Tillamook, OR Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Tillamook, OR

February 20, 2024 2:23 PM PST (22:23 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:04 AM   Sunset 5:48 PM
Moonrise 1:51 PM   Moonset 5:41 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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PZZ252 Coastal Waters From Cape Falcon To Cape Foulweather Or Out 10 Nm- 420 Am Pst Tue Feb 20 2024

.gale warning in effect through this evening - .

Rest of today - SE wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Wind waves se 9 ft at 6 seconds. SWell W 4 ft at 12 seconds. Showers.

Tonight - S wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Wind waves sw 7 ft at 7 seconds. SWell W 4 ft at 11 seconds. Showers and a slight chance of tstms.

Wed - SW wind 15 to 20 kt, easing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves sw 3 ft at 5 seconds. SWell W 3 ft at 10 seconds and W 3 ft at 15 seconds. Slight chance of tstms in the morning. Showers.

Wed night - S wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves se 2 ft at 4 seconds. SWell W 3 ft at 11 seconds. Chance of showers.

Thu - E wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves E 2 ft at 4 seconds. SWell W 4 ft at 14 seconds and W 3 ft at 8 seconds.

Thu night - NE wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves E 2 ft at 4 seconds. SWell W 6 ft at 14 seconds.

Fri - NE wind 10 to 15 kt. Gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves ne 2 ft at 4 seconds. SWell W 6 ft at 13 seconds and sw 4 ft at 8 seconds.

Sat - N wind 10 to 15 kt. Gusts to 20 kt. Wind waves N 2 ft at 4 seconds. SWell W 4 ft at 11 seconds.

PZZ200 420 Am Pst Tue Feb 20 2024

Synopsis for the southern washington and northern oregon coast - Broad low pressure to the southwest will track northeast through today. Winds will increase from the south or southeast into Tuesday evening before relaxing and veering west or southwesterly as the low passes to the north tonight. Seas will increase through this afternoon.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tillamook, OR
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Area Discussion for - Portland, OR
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FXUS66 KPQR 201804 AFDPQR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Portland OR 1004 AM PST Tue Feb 20 2024

UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION

SYNOPSIS
Shower activity continues across northwest Oregon and southwest Washington today and tomorrow, with a slight chance of thunderstorms this afternoon. Thursday to Saturday, expect mostly dry conditions as upper level high pressure builds.
Sunday to Monday, a colder system will move in, returning Cascade snow and the potential for low-elevation snow.

DISCUSSION
Today to Monday night...A 1000 mb low pressure system is centered around 42.68N 128.42W with a weak occluded front extending across southwest Oregon. As this weakening low progresses northward, expect showers to continue today across northwest Oregon and southwest Washington. The latest CAM guidance suggests that the heaviest showers will be mainly offshore and along our coast through late morning. 24 hour QPF ending at 4 AM Wednesday is generally around 0.50-0.75 in for the coast and Coast Range (around 1-1.25 in for the highest peaks). Expect around 0.10-0.25 in for the interior valleys and 0.25-0.50 in for the Cascades. Come late afternoon and evening, expect a 15-20% chance of thunderstorms at the coast, Willamette Valley, and Cascades. HRRR shows some weak upper level forcing, and some model soundings such as the RAP, HRRR, and NAM3km show CAPE values up to 100-150 J/kg. Cloud cover could inhibit surface-based convection, but higher terrain above the clouds could be more susceptible to thunderstorm development.

Tomorrow (Wednesday), showers continue as the low pressure system exits the region but will begin to diminish in the evening. 24 QPF ending at 4 AM Thursday is generally around 0.10-0.25 in for the coast and interior valleys, and around 0.50-0.75 in for the Coast Range and Cascades. Snow levels today through Wednesday will remain between 4000-5000 ft, so there could be a couple new inches of non-impactful snow at pass level. Thursday to Saturday, upper level high pressure builds over the region, so expect predominately dry conditions during this time frame and maybe even a bit of sunshine by the end of the week (yay!).

Sunday to Monday, GEFS/EPS/GEPS ensemble guidance are in agreement of a colder system moving into the Pacific Northwest.
This will lead to relatively colder temperatures and falling snow levels. Long range ensembles are showing 850 mb temps dropping to around -5C to -7C across northwest Oregon and southwest Washington (GEFS currently running the coldest). As a result, snow levels could drop to around 1000 ft or lower.
Fortunately, ensembles are suggesting that we will be maintaining onshore flow, so this does not appear to be a scenario where arctic air filters in from the east. Currently, around 60-80% of long range ensemble members show at least 0.01 in of snow or greater in the Willamette Valley on Monday (80% or greater for the Columbia River Gorge and Hood River Valley). The latest NBM shows a 20-30% chance for 0.10 in of snow or greater in the Willamette Valley. At the very least, the Cascades would receive abundant new snow from this system. Forecast confidence is still low for low-elevation snowfall. Be sure to monitor the latest forecast throughout the week for updates on this upcoming system. -Alviz

AVIATION
An upper-level low currently off the southern Oregon coast will continue to track northwards through the period with showers at times, primarily the rest of this morning towards midday followed by a second distinct increase in showers later this afternoon into the evening(23-03z inland TAF sites). There remains a 10-20% chance of isolated thunderstorms in the central/southern Willamette Valley and along the central Oregon coast accompanying the latter wave of activity previously noted.
While conditions generally remain VFR this afternoon temporary periods of MVFR are possible accompanying stronger showers.
However, guidance suggest CIGS to trend towards MVFR overnight into Wednesday morning at most sites.

As far as winds are concerned, east winds will generally dominate for locations north of KUAO into SW Washington as well as along the coast. For locations KUAO and south, expect more variable winds, slowly switching to a south wind throughout today. While LLWS is not necessarily expected throughout the entire area, there will be some directional shear for locations that observe surface winds from the east with speeds at 2000-3000ft around 30 kt from the S-SSW.

*NOTE: The observation out of KONP is generally limited to wind and pressure at this time. Periodically cloud cover is reported but is unreliable.

PDX AND APPROACHES...VFR conditions continue this afternoon and evening with light easterly breezes. Instability will maintain intermittent showers throughout the day, although chances for this activity increases significantly between 00-02z - brief periods of MVFR CIGS/VIS possible this evening with stronger showers. Weak LLWS persists with ~20-25kt winds out of the SSW at 3000ft while lighter surface winds maintain a large easterly component. /Schuldt

MARINE
The broad area of low pressure remains nearly stationary around 43N/123 W and will continue to track north, northeast through Wednesday towards the Puget Sound. There remains a 10-30% chance for isolated thunderstorms across the coastal waters Tuesday afternoon and into the evening.

As the low progresses northward, expect winds to turn southerly with ensemble guidance indicating a high chance (>60%) of gusts up to 35-40 kt in the central and south central waters. Therefore, the Gale Warning remains from Cape Falcon to Florence through this evening. The low is tracking slightly slower than previous model runs; as of 2 AM buoy 46050 is currently only gusting 21 kt, however Port Orford is at 36 kts. Confidence remains high that these winds will make their way north across the southern and central waters by morning. For now, satellite and radar show cells that are capable of producing isolated convective gusts up to Gale criteria across the coastal waters.

As winds ramp up expect steep and choppy seas building to around 12-15 ft at 10-11 seconds. North of Cape Falcon winds will increase but it appears they will be sub-gale force speeds. As the low weakens and finally shifts inland will see winds and seas ease. Maintaining sub-Advisory conditions into the weekend.

A deepening trough out of the Gulf of Alaska will swing towards the Pacific NW early next week. Sustained northwesterly flow in the postfrontal air mass will drive seas into the 20s off the coast of British Columbia. These seas will dissipate across the coastal waters as a mid to upper teens wave group. -BMuhlestein

PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...None.
WA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for Columbia River Bar.

Hazardous Seas Warning until 10 PM PST this evening for Coastal waters from Cape Shoalwater WA to Cape Falcon OR out 60 NM.

Gale Warning until 10 PM PST this evening for Coastal waters from Cape Foulweather OR to Florence OR out 10 NM.Coastal waters from Cape Foulweather OR to Florence OR from 10 to 60 NM.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
TLBO3 - 9437540 - Garibaldi, Tillamook Bay, OR 8 mi53 min 51°F29.85
46278 10 mi53 min 55°F 52°F8 ft


Wind History for Astoria, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KTMK TILLAMOOK,OR 3 sm28 minSSW 10G1710 smOvercast Lt Rain 57°F50°F77%29.84
Link to 5 minute data for KTMK


Wind History from TMK
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Tide / Current for Tillamook, Hoquarten Slough, Oregon
   
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Tillamook
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Tue -- 05:41 AM PST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:47 AM PST     2.24 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:09 AM PST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:14 AM PST     6.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:50 PM PST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:49 PM PST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:58 PM PST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tillamook, Hoquarten Slough, Oregon, Tide feet
12
am
5
1
am
4.7
2
am
4.2
3
am
3.5
4
am
2.8
5
am
2.4
6
am
2.3
7
am
2.9
8
am
4.2
9
am
5.6
10
am
6.4
11
am
6.3
12
pm
5.9
1
pm
5.1
2
pm
4
3
pm
2.9
4
pm
1.7
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
0.2
7
pm
-0
8
pm
0.4
9
pm
1.6
10
pm
3.2
11
pm
4.5



Tide / Current for Garibaldi, Oregon
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Garibaldi
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Tue -- 03:42 AM PST     3.92 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:42 AM PST     Moonset
Tue -- 07:10 AM PST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:40 AM PST     7.69 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:50 PM PST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:51 PM PST     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:49 PM PST     Sunset
Tue -- 11:51 PM PST     6.27 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Garibaldi, Oregon, Tide feet
12
am
5.7
1
am
5.2
2
am
4.6
3
am
4.1
4
am
3.9
5
am
4.3
6
am
5.1
7
am
6
8
am
6.9
9
am
7.6
10
am
7.7
11
am
7.1
12
pm
6.1
1
pm
4.6
2
pm
3
3
pm
1.4
4
pm
0.3
5
pm
0
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
1.5
8
pm
2.8
9
pm
4.2
10
pm
5.4
11
pm
6.1




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Portland, OR,



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