Friday, January28, 2022
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Marine Weather and Tides
Mooers, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 7:18AMSunset 4:57PM Friday January 28, 2022 5:03 PM EST (22:03 UTC) Moonrise 5:09AMMoonset 1:48PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Expires:202112312215;;418857 Fzus61 Kbuf 311916 Glfsl Forecast For The Saint Lawrence River Including The Thousand Islands Region National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 216 Pm Est Fri Dec 31 2021 Slz022-024-312215- Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 216 Pm Est Fri Dec 31 2021
This afternoon..Light and variable winds. A chance of rain and snow showers late.
Tonight..Light and variable winds. A chance of snow and rain showers late.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Snow and rain showers likely in the morning, then a chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night..North winds 5 to 15 knots. Freezing rain, sleet and snow.
Sunday..North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Snow likely during the day, then a chance of snow Sunday night.
Monday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Partly cloudy, then becoming mostly cloudy.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. The saint lawrence seaway has closed for the 2021 navigation season, therefore the forecast for the saint lawrence river has been discontinued. The forecast will resume in the spring when the river opens for navigation.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mooers, NY
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location: 45.42, -73.82     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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FXUS61 KBTV 282030 AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 330 PM EST Fri Jan 28 2022

SYNOPSIS. Behind a cold front dropping through the region today, bitterly cold temperatures and dangerous wind chills will return to central and northern portions of the region tonight into Saturday morning. A coastal storm will bring light snowfall to far eastern and southern Vermont on Saturday, with another round of cold wind chills possible Saturday night. Drier conditions return for Sunday into early next week along with warming temperatures.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/. As of 329 PM EST Friday . Surface cold front continues to drop through the North Country this afternoon with temps steadily falling all day behind the boundary now down into the single digits and teens across central/northern areas. As the front exits the region this evening, clearing skies across northern and especially northwestern portions of the forecast area will see temperatures drop back down below zero with the coldest readings across the Adirondacks and St. Lawrence Valley where -10F to -20F is expected. Elsewhere across the Champlain Valley and northern Vermont temps will bottom out at zero to 10 below, with southern Vermont in the single digits. This, combined with even just light winds of 4-8 mph will create dangerously cold wind chills of 20 to 40 below where advisories and warnings remain in place through mid-morning Saturday.

For Saturday and Saturday night, the forecast remains relatively unchanged in regard to the coastal storm which will have limited impacts on the North Country. Latest NWP guidance is all in good agreement, resembling the GFS from 3 days ago highlighting up to a 1/4 inch of QPF working westward into the Connecticut River Valley Saturday afternoon/evening with less than a tenth in central Vermont and nothing west of the Greens. Snow will take quite awhile to reach the ground in the morning owing to very low surface dewpoints, but by the afternoon accumulations will begin across Windsor, Orange, Caledonia and Essex counties of Vermont. Based on the current track, which still could shift east or west, accumulations by the days end will be in the 1-3" range across these counties, with the highest amounts up to 5" in Essex County where a winter wx advisory has been hoisted.

For the rest of the area, it'll just be a cold and brisk Saturday and Saturday night with temps only warming from morning lows into the 6-12F range and wind chills persisting through the day below zero. Winds will gust as high as 25-35 mph from the north, continuing into the night where wind chills will flirt with advisory levels again as temps drop back below zero across the board.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 329 PM EST Friday . Expect generally dry conditions along with a gradual warming trend for the early part of the week. Sunday will be continued cold and breezy as low pressure pulls away to the east and a ridge approaches from the west. A weak upper trough/surface low will push across the region Sunday night into Monday, and this may spark some lake enhanced snow in the southern St Lawrence Valley/Adirondacks as the flow briefly turns southwest ahead of the system. A weak frontal boundary will allow winds to turn back to the north/west for a short time late Monday, but south flow will return quickly Monday night and especially Tuesday as a stronger low pressure system moves by well to our north. Highs on Sunday will mainly be in the teens, but expect temperatures to reach into the lower/mid 30s by Tuesday afternoon.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 329 PM EST Friday . Gusty south winds will persist Tuesday night as the aforementioned low pressure system moves by well to our north, dragging its cold front across the Great Lakes. This cold front will move into our area by early Wednesday, then lift back northward as a warm front Wednesday night. A wave of low pressure will then traverse along the front Thursday into early Friday, allowing the front to stall for a good 24 hours or so. Ample moisture will stream up into the Northeast and along the front on a 50+kt 800mb southwesterly jet ahead of the longwave upper trough. Hence expect a swath of precipitation to develop Wednesday night and continue into Friday. The main question is where exactly the front will hang up, as there will be a very tight temperature gradient, with subfreezing temperatures north and relatively mild air south of the boundary. South of the front, snow will transition to rain. North of the boundary, snow would likely mix with and/or change to sleet and freezing rain for a time as warmer air lifts over colder air at lower levels. Therefore, concerns are two fold: first, with temperatures to warm into the 40s on the south side of the front, runoff from rain and snowmelt could well result in ice movement/breakup on area rivers, which could result in flooding. North of the front, accumulating snow/sleet/freezing rain would be the issue. The devil's in the details and, as usual, the model solutions differ on the frontal placement. Given the tight temperature gradient that will exist, even just a few dozen miles' difference in the front's position and eventual exit to the east makes for widely varying precipitation types and amounts. Have stayed close to a model blend for this time frame to account for these differences, but we will have to watch trends closely as the event draws closer.

AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. Through 18Z Saturday . Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the period with lingering MVFR at KMPV/KRUT coming to an end in the next couple of hours. Otherwise, SCT-BKN low clouds will thin out during the overnight hours with SCT-BKN high clouds continuing to stream through the region. After 12Z, ceilings will gradually lower from southeast to northwest as a coastal system approaches, with VCSH developing at KRUT from mid-morning onward. Stiff northerly winds of 10-15kts abate this evening to 5-10kts but pick up again back to 10-15kt after 12Z Saturday with gusts increasing towards mid-day up to 20kts.

Outlook .

Saturday Night: VFR. Windy with gusts to 30 kt. Chance SN. Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: MVFR. Chance RA, Chance SN.

BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. VT . Winter Weather Advisory from 1 PM Saturday to 1 AM EST Sunday for VTZ004. Wind Chill Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Saturday for VTZ001>009-016>018. NY . Wind Chill Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Saturday for NYZ034-035. Wind Chill Warning from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Saturday for NYZ026>031-087.

SYNOPSIS . Lahiff NEAR TERM . Lahiff SHORT TERM . Hastings LONG TERM . Hastings AVIATION . Lahiff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Franklin County State Airport, VT51 mi68 minN 710.00 miFair6°F-7°F53%1024.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFSO

Wind History from FSO (wind in knots)
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2 days ago0W40000W5N300NW3NW3NW3000N4N3NW4NW40N4N4N4

Tide / Current Tables for Sorel, Quebec
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Sorel
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Fri -- 04:00 AM EST     1.72 meters High Tide
Fri -- 04:09 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:36 AM EST     1.71 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 11:54 AM EST     1.72 meters High Tide
Fri -- 12:42 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:57 PM EST     1.69 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Sorel, Quebec, Tide feet
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Tide / Current Tables for Islets Perces, Quebec
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Islets Perces
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Fri -- 01:12 AM EST     0.97 meters High Tide
Fri -- 04:08 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:38 AM EST     0.93 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 11:28 AM EST     0.94 meters High Tide
Fri -- 12:41 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:42 PM EST     0.89 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Islets Perces, Quebec, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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