant changes to the forecast were made with highs still forecast to be in the mid to upper 50s. Overall we continue to show rain is more likely as you go westward with slow progression to the east. The latest ensemble mean timing for measurable precipitation suggests rain doesn't arrive in central and northeastern Vermont until after dark, while potentially being ongoing in the St. Lawrence Valley Thursday morning. Through Thursday night, there's at least a 40% chance of rain in far eastern Vermont, near 65% in the Champlain Valley, and 70-85% from the Adirondacks westward. This round of rain is most likely to end Friday morning areawide as brief ridging moves back overhead.

The expected cold frontal passage Friday night, in contrast, has better model agreement at this time both in timing and sharpness.
The ingredients for instability look meager at best, but the front looks strong enough for low level convergence to support widespread showers and briefly moderate rainfall along the front. This event will probably result in more rainfall in most locations than the Thursday one, but again, not a significant amount to cause impactful weather.

Finally, on Saturday in the post-frontal air mass, there does look to be sufficient upper level forcing to support scattered shower activity with lingering low level moisture. If that moisture is meager enough, it could stay dry as signals for low humidity are present. Additionally, the westerly flow continues to look substantial and wind gusts have trended upward into the 25 to 30 MPH range. Temperatures will reach their coolest levels of the period Saturday night into Sunday behind the front before we see the air mass modify. Temperatures over the weekend will be largely seasonable, especially if there is plenty of sunshine to produce superadiabatic lapse rates.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Through 06Z Saturday...Mainly VFR conditions are expected. Some showers are moving east of KMSS and producing gusty west to northwest winds around 25 to 30 knots, but should decrease in strength quickly. Showers may briefly reduce visibility near KSLK as well about 01z to 03z. Increased moisture from showers may result in patchy fog at KMSS and KSLK between 04z and 10z.
Elsewhere, it appears too dry for fog. Winds light and variable to terrain driven overnight, then becoming west to northwest after 10z and increasing to 8 to 12 knots sustained with the potential for gusts 15 to 20 knots between 15z and 23z. Mainly fair weather cumulus with bases around 6000-9000 ft agl are likely.

Outlook...

Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Friday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Friday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local VFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VT...None.
NY...None.




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Tide / Current for Sorel, Quebec
   
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Sorel
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Mon -- 02:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:00 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:14 PM EDT     First Quarter
Mon -- 05:46 PM EDT     1.43 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 07:40 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:17 PM EDT     1.44 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Sorel, Quebec, Tide feet
12
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1.5
1
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1.5
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1.5
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1.5
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1.5
5
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1.5
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1.5
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1.5
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1.5
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1.5
11
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1.5
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1.5
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1.5
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1.4
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1.4
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1.4
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1.4
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1.4
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1.4
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1.4
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1.4
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1.4
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1.4



Tide / Current for Islets Perces, Quebec
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Islets Perces
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Mon -- 02:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:12 AM EDT     0.83 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 08:08 AM EDT     0.83 meters High Tide
Mon -- 10:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:14 PM EDT     First Quarter
Mon -- 05:16 PM EDT     0.79 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 07:39 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:24 PM EDT     0.81 meters High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Islets Perces, Quebec, Tide feet
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0.9
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0.9
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0.9
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0.8
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0.8




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Burlington, VT,



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